Automated Team Capsule for 2024-25 Illinois22-13 (0.629) | Big Ten
All-Play Percentage: 0.948 (20th)
Schedule Strength: 0.765 (12th)
Record Quality: 0.343 (38th)
Avg. Season Rank: 15.91 (12th)
Pace: 69.65 (26th)
Momentum: -3.53 (320th)
Off. Momentum: 1.57 (100th)
Def. Momentum: -5.10 (356th)
Consistency: -12.15 (357th)
Res. Consistency: -17.02 (349th)
Away From Home: -1.83 (303rd)
Paper Tiger Factor: -5.80 (359th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 5, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
124.22
69.78
31.68
77.87
89.35
43.04
48.17
39.81
13.48
33.85
17.01
6.98
41.03
32.53
22.58
69.42
8.94
15.01
6.79
44.55
19.04
36.41
2.08
RANK:
14th
20th
45th
27th
82nd
22nd
28th
34th
60th
188th
297th
258th
53rd
155th
24th
2nd
329th
154th
96th
46th
309th
179th
290th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
98.76
69.52
21.67
--
92.56
36.88
39.84
29.26
9.30
31.78
29.24
9.47
32.38
34.06
18.11
53.18
12.74
14.53
4.36
31.62
31.59
36.79
1.95
RANK:
41st
333rd
15th
--
354th
106th
32nd
27th
14th
52nd
360th
321st
27th
270th
138th
29th
226th
177th
27th
7th
357th
185th
327th
ANALYSIS: Despite their unexceptional win percentage, Illinois should be regarded as one of the better teams in college hoops. Ranked 20th overall (out of 364) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 22-13. Of the 18 schools in the Big Ten (average ranking 42.1), they're currently ranked as our #5 team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.765 (which ranks 12th nationally), Illinois is one of the more battle-tested teams in the college game.
Illinois is one of the very most competent offensive teams in the country. Ranked 14th in offensive efficiency, they'll rack up more than 124 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Illinois is one of the nation's most effective teams finishing close to the iron. The team is ranked second in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 69.4% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. The squad likewise lands in the top-50 in overall offensive field goal percentage and makes good on about 48.2% of their total attempts vs. AO. Illinois also does a really good job converting from the free throw line. Making 77.9% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 27th nationally in free throw percentage. Moreover, they get ample opportunity to beat you from the line, as the ball-club falls in the top-50 in free throw attempt rate with a rating of 31.68 vs. AO.
Illinois plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 41st nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 99 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Illinois is a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 21.67 vs. AO, they are currently rated 15th in the country in that category. Illinois is also one of the better teams when it comes to not allowing opponents to convert scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 4.4% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 27th in the NCAA). If Illinois does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 92.56 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 11th-worst in college basketball.
Illinois has recently performed below their norm from an efficiency standpoint. The team is currently ranked 320th in the country in positive momentum. Illinois has also been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked eighth from the bottom overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When playing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, Illinois usually performs worse than average. Illinois is more efficient than normal 40% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 29.02. In all other contests, Illinois performs better than average 90% of the time.
Illinois is typically worse vs. teams that convert well from outside the arc. Against foes that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.98%, Illinois performs above their norm 42% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 82% of the time.
When facing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, Illinois often performs better than normal. Illinois is more efficient than usual 67% of the time when facing teams that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 9.87. In their other contests, Illinois performs better than the norm 27% of the time.
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