TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Illinois  12-21 (0.364)  |  Big Ten
All-Play Percentage: 0.810 (68th)
Schedule Strength: 0.783 (10th)
Record Quality: 0.054 (145th)
Avg. Season Rank: 67.05 (63rd)
Pace: 69.92 (98th)
Momentum: -4.28 (331st)
Off. Momentum: -1.51 (298th)
Def. Momentum: -2.77 (300th)
Consistency: -9.62 (187th)
Res. Consistency: -15.09 (315th)
Away From Home: -1.83 (321st)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.26 (209th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 110.72 27.89 73.17 85.30 45.80 33.37 36.51 19.79 33.33 32.14 63.11 14.32 12.91 5.75 39.12 23.20 37.68 2.01
RANK: 47th 97th 113th 89th 90th 135th 74th 216th 275th 92nd 65th 41st 202nd 202nd 163rd 229th 124th 157th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 100.76 29.90 -- 77.92 44.62 28.30 32.74 20.06 38.45 29.57 60.16 10.42 10.78 4.78 36.32 25.74 37.94 1.98
RANK: 115th 310th -- 10th 182nd 32nd 68th 138th 281st 129th 181st 89th 14th 46th 97th 220th 234th 251st

ANALYSIS:
Despite what their win percentage might indicate, Illinois is a good team that can cause more than enough trouble for most opponents. They have a record of 12-21 and are ranked 68th overall (out of 353) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 14 schools in the Big Ten (average ranking 37.8), they're currently ranked as our #12 team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.783 (which ranks tenth nationally), Illinois is one of the more battle-tested teams in the college game.

The primary strength for Illinois this year is offense. The team is ranked 47th in efficiency on that end of the floor, and they'll rack up more than 110 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Illinois fares better than most teams when it comes to converting from locations close to the basket. The team is ranked 65th in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 63.1% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. Illinois has also been generally quite good when shooting the three-pointer. They're ranked 74th nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 36.5% of their attempts from there vs. AO.

Illinois is also a fairly decent team on the defensive end of the court. The team ranks 115th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 101 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Illinois has extremely pesky defenders that ceaselessly attempt to deny opponents ample opportunity to shoot. The club is ranked tenth in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 77.92 vs. AO. Illinois also does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 10.78 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 14th in the country), and they allow AO to convert just 4.8% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 46th) as well. If Illinois does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's tendency to send opponents to the line too much by fouling. The squad has a rating of 29.90 in defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 44th-worst in the country.

Illinois has definitely not been as efficient as of late compared to earlier in the season and, consequently, the team is nationally ranked 331st in positive momentum. When playing on the road, Illinois performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 321st in our site's away-from-home metric.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Illinois does worse vs. clubs that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. When playing squads that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.18%, Illinois performs above average 10% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 56% of the time.
Illinois performs worse against squads that do not defend well on the perimeter. When facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 31.53%, Illinois is more efficient than normal 30% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 70% of the time.
When playing teams that aren't terribly skilled defensively, Illinois usually performs worse than average. Illinois is more efficient than normal 29% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 94.58. In all other contests, Illinois performs better than average 67% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Iowa goes cold from 3 in loss to Michigan
(3/16/2019 12:54:00 AM) CHICAGO – Iowa couldn’t miss from behind the 3-point line in its 83-62 win over Illinois in its first game of the Big Ten Tournament. Its 12-of-23 mark from deep was enough to send the Illini back to Champaign and extend its stay in Chicago.
Breaking down Iowa basketball’s matchup against Illinois
(3/14/2019 12:35:00 PM) Following its 74-69 overtime win over Northwestern, Illinois advanced to take on Iowa on Thursday in the second round of the Big Ten Tournament in Chicago. The Hawkeyes and Illini will clash 25 minutes after the conclusion of Penn State-Minnesota.
Big Ten Tournament: UI vs. Northwestern
(3/14/2019 11:22:00 AM) Illinois takes on Northwestern during an NCAA college basketball game in the first round of the Big Ten Tournament at the United Center in Chicago, Wednesday, March 13, 2019. Illinois won the game 74-69 in overtime and will advance to play Iowa in the late ...
Juwan Morgan scores 20 to lead Indiana over Illinois 92-74
(3/8/2019 11:42:00 PM) Indiana forward Juwan Morgan shoots a layup during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Illinois in Champaign, Ill., on March 7, 2019. (AP Photo/Stephen Haas) CHAMPAIGN, Ill. (AP) — Juwan Morgan scored 20 points and grabbed ...
Illinois needs more energy after 'flat' performance against Indiana
(3/8/2019 12:00:00 PM) Come game time Thursday against Indiana? Flat. The energy was gone ... That, combined with a 55.4 percent shooting night, led to a 92-74 win over Illinois at the State Farm Center to keep the ...
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-2517th17th93rd39thBig Ten25th357th13th359th305th12th
2023-2411th11th22nd7thBig Ten90th336th22nd203rd48th15th
2022-2350th50th111th61stBig Ten77th98th56th344th280th31st
2021-2220th20th56th20thBig Ten198th300th8th255th304th15th
2020-215th5th18th4thBig Ten100th270th10th315th130th4th
2019-2029th29th54th29thBig Ten254th179th30th238th211th32nd
2018-1968th68th280th145thBig Ten98th187th10th209th321st63rd
2017-1881st81st230th143rdBig Ten105th223rd53rd282nd271st78th
2016-1767th66th127th60thBig Ten265th152nd29th200th334th74th
2015-16137th137th221st149thBig Ten234th57th58th155th221st128th
2014-1554th54th129th70thBig Ten201st72nd55th351st345th33rd
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2513th45th27th82nd28th34th184th297th54th154th2nd328th155th93rd47th309th178th290th
2023-243rd6th131st24th18th116th57th290th211th17th18th279th78th32nd166th315th42nd93rd
2022-2386th16th297th221st72nd116th306th318th245th82nd13th72nd119th79th110th321st75th155th
2021-2230th21st230th179th52nd73rd50th305th301st144th17th233rd91st32nd72nd311th140th236th
2020-2111th5th251st226th2nd330th21st250th42nd8th10th146th49th5th328th245th8th5th
2019-2045th60th157th61st42nd286th230th59th144th112th19th198th188th143rd305th68th141st73rd
2018-1947th97th113th89th90th135th74th216th275th92nd65th41st202nd202nd163rd229th124th157th
2017-1857th90th85th93rd74th140th144th70th28th289th45th26th124th98th152nd79th300th263rd
2016-17109th229th200th115th112th107th95th22nd55th347th22nd170th273rd217th125th26th348th333rd
2015-16154th316th52nd174th131st68th115th25th28th350th44th156th341st327th71st18th350th344th
2014-1567th192nd4th23rd209th79th103rd5th176th348th43rd83rd125th195th136th11th350th338th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2541st16th--354th32nd27th55th360th28th270th29th223rd172nd25th7th357th184th327th
2023-2464th31st--334th57th17th82nd356th49th272nd43rd87th227th167th5th350th196th327th
2022-2333rd125th--165th42nd27th59th334th117th167th19th323rd196th181st31st340th160th278th
2021-2229th92nd--304th20th39th28th358th88th17th45th118th37th24th21st358th6th149th
2020-218th70th--243rd9th15th33rd356th45th39th30th42nd80th26th12th356th28th223rd
2019-2024th14th--228th39th43rd134th350th59th41st72nd26th6th14th30th350th34th186th
2018-19115th310th--10th182nd32nd68th138th281st129th181st89th14th46th97th220th234th251st
2017-18128th332nd--2nd249th55th122nd63rd157th64th329th186th7th67th212th153rd167th141st
2016-1739th22nd--176th61st152nd28th340th110th19th226th143rd4th17th141st342nd16th60th
2015-16147th12th--212th207th272nd311th277th120th44th293rd9th23rd105th263rd274th31st47th
2014-1557th63rd--161st76th115th49th333rd37th49th270th14th174th84th120th336th51st123rd