Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 California3-29 (0.094) | Pac-12
All-Play Percentage: 0.246 (274th)
Schedule Strength: 0.673 (45th)
Record Quality: -0.286 (323rd)
Avg. Season Rank: 233.91 (234th)
Pace: 65.04 (328th)
Momentum: -1.63 (254th)
Consistency: -11.03 (347th)
Away From Home: -0.58 (175th)
Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
93.82
65.03
26.34
71.49
81.59
33.28
40.79
25.03
8.43
33.67
27.32
8.87
32.47
29.24
15.98
54.66
6.68
13.52
5.55
30.68
33.49
35.83
1.95
RANK:
326th
331st
124th
195th
318th
342nd
322nd
337th
330th
197th
74th
198th
354th
184th
258th
302nd
355th
214th
137th
326th
48th
141st
55th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
102.89
65.06
26.11
--
86.64
36.84
42.52
32.98
10.63
32.23
22.49
8.95
39.80
31.17
17.26
55.37
10.48
14.51
4.39
38.07
25.96
35.97
2.02
RANK:
174th
37th
218th
--
265th
161st
100th
267th
192nd
80th
134th
173rd
260th
257th
176th
61st
161st
233rd
64th
240th
94th
233rd
174th
ANALYSIS: Not one of the better ball-clubs in college basketball, California should be a fairly easy win for most capable opponents. Carrying a record of 3-29, they are currently rated #274 overall (out of 363) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 12 schools in the Pac-12 (average ranking 86.0), they're currently ranked as the worst team in the conference.
Based on their performances this year, California will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 103 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #174 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. California has been pretty good preventing teams from hitting shots in the paint. They are ranked 61st in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 55.4% of their attempts from close-up. California also does an adequate job to prevent opponents from scoring off of offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 4.4% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 64th in the NCAA). If California does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 6.68 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks ninth-worst in the college game.
Unfortunately, California is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 326th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 94 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. California is downright rotten when shooting the mid-range jumper. The team is ranked tenth from the bottom in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 32.5% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO. Exacerbating the situation, they find themselves in the bottom-50 in overall offensive field goal percentage, converting only 40.8% of all their attempts from the floor vs. AO. California is also one of the more inferior teams in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score on offense. The team is nationally ranked 318th in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 81.59 vs. AO.
California has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 347th overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When playing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, California usually performs worse than average. California is more efficient than normal 18% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 6.59%. In all other contests, California performs better than average 62% of the time.
California is typically better vs. teams that favor a faster tempo. Against foes that have a pace vs. AO greater than 68.28, California performs above their norm 71% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 28% of the time.
When facing teams that allow more chances at the line, California often performs better than normal. California is more efficient than usual 59% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 21.14. In their other contests, California performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
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