Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 California23-11 (0.676) | Pac-12
All-Play Percentage: 0.934 (24th)
Schedule Strength: 0.677 (50th)
Record Quality: 0.328 (35th)
Avg. Season Rank: 30.05 (30th)
Pace: 69.78 (167th)
Momentum: -1.56 (243rd)
Consistency: -8.15 (82nd)
Away From Home: -2.78 (345th)
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
110.08
69.86
34.95
66.34
80.87
38.35
47.43
26.92
10.19
37.85
23.48
8.70
37.08
30.48
19.46
63.86
8.14
17.25
10.53
33.29
29.03
37.68
1.96
RANK:
49th
159th
6th
303rd
237th
61st
28th
240th
163rd
40th
190th
162nd
98th
95th
54th
54th
314th
64th
4th
232nd
193rd
83rd
87th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
91.18
69.70
27.84
--
83.68
31.97
38.21
23.00
7.45
32.39
33.10
9.66
29.17
27.59
14.86
53.89
8.95
12.66
5.24
27.49
39.55
32.96
1.95
RANK:
12th
178th
136th
--
240th
16th
7th
13th
5th
52nd
350th
283rd
4th
127th
55th
37th
41st
37th
39th
7th
351st
103rd
288th
ANALYSIS: California is a top-25 caliber squad that should be able to remain competitive with most, if not all, teams in the country. Their record this season is 23-11, and the club is ranked 24th overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of 12) in the Pac-12 (average ranking 69.0).
The California defense will be extremely problematic for most opposing offenses. Allowing about 91 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the club is ranked 12th overall in defensive efficiency. California will take a bite out of many opponents' shooting percentages, based on the fact that the team ranks in the top-50 in three of our four primary defensive field goal categories. They're most likely to shut you down inside the three-point arc, considering the team limits AO to converting just 29.2% of their mid-range jumpers (fourth in the nation), 53.9% of their near-proximity chances (37th), and 38.2% of their total shots from the field (seventh). California is also a solid rebounding team that will deny the opposition chances to score off of offensive rebounds. They have a rating of 12.66 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 37th in the country), and they allow AO to convert just 5.2% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 39th) as well. If California does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 8.14 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 38th-worst in the college game.
California plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 49th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 110 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. California does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 10.5% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked fourth nationally). California also does a super job in their efforts to get to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 34.95 vs. AO, they are ranked sixth in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. Unfortunately, they don't convert a ton of their free throws and make just 66.3% of their attempts.
On the road, California performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked seventh from the bottom in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
California does worse vs. clubs that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. When playing squads that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 57.41%, California performs above average 21% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 67% of the time.
California performs better against squads that favor a faster tempo. When facing teams that have a pace vs. AO greater than 69.79, California is more efficient than normal 70% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 29% of the time.
When playing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, California usually performs better than average. California is more efficient than normal 55% of the time when facing clubs that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 69.04%. In all other contests, California performs better than average 17% of the time.
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