TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 California  23-11 (0.676)  |  Pac-12
All-Play Percentage: 0.934 (24th)
Schedule Strength: 0.677 (50th)
Record Quality: 0.328 (35th)
Avg. Season Rank: 30.05 (30th)
Pace: 69.78 (167th)
Momentum: -1.56 (243rd)
Consistency: -8.15 (82nd)
Away From Home: -2.78 (345th)
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 110.08 34.95 66.34 80.87 47.43 26.92 37.85 23.48 37.08 30.48 63.86 8.14 17.25 10.53 33.29 29.03 37.68 1.96
RANK: 49th 6th 303rd 237th 28th 240th 40th 190th 98th 95th 54th 314th 64th 4th 232nd 193rd 83rd 87th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 91.18 27.84 -- 83.68 38.21 23.00 32.39 33.10 29.17 27.59 53.89 8.95 12.66 5.24 27.49 39.55 32.96 1.95
RANK: 12th 136th -- 240th 7th 13th 52nd 350th 4th 127th 37th 41st 37th 39th 7th 351st 103rd 288th

ANALYSIS:
California is a top-25 caliber squad that should be able to remain competitive with most, if not all, teams in the country. Their record this season is 23-11, and the club is ranked 24th overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of 12) in the Pac-12 (average ranking 69.0).

The California defense will be extremely problematic for most opposing offenses. Allowing about 91 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the club is ranked 12th overall in defensive efficiency. California will take a bite out of many opponents' shooting percentages, based on the fact that the team ranks in the top-50 in three of our four primary defensive field goal categories. They're most likely to shut you down inside the three-point arc, considering the team limits AO to converting just 29.2% of their mid-range jumpers (fourth in the nation), 53.9% of their near-proximity chances (37th), and 38.2% of their total shots from the field (seventh). California is also a solid rebounding team that will deny the opposition chances to score off of offensive rebounds. They have a rating of 12.66 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 37th in the country), and they allow AO to convert just 5.2% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 39th) as well. If California does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 8.14 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 38th-worst in the college game.

California plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 49th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 110 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. California does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 10.5% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked fourth nationally). California also does a super job in their efforts to get to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 34.95 vs. AO, they are ranked sixth in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. Unfortunately, they don't convert a ton of their free throws and make just 66.3% of their attempts.

On the road, California performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked seventh from the bottom in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
California does worse vs. clubs that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. When playing squads that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 57.41%, California performs above average 21% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 67% of the time.
California performs better against squads that favor a faster tempo. When facing teams that have a pace vs. AO greater than 69.79, California is more efficient than normal 70% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 29% of the time.
When playing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, California usually performs better than average. California is more efficient than normal 55% of the time when facing clubs that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 69.04%. In all other contests, California performs better than average 17% of the time.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Mom Con SOS AFH ASR
2024-25119th119th64th58thACC75th--49th227th163rd120th
2023-24118th118th271st141stPac-1292nd284th20th51st203rd136th
2022-23274th274th362nd323rdPac-12328th254th347th45th175th234th
2021-22132nd130th272nd193rdPac-12321st215th211th82nd270th117th
2020-2194th94th296th196thPac-12324th58th185th15th281st136th
2019-20145th145th242nd129thPac-12315th83rd297th31st341st171st
2018-19232nd232nd329th231stPac-12282nd37th328th70th64th227th
2017-18243rd243rd324th236thPac-12190th273rd247th71st7th224th
2016-1771st71st94th69thPac-12293rd299th62nd74th253rd66th
2015-1624th24th65th35thPac-12167th243rd82nd50th345th30th
2014-15114th114th147th94thPac-1296th100th111th70th52nd107th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25121st88th137th250th104th249th197th250th123rd65th131st163rd136th147th239th239th55th70th
2023-24136th222nd172nd88th193rd53rd138th186th257th241st128th130th145th103rd75th206th265th296th
2022-23326th124th195th318th322nd337th197th74th354th184th302nd355th214th137th326th48th141st55th
2021-22219th256th152nd93rd190th287th297th19th119th271st125th316th225th145th295th23rd292nd143rd
2020-21100th90th224th260th71st129th103rd163rd52nd311th49th304th198th258th95th142nd307th295th
2019-20175th65th35th284th153rd333rd120th60th189th196th176th291st145th132nd329th40th149th55th
2018-19191st110th104th275th180th289th92nd155th336th140th161st46th339th342nd268th137th110th82nd
2017-18290th46th297th226th273rd334th343rd60th334th103rd143rd170th28th41st333rd50th92nd28th
2016-17139th38th290th206th157th238th126th129th193rd160th183rd325th74th63rd236th124th154th123rd
2015-1649th6th303rd237th28th240th40th190th98th95th54th314th64th4th232nd193rd83rd87th
2014-15174th274th307th138th85th308th83rd6th68th309th59th260th198th114th313th5th319th151st
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2595th105th--129th143rd149th336th249th130th103rd59th69th19th26th161st262nd110th153rd
2023-24105th213th--274th59th207th132nd326th77th71st86th98th170th124th168th314th52nd96th
2022-23174th218th--265th100th267th80th134th260th257th61st161st233rd64th240th94th233rd174th
2021-2294th273rd--122nd63rd66th30th257th194th193rd51st213th2nd1st89th279th204th258th
2020-2193rd222nd--65th118th38th176th297th29th116th241st160th52nd63rd57th321st148th244th
2019-20139th224th--163rd77th168th250th276th29th76th107th11th121st96th182nd272nd69th118th
2018-19303rd167th--157th283rd318th312th68th337th106th213th16th125th67th322nd64th118th55th
2017-18189th254th--94th180th173rd294th236th26th70th288th279th36th128th217th255th90th99th
2016-1725th162nd--195th21st99th64th341st82nd36th21st66th6th1st92nd340th38th98th
2015-1612th136th--240th7th13th52nd350th4th127th37th41st37th39th7th351st103rd288th
2014-1577th151st--224th85th14th115th346th84th146th96th94th39th107th7th347th129th290th