TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2024-25 UNC Wilmington  27-8 (0.771)  |  CAA
All-Play Percentage: 0.672 (120th)
Schedule Strength: 0.375 (257th)
Record Quality: 0.181 (87th)
Avg. Season Rank: 138.56 (133rd)
Pace: 65.34 (272nd)
Momentum: 4.52 (18th)
Off. Momentum: 2.13 (74th)
Def. Momentum: 2.39 (42nd)
Consistency: -8.49 (48th)
Res. Consistency: -11.73 (119th)
Away From Home: 0.73 (69th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 1.11 (28th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 7, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 113.21 28.69 76.20 88.70 45.29 32.87 33.44 26.13 39.78 29.71 63.25 10.13 16.24 6.47 37.05 29.45 33.50 2.04
RANK: 82nd 123rd 59th 100th 113th 210th 211th 55th 83rd 266th 52nd 287th 103rd 130th 225th 65th 287th 211th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 107.42 27.71 -- 87.89 43.20 37.56 33.64 20.91 35.61 29.42 60.80 11.14 15.03 6.40 42.73 23.80 33.47 2.09
RANK: 161st 198th -- 216th 126th 327th 145th 168th 103rd 74th 255th 106th 213th 226th 318th 162nd 66th 50th

ANALYSIS:
Per this website's calculations, UNC Wilmington is somewhere between an average to slightly above-average D1 ball-club. Carrying a record of 27-8, they are currently rated #120 overall (out of 364) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of 14) in the CAA (average ranking 225.9).

UNC Wilmington has a reasonably potent offensive attack. Occupying the #82 slot in our offensive efficiency rankings, they will score about 113 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UNC Wilmington fares better than most teams when it comes to converting from locations close to the basket. The team is ranked 52nd in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 63.3% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. However, even with their high conversion rate on near-proximity attempts, this team usually settles for shots from longer distances. Only about 33.5% of their total attempts vs. AO are from the inside. UNC Wilmington also converts a fair amount of its free throws. Making 76.2% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 59th nationally in free throw percentage.

UNC Wilmington is also a fairly decent team on the defensive end of the court. The team ranks 161st nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 107 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Although they have a capable defense, UNC Wilmington doesn't stand out in any one particular area on that end of the court, and they fall outside the top-100 in every one of the defensive categories we take into consideration for this analysis.

UNC Wilmington has been playing some of its most efficient basketball of the season recently and is presently ranked 18th in positive momentum. UNC Wilmington is also one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 48th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, UNC Wilmington often performs better than normal. UNC Wilmington is more efficient than usual 77% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 26.15. In their other contests, UNC Wilmington performs better than the norm 25% of the time.
UNC Wilmington does worse vs. clubs that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. When playing squads that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 11.71, UNC Wilmington performs above average 39% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 80% of the time.
UNC Wilmington performs worse against squads that convert well from outside the arc. When facing teams that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.73%, UNC Wilmington is more efficient than normal 38% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 75% of the time.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25120th120th20th87thCAA272nd48th257th28th69th133rd
2023-24128th128th55th104thCAA317th199th176th113th100th121st
2022-23175th174th50th98thColonial292nd162nd231st149th151st166th
2021-22147th147th37th69thColonial274th102nd166th8th87th247th
2020-21223rd223rd236th293rdColonial74th204th267th189th142nd176th
2019-20306th306th301st307thColonial163rd28th176th67th252nd326th
2018-19257th257th314th298thColonial77th147th210th196th106th241st
2017-18263rd263rd290th279thColonial22nd317th168th115th323rd284th
2016-1759th59th13th35thColonial77th338th127th183rd273rd61st
2015-1681st81st27th44thColonial96th55th140th152nd58th83rd
2014-15179th179th136th168thColonial44th348th196th142nd227th170th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2582nd123rd59th100th113th210th211th55th83rd266th52nd287th103rd130th225th65th287th211th
2023-2486th66th26th59th182nd102nd290th59th176th326th28th92nd159th199th128th70th340th306th
2022-23238th23rd91st348th222nd307th237th123rd182nd297th181st171st248th141st269th73rd230th147th
2021-22135th73rd133rd44th251st216th231st72nd182nd150th268th70th59th79th242nd105th185th132nd
2020-21193rd41st11th189th311th175th230th195th349th177th260th283rd173rd293rd177th188th167th182nd
2019-20322nd162nd175th325th302nd312th246th78th338th263rd218th199th195th319th287th53rd219th113th
2018-19188th79th88th203rd222nd244th212th31st265th314th78th320th29th81st238th29th307th226th
2017-18211th195th271st19th297th190th227th12th246th315th212th285th3rd54th244th18th336th249th
2016-1725th186th249th2nd54th18th87th128th49th236th17th45th59th42nd66th189th300th310th
2015-1675th75th167th68th125th166th98th76th138th229th108th33rd45th38th191st81st260th205th
2014-15224th148th216th149th226th322nd145th30th144th159th279th122nd184th249th326th32nd171st60th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25161st198th--216th126th327th145th168th103rd74th255th106th213th226th318th162nd66th50th
2023-24209th194th--150th246th118th221st236th137th173rd303rd37th341st341st122nd236th181st215th
2022-23117th312th--28th207th51st108th258th79th69th348th231st141st179th90th312th131st213th
2021-22175th295th--106th192nd37th218th290th138th185th180th1st344th279th48th308th202nd282nd
2020-21284th164th--194th327th25th28th173rd284th337th332nd71st284th351st20th177th340th346th
2019-20251st256th--248th232nd207th74th214th163rd202nd323rd261st272nd262nd179th197th161st172nd
2018-19325th177th--267th280th284th328th238th221st104th300th294th201st274th258th216th83rd80th
2017-18292nd231st--190th295th178th324th291st270th68th325th162nd223rd206th164th296th68th100th
2016-17185th209th--38th305th13th112th260th163rd158th341st14th88th280th19th306th222nd300th
2015-16116th350th--10th120th1st56th328th32nd58th279th145th251st269th4th349th134th304th
2014-15146th333rd--84th154th13th57th280th105th211th188th136th346th304th14th321st250th314th