Automated Team Capsule for 2024-25 UNC Wilmington27-8 (0.771) | CAA
All-Play Percentage: 0.672 (120th)
Schedule Strength: 0.375 (257th)
Record Quality: 0.181 (87th)
Avg. Season Rank: 138.56 (133rd)
Pace: 65.34 (272nd)
Momentum: 4.52 (18th)
Off. Momentum: 2.13 (74th)
Def. Momentum: 2.39 (42nd)
Consistency: -8.49 (48th)
Res. Consistency: -11.73 (119th)
Away From Home: 0.73 (69th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 1.11 (28th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 7, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
113.21
65.26
28.69
76.20
88.70
40.18
45.29
32.87
10.99
33.44
26.13
10.39
39.78
29.71
18.79
63.25
10.13
16.24
6.47
37.05
29.45
33.50
2.04
RANK:
82nd
276th
123rd
59th
100th
86th
113th
210th
224th
211th
55th
41st
83rd
266th
180th
52nd
287th
103rd
130th
225th
65th
287th
211th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
107.42
65.43
27.71
--
87.89
37.97
43.20
37.56
12.64
33.64
20.91
7.45
35.61
29.42
17.89
60.80
11.14
15.03
6.40
42.73
23.80
33.47
2.09
RANK:
161st
102nd
198th
--
216th
154th
126th
327th
294th
145th
168th
119th
103rd
74th
123rd
255th
106th
213th
226th
318th
162nd
66th
50th
ANALYSIS: Per this website's calculations, UNC Wilmington is somewhere between an average to slightly above-average D1 ball-club. Carrying a record of 27-8, they are currently rated #120 overall (out of 364) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of 14) in the CAA (average ranking 225.9).
UNC Wilmington has a reasonably potent offensive attack. Occupying the #82 slot in our offensive efficiency rankings, they will score about 113 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UNC Wilmington fares better than most teams when it comes to converting from locations close to the basket. The team is ranked 52nd in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 63.3% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. However, even with their high conversion rate on near-proximity attempts, this team usually settles for shots from longer distances. Only about 33.5% of their total attempts vs. AO are from the inside. UNC Wilmington also converts a fair amount of its free throws. Making 76.2% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 59th nationally in free throw percentage.
UNC Wilmington is also a fairly decent team on the defensive end of the court. The team ranks 161st nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 107 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Although they have a capable defense, UNC Wilmington doesn't stand out in any one particular area on that end of the court, and they fall outside the top-100 in every one of the defensive categories we take into consideration for this analysis.
UNC Wilmington has been playing some of its most efficient basketball of the season recently and is presently ranked 18th in positive momentum. UNC Wilmington is also one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 48th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, UNC Wilmington often performs better than normal. UNC Wilmington is more efficient than usual 77% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 26.15. In their other contests, UNC Wilmington performs better than the norm 25% of the time.
UNC Wilmington does worse vs. clubs that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. When playing squads that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 11.71, UNC Wilmington performs above average 39% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 80% of the time.
UNC Wilmington performs worse against squads that convert well from outside the arc. When facing teams that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.73%, UNC Wilmington is more efficient than normal 38% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 75% of the time.
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