Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 Evansville9-16 (0.360) | Missouri Valley
All-Play Percentage: 0.371 (224th)
Schedule Strength: 0.508 (169th)
Record Quality: -0.139 (241st)
Avg. Season Rank: 254.87 (262nd)
Pace: 65.06 (352nd)
Momentum: 0.78 (136th)
Off. Momentum: 2.73 (41st)
Def. Momentum: -1.95 (271st)
Consistency: -10.07 (260th)
Res. Consistency: -11.94 (171st)
Away From Home: -2.14 (324th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.13 (106th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
102.03
64.85
20.47
72.79
81.90
36.19
44.19
39.43
14.75
37.41
17.58
6.72
38.22
24.89
14.72
59.14
7.92
7.77
3.16
48.14
21.46
30.39
2.18
RANK:
128th
351st
332nd
123rd
183rd
152nd
142nd
9th
2nd
33rd
324th
310th
169th
298th
274th
173rd
331st
352nd
330th
5th
326th
296th
350th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
106.68
65.26
26.87
--
77.73
39.41
50.70
22.86
9.47
41.43
21.92
8.55
38.99
32.95
21.39
64.93
9.30
12.35
6.69
29.41
28.20
42.39
1.87
RANK:
306th
8th
256th
--
27th
324th
356th
2nd
86th
357th
120th
151st
210th
333rd
348th
331st
60th
161st
334th
5th
186th
353rd
354th
ANALYSIS: Evansville has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. They have a record of 9-16 and are ranked 224th overall (out of 357) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 10 schools in the MVC (average ranking 156.7), they're currently ranked as our #9 team in the conference.
Based on the data, Evansville will likely find more success on offense than on defense. Scoring about 102 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and utilizing an extremely deliberate pace (the sixth-slowest in D1), they currently occupy the #128 slot in the rankings for offensive efficiency. Evansville lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks fifth in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to shoot from long, they have the ability to punish you for it, too. Ranked in the top-50 in three-point shooting percentage, they make approximately 37.4% of their three-point attempts vs. AO. Evansville is also fairly competent protecting the ball on offense, which minimizes opportunities for the opponent to score quickly off of steals. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 9.30, which ranks #60 in the country. If Evansville does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad only has a rating of 7.77 vs. AO in potential points off of second chances, which ranks sixth-worst in college hoops.
Unfortunately, Evansville is not even remotely close to being as good on defense as they are on offense. The team is ranked 306th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 107 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Evansville allows opposing teams far too many easy chances from the floor, ranking in the bottom-50 in three of the four main defensive field goal shooting categories. AO will convert a healthy 41.4% of their three-pointers (last in the nation), 64.9% of their near-proximity attempts (331st), and 50.7% of their total shots from the field (second from the bottom). Evansville is also one of the very worst teams in the game when it comes to preventing opponents from scoring off of offensive rebounds. The team allows AO to convert 6.7% of all second-chance opportunities (334th nationally). If Evansville does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to limit the number of shot attempts by the opposition. The team has a defensive field goal attempt rate of 77.73 vs. AO, which ranks 27th-best in college basketball.
When playing on the road, Evansville performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 324th in our site's away-from-home metric.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Evansville is typically worse vs. teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. Against foes that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 12.66, Evansville performs above their norm 29% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 88% of the time.
When facing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Evansville often performs better than normal. Evansville is more efficient than usual 65% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.97%. In their other contests, Evansville performs better than the norm 13% of the time.
Evansville does worse vs. clubs that tend to get off more shots. When playing squads that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 82.57, Evansville performs above average 22% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 63% of the time.
Key scores 19 to carry Indiana State over Evansville in MVC (3/5/2021 6:03:45 PM) ST. LOUIS (AP) — Tyreke Key posted 19 points and nine rebounds as Indiana State defeated Evansville 53-43 in the Missouri Valley Conference Tourney quarterfinals on Friday.
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