Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Texas State16-19 (0.457) | Sun Belt
All-Play Percentage: 0.461 (196th)
Schedule Strength: 0.472 (149th)
Record Quality: -0.041 (198th)
Avg. Season Rank: 208.75 (212th)
Pace: 64.77 (339th)
Momentum: 3.65 (35th)
Off. Momentum: 3.03 (48th)
Def. Momentum: 0.61 (101st)
Consistency: -9.14 (174th)
Res. Consistency: -9.73 (37th)
Away From Home: 2.39 (4th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.32 (136th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
102.27
64.51
26.26
73.57
85.79
37.92
44.20
22.66
7.11
31.39
30.20
10.90
36.10
32.92
19.90
60.45
11.22
14.65
6.17
26.42
35.21
38.37
1.88
RANK:
177th
343rd
126th
117th
123rd
133rd
155th
352nd
354th
314th
27th
55th
272nd
56th
56th
124th
149th
151st
89th
356th
28th
68th
11th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
103.44
65.04
30.83
--
79.12
35.69
45.10
27.64
10.37
37.52
21.02
7.79
37.05
30.46
17.53
57.55
9.99
11.38
4.90
34.94
26.57
38.49
1.96
RANK:
185th
36th
344th
--
16th
100th
239th
53rd
166th
338th
61st
63rd
140th
222nd
195th
124th
111th
27th
121st
109th
122nd
314th
290th
ANALYSIS: While not an atrocious team by any means, Texas State is not exactly one that should appear in many top-100 rankings either. They have a record of 16-19 and are ranked 196th overall (out of 363) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #9 team (out of 14) in the Sun Belt (average ranking 178.6).
Based on the data, Texas State will likely find more success on offense than on defense. Scoring about 102 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #177 slot in the rankings for offensive efficiency. Texas State favors the mid-range jumper over any of the others. The club is ranked 28th in ratio of mid-range attempts to total field goal attempts. That being said, though they shoot a fair amount of in-between jumpers, they don't really make a whole lot of them and convert just 36.1% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO. If Texas State does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's ability (or lack thereof) to sink threes. The squad converts just 31.4% of their three-point attempts vs. AO, which ranks 50th-worst in the nation.
Texas State is not quite as good on the defensive end of the floor. The team is ranked 185th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 103 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Texas State fouls far too much and sends the opposition to the line way too often. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 30.83 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #344 in the country in that category. Texas State also does a very lackluster job preventing opponents from draining threes. They rank 338th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 37.5% of their attempts from afar. If Texas State does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to limit the number of shot attempts by the opposition. The team has a defensive field goal attempt rate of 79.12 vs. AO, which ranks 16th-best in college basketball.
Texas State has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #35 ranking in positive momentum. When playing on the road, Texas State has played their best basketball this season. The team is currently ranked fourth in the country in the away-from-home metric our site tracks.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Texas State performs worse against squads that prefer the outside shot. When facing teams that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.00, Texas State is more efficient than normal 21% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 72% of the time.
When playing teams that have trouble defending the mid-range shot, Texas State usually performs worse than average. Texas State is more efficient than normal 20% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 39.30%. In all other contests, Texas State performs better than average 64% of the time.
Texas State is typically better vs. teams that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. Against foes that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 42.25%, Texas State performs above their norm 64% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 20% of the time.
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