Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Cleveland State21-14 (0.600) | Horizon
All-Play Percentage: 0.525 (173rd)
Schedule Strength: 0.345 (282nd)
Record Quality: 0.043 (151st)
Avg. Season Rank: 179.36 (173rd)
Pace: 67.87 (183rd)
Momentum: -0.84 (223rd)
Off. Momentum: 0.94 (160th)
Def. Momentum: -1.78 (242nd)
Consistency: -9.21 (184th)
Res. Consistency: -10.81 (104th)
Away From Home: 0.51 (56th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.52 (242nd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
100.73
68.02
25.18
68.40
87.66
38.40
43.81
22.89
6.71
29.29
27.80
10.12
36.42
36.98
21.57
58.34
10.92
17.42
6.94
26.11
31.71
42.18
1.84
RANK:
215th
174th
181st
302nd
45th
107th
177th
351st
359th
357th
61st
102nd
257th
3rd
10th
192nd
163rd
32nd
36th
360th
90th
8th
1st
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
102.39
67.73
25.30
--
85.48
37.08
43.38
29.84
9.87
33.10
23.80
8.69
36.53
31.85
18.51
58.12
10.65
16.88
6.95
34.90
27.84
37.26
1.98
RANK:
159th
176th
186th
--
211th
175th
140th
129th
111th
120th
188th
148th
120th
279th
253rd
151st
175th
339th
341st
105th
177th
278th
267th
ANALYSIS: As an average to slightly above-average foe, Cleveland State should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Ranked 173rd overall (out of 363) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 21-14. Of the 11 schools in the Horizon League (average ranking 231.8), they're currently ranked as our #3 team in the conference.
Based on their performances this year, Cleveland State will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 102 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #159 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. Although they have a capable defense, Cleveland State doesn't stand out in any one particular area on that end of the court, and they fall outside the top-100 in every one of the defensive categories we take into consideration for this analysis. If Cleveland State does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's issues trying to stop opponents from obtaining and converting second-chance opportunities via offensive rebounds. The squad has a defensive second-chance conversion percentage of 7.0% vs. AO, which ranks 23rd-worst in the nation.
Cleveland State doesn't perform as well offensively as they do defensively. The team is ranked 215th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 101 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cleveland State is one of the least accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They are ranked seventh from the bottom in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 29.3% of their attempts from long vs. AO. If Cleveland State does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's knack for obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a rating of 17.42 in potential points off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks 32nd in all of college hoops.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Cleveland State performs better against squads that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. When facing teams that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.22%, Cleveland State is more efficient than normal 56% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 20% of the time.
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