Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Old Dominion19-12 (0.613) | Conference USA
All-Play Percentage: 0.657 (121st)
Schedule Strength: 0.473 (193rd)
Record Quality: 0.097 (117th)
Avg. Season Rank: 123.98 (118th)
Pace: 64.85 (346th)
Momentum: 0.22 (158th)
Off. Momentum: 1.26 (137th)
Def. Momentum: -1.03 (211th)
Consistency: -9.18 (201st)
Res. Consistency: -11.36 (175th)
Away From Home: 1.48 (29th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 2.07 (9th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
97.11
64.96
26.74
64.11
86.14
35.94
41.72
24.54
8.09
32.95
36.39
12.34
33.92
25.21
15.51
61.52
8.76
16.37
6.86
28.49
42.24
29.26
1.99
RANK:
244th
346th
200th
329th
15th
165th
275th
322nd
322nd
271st
1st
4th
286th
298th
246th
103rd
287th
82nd
145th
339th
1st
325th
134th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
94.62
64.75
28.57
--
78.77
31.93
40.54
30.74
10.66
34.67
24.52
8.04
32.80
23.50
13.23
56.30
9.78
12.13
4.28
39.03
31.13
29.84
2.09
RANK:
49th
5th
211th
--
55th
15th
42nd
233rd
198th
130th
210th
106th
37th
26th
17th
73rd
94th
25th
8th
290th
256th
41st
38th
ANALYSIS: As an average to slightly above-average foe, Old Dominion should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. They have a record of 19-12 and are ranked 121st overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of 14) in Conference USA (average ranking 201.9).
Old Dominion has a fairly effective defensive attack. Occupying the #49 slot in our defensive efficiency ratings and preferring an extremely deliberate pace (the sixth-slowest in D1), they will allow about 95 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Old Dominion does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 4.3% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked eighth in the NCAA), and with a rating of 12.13, they're 25th in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well. Old Dominion has also been able to successfully prevent opponents from making shots between the three-point stripe and the low post. They're ranked 37th in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 32.8% of their attempts from that distance.
Unfortunately, Old Dominion is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 244th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 97 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Old Dominion has had serious struggles making their free throws this year. Converting just 64.1% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #329 overall in free throw percentage. If Old Dominion does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to successfully get off shots each possession. The squad has a field goal attempt rate of 86.14 vs. AO, which ranks #15 in college basketball.
On the road, Old Dominion performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 29th in our away-from-home metric.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds, Old Dominion often performs better than normal. Old Dominion is more efficient than usual 55% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.80. In their other contests, Old Dominion performs better than the norm 11% of the time.
Old Dominion does better vs. clubs that are typically efficient on offense. When playing squads that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 96.85, Old Dominion performs above average 55% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 11% of the time.
Old Dominion performs worse against squads that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. When facing teams that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.78%, Old Dominion is more efficient than normal 11% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 55% of the time.
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