Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 CSU Bakersfield12-18 (0.400) | WAC
All-Play Percentage: 0.291 (249th)
Schedule Strength: 0.527 (134th)
Record Quality: -0.159 (255th)
Avg. Season Rank: 248.35 (253rd)
Pace: 68.08 (296th)
Momentum: 0.93 (130th)
Off. Momentum: 1.25 (118th)
Def. Momentum: -0.32 (164th)
Consistency: -9.37 (216th)
Res. Consistency: -14.70 (324th)
Away From Home: -1.48 (280th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.09 (200th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
93.09
67.96
23.53
69.61
80.47
33.62
41.78
30.57
9.47
30.98
22.84
8.31
36.37
27.06
15.84
58.54
10.46
11.42
5.29
37.99
28.38
33.63
2.04
RANK:
315th
301st
270th
260th
249th
295th
284th
171st
274th
330th
157th
176th
205th
237th
243rd
208th
206th
307th
287th
148th
144th
216th
206th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
101.63
68.20
31.38
--
78.22
33.85
43.28
32.73
11.62
35.50
20.92
7.37
35.23
24.57
14.86
60.48
11.42
14.55
5.80
41.85
26.74
31.41
2.10
RANK:
156th
61st
327th
--
33rd
56th
123rd
268th
262nd
178th
107th
70th
92nd
48th
72nd
181st
230th
169th
72nd
318th
146th
76th
41st
ANALYSIS: CSU Bakersfield has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. Their record this season is 12-18, and the club is ranked 249th overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #5 team (out of eight) in the WAC (average ranking 203.6).
If there is a strength for CSU Bakersfield this year, it's probably on the defensive end of the court. The team is rated 156th in defensive efficiency, allowing fewer than 102 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. CSU Bakersfield does a really good job to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 33rd in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 78.22 vs. AO. CSU Bakersfield also does an adequate job to prevent opponents from scoring off of offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 5.8% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 72nd in the NCAA). If CSU Bakersfield does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's tendency to send opponents to the line too much by fouling. The squad has a rating of 31.38 in defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 25th-worst in the country.
Unfortunately, CSU Bakersfield is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 315th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 93 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. CSU Bakersfield is one of the least accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They are ranked 330th in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 31.0% of their attempts from long vs. AO. CSU Bakersfield also does a fairly poor job cleaning the offensive glass. Against AO, the ball-club has a rating of 11.42 in potential points scored off of second chances (307th nationally).
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
CSU Bakersfield does better vs. clubs that prefer the outside shot. When playing squads that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.01, CSU Bakersfield performs above average 88% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 32% of the time.
CSU Bakersfield performs better against squads that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When facing teams that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.76, CSU Bakersfield is more efficient than normal 67% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 11% of the time.
When playing teams that effectively clean the offensive glass, CSU Bakersfield usually performs better than average. CSU Bakersfield is more efficient than normal 65% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.97. In all other contests, CSU Bakersfield performs better than average 20% of the time.
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