Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Fort Wayne23-13 (0.639) | Horizon
All-Play Percentage: 0.529 (171st)
Schedule Strength: 0.315 (303rd)
Record Quality: 0.041 (151st)
Avg. Season Rank: 169.62 (166th)
Pace: 70.38 (42nd)
Momentum: -0.22 (184th)
Off. Momentum: -1.88 (306th)
Def. Momentum: 1.66 (64th)
Consistency: -9.41 (203rd)
Res. Consistency: -10.98 (95th)
Away From Home: 0.80 (84th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.09 (194th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
103.84
70.39
22.38
69.95
86.55
37.73
43.59
36.03
12.72
35.32
23.45
10.26
43.75
27.07
14.75
54.46
16.12
10.88
5.08
41.63
27.09
31.28
2.10
RANK:
203rd
45th
323rd
267th
125th
167th
199th
46th
49th
135th
160th
92nd
28th
313th
317th
279th
14th
295th
205th
55th
162nd
320th
330th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.77
70.37
26.11
--
80.73
37.67
46.66
29.97
10.42
34.75
23.21
9.78
42.14
27.55
17.47
63.42
10.74
13.34
6.55
37.12
28.76
34.12
2.03
RANK:
155th
319th
179th
--
21st
175th
305th
105th
135th
198th
204th
266th
310th
55th
162nd
343rd
125th
182nd
314th
192nd
263rd
104th
126th
ANALYSIS: As an average to slightly above-average foe, Fort Wayne should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. They have a record of 23-13 and are ranked 171st overall (out of 362) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #4 team (out of 11) in the Horizon League (average ranking 220.8).
Based on their performances this year, Fort Wayne will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 105 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #155 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. Fort Wayne thrives on scoring fast and easy points off of steals. They're ranked 14th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 16.12. Fort Wayne also has extremely pesky defenders that ceaselessly attempt to deny opponents ample opportunity to shoot. The club is ranked 21st in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 80.73 vs. AO. If Fort Wayne does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's difficulties stopping opponents from converting from the inside. AO will convert 63.4% of their near-proximity field goal attempts, and the team ranks 20th-worst in that category as a result.
Fort Wayne is not quite as good on the offensive end of the floor. The team is ranked 203rd in offensive efficiency, scoring about 104 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Fort Wayne struggles to draw fouls and earn opportunities at the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of just 22.38 vs. AO, they are 323rd in the overall rankings for that category. If Fort Wayne does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to successfully hit from mid-range locations on the court. The team makes 43.8% of their in-between field goal attempts vs. AO, which ranks 28th in the NCAA.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Fort Wayne does better vs. clubs that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 44.26%, Fort Wayne performs above average 67% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
Fort Wayne performs worse against squads that are typically efficient on offense. When facing teams that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 102.89, Fort Wayne is more efficient than normal 29% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 70% of the time.
When playing teams that tend to get off more shots, Fort Wayne usually performs worse than average. Fort Wayne is more efficient than normal 31% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 85.66. In all other contests, Fort Wayne performs better than average 72% of the time.
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