Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Wright State22-13 (0.629) | Horizon
All-Play Percentage: 0.609 (138th)
Schedule Strength: 0.473 (199th)
Record Quality: 0.101 (125th)
Avg. Season Rank: 176.70 (178th)
Pace: 67.37 (298th)
Momentum: 2.26 (66th)
Off. Momentum: 0.26 (188th)
Def. Momentum: 1.99 (41st)
Consistency: -9.09 (199th)
Res. Consistency: -15.54 (344th)
Away From Home: -1.48 (307th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.87 (183rd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
98.80
67.26
24.67
68.94
80.52
35.47
44.05
28.98
10.86
37.48
26.98
10.30
38.16
24.55
14.31
58.27
9.48
8.86
3.65
35.99
33.51
30.50
2.05
RANK:
206th
307th
315th
209th
252nd
173rd
144th
171st
108th
50th
87th
59th
69th
327th
308th
185th
252nd
346th
347th
153rd
67th
319th
278th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
97.43
67.47
33.49
--
74.56
32.33
43.37
26.72
8.90
33.30
23.05
7.69
33.34
24.79
15.75
63.54
8.76
11.53
5.38
35.83
30.92
33.24
2.03
RANK:
77th
59th
317th
--
4th
23rd
143rd
73rd
55th
84th
137th
74th
65th
33rd
86th
287th
33rd
13th
48th
201st
241st
112th
122nd
ANALYSIS: Wright State is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. They have a record of 22-13 and are ranked 138th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #5 team (out of 10) in the Horizon League (average ranking 183.6).
Wright State will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 77th in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 98 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Wright State has extremely pesky defenders that ceaselessly attempt to deny opponents ample opportunity to shoot. The club is ranked fourth in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 74.56 vs. AO. Wright State also does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 11.53 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 13th in the country), and they allow AO to convert just 5.4% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 48th) as well. If Wright State does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's tendency to send opponents to the line too much by fouling. The squad has a rating of 33.49 in defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 35th-worst in the country.
The offense for Wright State, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the defense is. The team is ranked 206th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 99 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Wright State does a terrible job to take advantage of scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team converts only 3.6% of all second-chance opportunities (fifth from the bottom nationally), and with a rating of 8.86, they're sixth from the bottom in potential points scored off of the offensive boards as well. Wright State also struggles to draw fouls and earn opportunities at the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of just 24.67 vs. AO, they are 315th in the overall rankings for that category. If Wright State does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's care for the ball. The squad has a rating of 8.76 in potential points allowed off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 33rd in the college game.
When playing on the road, Wright State performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 307th in our site's away-from-home metric.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, Wright State often performs worse than normal. Wright State is more efficient than usual 36% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 26.91. In their other contests, Wright State performs better than the norm 73% of the time.
Wright State does better vs. clubs that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. When playing squads that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.95, Wright State performs above average 67% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 33% of the time.
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