TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 W. Carolina  7-25 (0.219)  |  Southern
All-Play Percentage: 0.136 (305th)
Schedule Strength: 0.537 (125th)
Record Quality: -0.297 (313th)
Avg. Season Rank: 306.66 (312th)
Pace: 70.32 (83rd)
Momentum: 1.79 (88th)
Off. Momentum: 2.04 (80th)
Def. Momentum: -0.24 (152nd)
Consistency: -11.34 (324th)
Res. Consistency: -15.37 (322nd)
Away From Home: 0.72 (81st)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.98 (262nd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 97.77 26.33 65.48 77.78 43.93 33.87 35.99 12.86 35.37 31.05 56.14 7.78 12.77 6.20 43.54 16.54 39.92 2.04
RANK: 264th 165th 331st 343rd 171st 121st 101st 346th 192nd 138th 268th 343rd 213th 135th 56th 340th 59th 196th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 109.77 32.53 -- 80.56 48.03 30.11 33.51 17.88 36.29 32.56 67.91 16.99 9.42 4.33 37.38 22.20 40.42 1.97
RANK: 289th 346th -- 60th 326th 91st 110th 47th 184th 266th 347th 352nd 1st 23rd 137th 67th 308th 278th

ANALYSIS:
Not one of the better ball-clubs in college basketball, W. Carolina should be a fairly easy win for most capable opponents. Ranked 305th overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 7-25. They are also ranked by this site as the worst team (out of 10) in the Southern (average ranking 190.4).

W. Carolina does not provide much of a challenge on defense. They are ranked at #289 in efficiency on that end of the court and give up about 110 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. W. Carolina fares terribly when attempting to stop opponents from converting from the inside. The team is ranked seventh from the bottom in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on 67.9% of their attempts from close-up. And with such little resistance, AO will merrily cut, slash, and drive right to the hoop as often as possible. Of AO's total field goals, a big portion of them (40.4%) will be from short-distance. W. Carolina also fouls far too much and sends the opposition to the line way too often. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 32.53 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #346 in the country in that category. W. Carolina is lastly extremely underskilled to force steals that turn into quick and easy points. They're ranked #343 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 7.78 vs. AO. If W. Carolina does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their success stopping opponents from earning second-chance opportunities via offensive boards. The team has a rating of 9.42 in potential points allowed off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks first in college hoops.

W. Carolina doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 98 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #264 in the nation in offensive efficiency. W. Carolina tends to be very careless with the ball and allows far too many breakaway opportunities off of their own turnovers. The team's rating for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals vs. AO is 16.99, which ranks second from the bottom in D1. W. Carolina also happens to be one of the very worst in the game when it comes to maximizing the number of shot attempts they get off from the floor. The team is nationally ranked 343rd in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 77.78 vs. AO. W. Carolina lastly has had serious struggles making their free throws this year. Converting just 65.5% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #331 overall in free throw percentage.

W. Carolina has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 324th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
W. Carolina is typically worse vs. teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. Against foes that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.22%, W. Carolina performs above their norm 41% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 89% of the time.
When facing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, W. Carolina often performs better than normal. W. Carolina is more efficient than usual 77% of the time when facing teams that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 11.64. In their other contests, W. Carolina performs better than the norm 39% of the time.
W. Carolina does worse vs. clubs that convert well from outside the arc. When playing squads that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.59%, W. Carolina performs above average 43% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 80% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Paladins’ defense shuts down WCU
(2/13/2019 2:19:00 PM) Western Carolina was held to a season low in points last Thursday in a 64-45 Southern Conference men’s basketball loss to Furman ... Marcus Thomas led the Catamounts with 16 points, and Kameron Gibson had 10. Onno Steger, who was recently named ...
Western takes conference shootout from Chattanooga
(2/6/2019 2:21:00 PM) Marcus Thomas and Onno Steger combined for 62 points last Thursday as Western Carolina earned a 105-96 Southern Conference men’s basketball victory at UT ... Carlos Dotson had a double-double for the Catamounts with 18 points and 10 rebounds.
Mocs Lose Shootout With Western Carolina 105-96
(2/1/2019 10:07:00 AM) The Chattanooga Mocs dropped a high-scoring 105-96 battle against Western Carolina in McKenzie Arena tonight. The loss moves the Mocs to 5-5 in Southern Conference action, 10-13 overall. All five starters for UTC scored in double-figures, led by freshman ...
Thomas, Steger power Western Carolina past Chattanooga
(1/31/2019 10:55:00 PM) Steger hit three free throws with 47 seconds left and nailed a 3-pointer with nine ticks left to pull the Catamounts into a 46-46 tie at intermission. Thomas hit a 3-pointer with 16:20 left to play to give Western Carolina the lead for good. Freshman Kevin ...
Bucs not taking Western Carolina lightly
(1/25/2019 5:25:00 PM) Don’t look at records, East Tennessee State basketball coach Steve Forbes warns, even with a trip to Western Carolina on the horizon. Don’t look at the Catamounts’ 5-16 record. Don’t look at the fact that ETSU has won 23 of its last 24 games ...
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25336th336th332nd330thSouthern26th300th178th158th13th334th
2023-24110th110th47th99thSouthern201st185th211th215th126th131st
2022-23227th227th176th207thSouthern155th301st245th237th115th262nd
2021-22308th308th290th267thSouthern106th346th176th73rd296th316th
2020-21253rd253rd245th232ndSouthern98th306th155th140th188th242nd
2019-20140th140th102nd133rdSouthern48th54th177th161st100th128th
2018-19305th305th336th313thSouthern83rd324th125th262nd81st312th
2017-18306th305th253rd223rdSouthern120th188th152nd339th221st306th
2016-17335th335th312th275thSouthern225th330th117th350th344th339th
2015-16207th207th211th205thSouthern123rd87th158th141st252nd198th
2014-15227th226th205th239thSouthern124th170th225th201st77th214th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25351st351st175th194th355th24th332nd304th307th270th347th355th269th318th19th305th271st338th
2023-24128th307th150th50th153rd169th30th154th95th95th304th321st112th215th217th173rd133rd136th
2022-23232nd112th242nd205th265th129th256th233rd112th193rd285th279th155th273rd121st234th194th228th
2021-22275th232nd320th100th340th6th281st285th135th333rd321st320th72nd180th5th293rd340th355th
2020-21200th235th65th316th163rd69th84th263rd30th317th265th234th338th344th37th239th298th324th
2019-2080th36th155th304th105th62nd26th351st147th71st267th301st213th169th33rd350th51st221st
2018-19264th165th331st343rd171st121st101st346th192nd138th268th343rd213th135th56th340th59th196th
2017-18322nd236th257th262nd316th221st231st147th345th201st275th67th121st137th194th128th181st158th
2016-17348th347th316th69th342nd262nd324th2nd281st340th317th290th30th117th284th3rd344th237th
2015-16238th185th140th171st278th129th273rd191st337th185th171st38th61st116th130th206th200th219th
2014-15228th301st125th52nd259th182nd160th45th198th259th256th38th35th226th216th58th296th218th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25266th265th--318th172nd253rd67th200th168th263rd255th359th295th116th188th170th210th188th
2023-2491st236th--272nd72nd23rd110th359th162nd87th46th49th92nd133rd17th360th61st242nd
2022-23223rd266th--219th213th28th172nd350th332nd147th119th104th241st292nd20th353rd126th265th
2021-22320th231st--329th205th347th260th194th141st111th308th230th309th215th323rd136th56th39th
2020-21301st150th--222nd324th90th269th281st337th220th264th346th208th233rd69th270th211th269th
2019-20256th208th--220th213th254th68th108th221st239th283rd181st65th87th232nd93rd214th165th
2018-19289th346th--60th326th91st110th47th184th266th347th352nd1st23rd137th67th308th278th
2017-18270th221st--102nd289th259th213th72nd223rd139th335th326th218th255th294th80th156th107th
2016-17277th335th--25th295th128th310th81st276th136th254th347th201st231st212th108th205th187th
2015-16188th318th--27th198th112th225th110th194th122nd189th108th201st168th199th165th187th170th
2014-15234th350th--31st181st134th160th32nd97th216th181st224th317th296th204th54th278th227th