Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 Virginia31-3 (0.912) | ACC
All-Play Percentage: 0.994 (3rd)
Schedule Strength: 0.729 (27th)
Record Quality: 0.652 (2nd)
Avg. Season Rank: 2.75 (2nd)
Pace: 62.29 (351st)
Momentum: -5.10 (336th)
Off. Momentum: 0.19 (177th)
Def. Momentum: -5.29 (345th)
Consistency: -9.85 (270th)
Res. Consistency: -12.14 (212th)
Away From Home: 0.69 (64th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.87 (176th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
113.88
62.56
23.31
76.55
87.82
42.06
47.89
30.08
11.91
39.61
30.86
12.92
41.89
26.89
17.22
64.05
11.57
12.43
5.97
34.25
35.13
30.62
2.04
RANK:
21st
351st
278th
31st
3rd
10th
41st
189th
94th
18th
18th
4th
27th
246th
154th
52nd
130th
266th
233rd
259th
27th
295th
191st
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
84.78
62.03
20.52
--
79.76
29.64
37.17
32.85
10.18
30.98
21.69
6.97
32.13
25.22
12.50
49.56
6.44
11.48
3.98
41.18
27.20
31.62
2.10
RANK:
1st
1st
13th
--
89th
1st
3rd
272nd
101st
13th
140th
46th
9th
61st
4th
7th
2nd
11th
4th
305th
166th
81st
53rd
ANALYSIS: Virginia is among the very best of the best in NCAA hoops this year. Ranked third overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 31-3. They are also ranked by this site as the #2 team (out of 15) in the ACC (average ranking 54.7).
The Virginia defense will be extremely problematic for most opposing offenses. Allowing about 85 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and demonstrating a preference for an extremely deliberate pace (the slowest in D1), the club is ranked first overall in defensive efficiency. Virginia will wreak havoc with many opponents' shooting percentages this year. And it doesn't really matter where the shots originate; the team ranks in the top-25 in each of the four major defensive shooting categories. They allow AO to make just 31.0% of their three-pointers (13th in the nation), 32.1% of their mid-range shots (ninth), 49.6% of their near-proximity attempts (seventh), and 37.2% of their total shots from the field (third). Virginia also does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 4.0% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked fourth in the NCAA), and with a rating of 11.48, they're 11th in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well. Virginia is lastly a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 20.52 vs. AO, they are currently rated 13th in the country in that category.
Virginia plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 21st nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 114 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Virginia allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 6.44, which ranks #2 in the country. Virginia is also one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked third in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 87.82 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-50 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 47.9% of their total attempts vs. AO. Virginia is lastly one of the most accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They're ranked 18th nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 39.6% of their attempts from there vs. AO. Though they convert many of their threes, the team doesn't really shoot a ton of them. Only 34.2% of their total attempts vs. AO are from long-distance.
Virginia has definitely not been as efficient as of late compared to earlier in the season and, consequently, the team is nationally ranked 336th in positive momentum.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Virginia does better vs. clubs that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 81.93, Virginia performs above average 62% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 23% of the time.
Virginia performs better against squads that shoot the ball well from the field. When facing teams that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 47.40%, Virginia is more efficient than normal 73% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 35% of the time.
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