TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 Virginia  31-3 (0.912)  |  ACC
All-Play Percentage: 0.994 (3rd)
Schedule Strength: 0.729 (27th)
Record Quality: 0.652 (2nd)
Avg. Season Rank: 2.75 (2nd)
Pace: 62.29 (351st)
Momentum: -5.10 (336th)
Off. Momentum: 0.19 (177th)
Def. Momentum: -5.29 (345th)
Consistency: -9.85 (270th)
Res. Consistency: -12.14 (212th)
Away From Home: 0.69 (64th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.87 (176th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 113.88 23.31 76.55 87.82 47.89 30.08 39.61 30.86 41.89 26.89 64.05 11.57 12.43 5.97 34.25 35.13 30.62 2.04
RANK: 21st 278th 31st 3rd 41st 189th 18th 18th 27th 246th 52nd 130th 266th 233rd 259th 27th 295th 191st

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 84.78 20.52 -- 79.76 37.17 32.85 30.98 21.69 32.13 25.22 49.56 6.44 11.48 3.98 41.18 27.20 31.62 2.10
RANK: 1st 13th -- 89th 3rd 272nd 13th 140th 9th 61st 7th 2nd 11th 4th 305th 166th 81st 53rd

ANALYSIS:
Virginia is among the very best of the best in NCAA hoops this year. Ranked third overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 31-3. They are also ranked by this site as the #2 team (out of 15) in the ACC (average ranking 54.7).

The Virginia defense will be extremely problematic for most opposing offenses. Allowing about 85 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and demonstrating a preference for an extremely deliberate pace (the slowest in D1), the club is ranked first overall in defensive efficiency. Virginia will wreak havoc with many opponents' shooting percentages this year. And it doesn't really matter where the shots originate; the team ranks in the top-25 in each of the four major defensive shooting categories. They allow AO to make just 31.0% of their three-pointers (13th in the nation), 32.1% of their mid-range shots (ninth), 49.6% of their near-proximity attempts (seventh), and 37.2% of their total shots from the field (third). Virginia also does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 4.0% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked fourth in the NCAA), and with a rating of 11.48, they're 11th in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well. Virginia is lastly a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 20.52 vs. AO, they are currently rated 13th in the country in that category.

Virginia plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 21st nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 114 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Virginia allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 6.44, which ranks #2 in the country. Virginia is also one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked third in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 87.82 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-50 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 47.9% of their total attempts vs. AO. Virginia is lastly one of the most accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They're ranked 18th nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 39.6% of their attempts from there vs. AO. Though they convert many of their threes, the team doesn't really shoot a ton of them. Only 34.2% of their total attempts vs. AO are from long-distance.

Virginia has definitely not been as efficient as of late compared to earlier in the season and, consequently, the team is nationally ranked 336th in positive momentum.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Virginia does better vs. clubs that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 81.93, Virginia performs above average 62% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 23% of the time.
Virginia performs better against squads that shoot the ball well from the field. When facing teams that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 47.40%, Virginia is more efficient than normal 73% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 35% of the time.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25104th104th218th130thACC359th307th70th305th156th98th
2023-2464th64th56th34thACC362nd362nd50th355th362nd46th
2022-2333rd33rd29th20thACC359th55th71st172nd134th17th
2021-2271st71st126th63rdACC357th149th67th119th205th66th
2020-2117th16th35th22ndACC357th312th68th334th238th6th
2019-2040th40th26th16thACC353rd255th64th203rd220th35th
2018-193rd3rd1st1stACC353rd131st34th287th281st4th
2017-183rd3rd1st2ndACC351st270th27th176th64th2nd
2016-1717th17th60th25thACC351st285th13th351st313th4th
2015-164th4th17th4thACC351st94th1st265th256th2nd
2014-156th6th8th5thACC349th341st31st177th123rd3rd
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2596th265th102nd199th87th117th20th165th114th303rd114th331st298th131st118th156th300th289th
2023-24170th297th349th13th196th253rd24th38th331st139th175th230th142nd169th300th55th224th113th
2022-2373rd37th208th130th85th273rd140th137th199th87th89th47th231st179th287th145th99th78th
2021-2292nd100th114th111th65th348th246th20th51st110th95th227th101st49th350th21st126th23rd
2020-2118th279th4th85th27th45th25th198th22nd260th38th308th355th231st66th216th280th300th
2019-20187th235th124th188th143rd226th206th113th195th194th88th345th347th293rd229th107th182nd145th
2018-192nd200th99th2nd7th77th1st72nd7th121st30th292nd272nd109th172nd134th229th210th
2017-1821st278th31st3rd41st189th18th18th27th246th52nd130th266th233rd259th27th295th191st
2016-1750th255th140th18th58th195th20th49th74th179th108th225th309th240th242nd68th239th173rd
2015-166th95th15th82nd5th284th5th78th38th69th8th315th125th28th301st80th108th51st
2014-1519th74th70th31st24th295th72nd38th204th69th10th320th66th12th318th57th129th58th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25143rd78th--284th115th207th185th151st50th301st104th116th230th234th160th119th269th246th
2023-2411th6th--211th23rd265th5th188th66th141st61st7th163rd61st258th176th130th108th
2022-2318th24th--105th33rd275th105th220th85th27th45th8th4th28th299th247th30th31st
2021-2245th21st--241st60th227th118th261st23rd133rd119th87th126th156th200th233rd109th121st
2020-2136th34th--300th18th242nd82nd296th56th126th14th37th84th75th193rd268th89th108th
2019-202nd4th--221st5th306th18th205th46th72nd4th75th38th7th297th187th57th40th
2018-199th9th--240th8th344th13th221st21st31st48th4th67th14th340th212th20th8th
2017-181st13th--89th3rd272nd13th140th9th61st7th2nd11th4th305th166th81st53rd
2016-172nd35th--39th9th215th5th90th53rd90th26th67th2nd9th275th115th132nd86th
2015-167th29th--68th29th187th103rd237th19th34th76th80th1st1st240th273rd53rd65th
2014-152nd15th--164th2nd244th11th162nd2nd113th6th22nd7th7th256th171st115th91st