TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Virginia  30-4 (0.882)  |  ACC
All-Play Percentage: 0.986 (6th)
Schedule Strength: 0.704 (31st)
Record Quality: 0.596 (5th)
Avg. Season Rank: 3.64 (3rd)
Pace: 59.74 (349th)
Momentum: -5.24 (343rd)
Off. Momentum: -1.72 (309th)
Def. Momentum: -3.53 (320th)
Consistency: -11.49 (341st)
Res. Consistency: -15.96 (341st)
Away From Home: 0.35 (123rd)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.92 (177th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 112.32 31.43 72.69 85.68 47.01 24.19 36.80 30.72 34.58 30.77 67.46 8.55 17.32 9.23 28.24 35.85 35.91 1.92
RANK: 19th 74th 70th 31st 24th 295th 72nd 38th 204th 69th 10th 320th 66th 12th 318th 57th 129th 58th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 82.56 23.14 -- 81.79 36.04 29.60 30.10 25.23 27.57 26.96 50.48 8.76 11.64 4.35 36.19 30.84 32.96 2.03
RANK: 2nd 15th -- 164th 2nd 244th 11th 162nd 2nd 113th 6th 22nd 7th 7th 256th 171st 115th 91st

ANALYSIS:
When you talk about the elite teams in college basketball this year, Virginia most definitely is in the conversation. They have a record of 30-4 and are ranked sixth overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #2 team (out of 15) in the ACC (average ranking 57.1).

Preferring an extremely deliberate pace (the third-slowest in D1), Virginia is one of the most menacing defensive teams in the country. Ranked second in defensive efficiency, they will allow fewer than 83 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Virginia will wreak havoc with many opponents' shooting percentages this year. And it doesn't really matter where the shots originate; the team ranks in the top-25 in each of the four major defensive shooting categories. They allow AO to make just 30.1% of their three-pointers (11th in the nation), 27.6% of their mid-range shots (second), 50.5% of their near-proximity attempts (sixth), and 36.0% of their total shots from the field (second). Virginia also does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 11.64 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked seventh in the country), and they allow AO to convert just 4.4% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked seventh) as well. Virginia is lastly a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 23.14 vs. AO, they are currently rated 15th in the country in that category. If Virginia does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 8.55 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks 32nd-worst in the college game.

Virginia plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 19th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 112 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Virginia is one of the nation's most effective teams finishing close to the iron. The team is ranked tenth in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 67.5% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. The squad likewise lands in the top-25 in overall offensive field goal percentage and makes good on about 47.0% of their total attempts vs. AO. Virginia also does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 9.2% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 12th nationally). Virginia lastly allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 8.76, which ranks #22 in the country.

Virginia has definitely not been as efficient as of late compared to earlier in the season and, consequently, the team is nationally ranked ninth from the bottom in positive momentum. Virginia has also been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 341st overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Virginia is typically worse vs. teams that shoot the ball well from the field. Against foes that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 45.34%, Virginia performs above their norm 22% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 63% of the time.
When facing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, Virginia often performs better than normal. Virginia is more efficient than usual 60% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 32.81%. In their other contests, Virginia performs better than the norm 26% of the time.
Virginia does worse vs. clubs that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 7.15%, Virginia performs above average 21% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 55% of the time.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25104th104th218th130thACC359th308th70th304th156th98th
2023-2464th64th56th34thACC362nd362nd50th355th362nd46th
2022-2333rd33rd29th20thACC359th55th71st172nd134th17th
2021-2271st71st126th63rdACC357th149th67th119th205th66th
2020-2117th16th35th22ndACC357th312th68th334th238th6th
2019-2040th40th26th16thACC353rd255th64th203rd220th35th
2018-193rd3rd1st1stACC353rd131st34th287th281st4th
2017-183rd3rd1st2ndACC351st270th27th176th64th2nd
2016-1717th17th60th25thACC351st285th13th351st313th4th
2015-164th4th17th4thACC351st94th1st265th256th2nd
2014-156th6th8th5thACC349th341st31st177th123rd3rd
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2596th266th102nd199th87th117th21st165th114th303rd113th332nd298th130th118th156th300th289th
2023-24170th297th349th13th196th253rd24th38th331st139th175th230th142nd169th300th55th224th113th
2022-2373rd37th208th130th85th273rd140th137th199th87th89th47th231st179th287th145th99th78th
2021-2292nd100th114th111th65th348th246th20th51st110th95th227th101st49th350th21st126th23rd
2020-2118th279th4th85th27th45th25th198th22nd260th38th308th355th231st66th216th280th300th
2019-20187th235th124th188th143rd226th206th113th195th194th88th345th347th293rd229th107th182nd145th
2018-192nd200th99th2nd7th77th1st72nd7th121st30th292nd272nd109th172nd134th229th210th
2017-1821st278th31st3rd41st189th18th18th27th246th52nd130th266th233rd259th27th295th191st
2016-1750th255th140th18th58th195th20th49th74th179th108th225th309th240th242nd68th239th173rd
2015-166th95th15th82nd5th284th5th78th38th69th8th315th125th28th301st80th108th51st
2014-1519th74th70th31st24th295th72nd38th204th69th10th320th66th12th318th57th129th58th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25143rd78th--284th114th205th184th151st50th303rd103rd116th229th235th161st119th270th246th
2023-2411th6th--211th23rd265th5th188th66th141st61st7th163rd61st258th176th130th108th
2022-2318th24th--105th33rd275th105th220th85th27th45th8th4th28th299th247th30th31st
2021-2245th21st--241st60th227th118th261st23rd133rd119th87th126th156th200th233rd109th121st
2020-2136th34th--300th18th242nd82nd296th56th126th14th37th84th75th193rd268th89th108th
2019-202nd4th--221st5th306th18th205th46th72nd4th75th38th7th297th187th57th40th
2018-199th9th--240th8th344th13th221st21st31st48th4th67th14th340th212th20th8th
2017-181st13th--89th3rd272nd13th140th9th61st7th2nd11th4th305th166th81st53rd
2016-172nd35th--39th9th215th5th90th53rd90th26th67th2nd9th275th115th132nd86th
2015-167th29th--68th29th187th103rd237th19th34th76th80th1st1st240th273rd53rd65th
2014-152nd15th--164th2nd244th11th162nd2nd113th6th22nd7th7th256th171st115th91st