Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Valparaiso28-6 (0.824) | Horizon
All-Play Percentage: 0.826 (62nd)
Schedule Strength: 0.487 (178th)
Record Quality: 0.308 (40th)
Avg. Season Rank: 63.86 (61st)
Pace: 63.56 (298th)
Momentum: -0.58 (196th)
Off. Momentum: -0.71 (263rd)
Def. Momentum: 0.13 (114th)
Consistency: -8.54 (92nd)
Res. Consistency: -12.36 (223rd)
Away From Home: 1.35 (42nd)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.78 (46th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.90
63.57
29.16
68.53
85.31
37.05
43.43
28.98
10.81
37.31
25.14
8.18
32.54
31.19
18.06
57.91
10.40
17.69
6.93
33.97
29.47
36.56
1.97
RANK:
81st
294th
162nd
202nd
42nd
85th
144th
142nd
85th
49th
184th
230th
284th
61st
84th
188th
237th
51st
139th
188th
220th
95th
133rd
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
93.47
63.55
28.08
--
82.25
32.27
39.24
28.85
9.56
33.14
28.32
9.14
32.29
25.08
13.57
54.11
11.03
14.86
5.79
35.08
34.43
30.49
2.05
RANK:
47th
53rd
144th
--
184th
38th
32nd
219th
166th
95th
289th
199th
48th
50th
30th
51st
133rd
147th
77th
213th
291st
47th
71st
ANALYSIS: This website places Valparaiso in the top 25% of all NCAA college basketball teams this year. They are ranked #62 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 28-6. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of nine) in the Horizon League (average ranking 170.8).
Valparaiso has a fairly effective defensive attack. Occupying the #47 slot in our defensive efficiency ratings, they will allow about 93 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Valparaiso boasts one of the better overall defensive field goal percentages in the country. The team ranks #32 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO only makes good on about 39.2% of their total attempts from the floor. Valparaiso has also been able to successfully prevent opponents from making shots between the three-point stripe and the low post. They're ranked 48th in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 32.3% of their attempts from that distance.
Valparaiso plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 81st nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 105 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Valparaiso has one of the better squads in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score. The team is ranked 42nd in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 85.31 vs. AO. As far as making those field goal attempts goes, the team is somewhat middle-of-the-road, converting about 43.4% of them vs. AO. Valparaiso is also one of the more accurate teams in the college game when it comes to shooting the three. They're ranked 49th nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 37.3% of their attempts from there vs. AO.
On the road, Valparaiso performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 42nd in our away-from-home metric.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When playing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, Valparaiso usually performs better than average. Valparaiso is more efficient than normal 60% of the time when facing clubs that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 69.10%. In all other contests, Valparaiso performs better than average 9% of the time.
Valparaiso is typically better vs. teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. Against foes that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.09, Valparaiso performs above their norm 57% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 10% of the time.
When facing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Valparaiso often performs better than normal. Valparaiso is more efficient than usual 55% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.90%. In their other contests, Valparaiso performs better than the norm 11% of the time.
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