Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 Toledo17-15 (0.531) | Mid-American
All-Play Percentage: 0.526 (168th)
Schedule Strength: 0.477 (191st)
Record Quality: 0.008 (177th)
Avg. Season Rank: 154.56 (152nd)
Pace: 69.57 (180th)
Momentum: 0.02 (179th)
Off. Momentum: -0.91 (278th)
Def. Momentum: 0.93 (84th)
Consistency: -10.30 (311th)
Res. Consistency: -13.20 (269th)
Away From Home: 1.21 (50th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.54 (151st)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
100.75
69.59
27.57
73.49
80.21
34.19
42.63
34.05
12.11
35.55
20.67
7.50
36.29
25.49
14.58
57.23
10.34
11.09
3.29
42.45
25.77
31.78
2.11
RANK:
140th
179th
87th
102nd
240th
232nd
208th
73rd
50th
62nd
239th
242nd
201st
283rd
282nd
225th
209th
271st
333rd
57th
224th
272nd
299th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
100.89
69.54
22.45
--
84.87
37.03
43.64
30.59
11.05
36.11
24.76
9.21
37.20
29.52
16.77
56.83
10.92
11.47
3.52
36.04
29.18
34.78
2.01
RANK:
201st
175th
65th
--
294th
250th
177th
165th
256th
311th
267th
265th
180th
235th
177th
95th
159th
74th
21st
118th
239th
171st
211th
ANALYSIS: Toledo is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. Ranked 168th overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 17-15. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 12) in the MAC (average ranking 168.3).
If there is a strength for Toledo this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 140th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 100 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Toledo will likely shoot a fair share of three-pointers each contest. The team ranks 57th in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to shoot from long, they have the ability to punish you for it, too. Ranked in the top-75 in three-point shooting percentage, they make approximately 35.6% of their three-point attempts vs. AO. If Toledo does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining and converting second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a second-chance conversion percentage of just 3.3% vs. AO, which ranks 21st-worst in the nation.
Toledo doesn't perform as well defensively as they do offensively. The team is ranked 201st in defensive efficiency, allowing about 101 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Toledo does a very lackluster job preventing opponents from draining threes. They rank 311th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 36.1% of their attempts from afar. If Toledo does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to prevent opponents from converting second-chance opportunities via offensive rebounds. The team has a defensive second-chance conversion percentage of 3.5% vs. AO, which ranks 21st-best in the nation.
Toledo has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 311th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most. On the road, Toledo performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 50th in our away-from-home metric.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Toledo is typically worse vs. teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. Against foes that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.22%, Toledo performs above their norm 32% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 75% of the time.
When facing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, Toledo often performs better than normal. Toledo is more efficient than usual 62% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.09%. In their other contests, Toledo performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
Toledo does better vs. clubs that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.68, Toledo performs above average 78% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 36% of the time.
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Jackson scores 26 to carry Toledo over E. Michigan 79-57 (3/6/2020 10:26:00 PM) Get real-time COLLEGEBASKETBALL basketball coverage and scores as Eastern Michigan Eagles takes on Toledo Rockets. We bring you the latest game previews, live stats, and recaps on CBSSports.com
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