TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 Toledo  17-15 (0.531)  |  Mid-American
All-Play Percentage: 0.526 (168th)
Schedule Strength: 0.477 (191st)
Record Quality: 0.008 (177th)
Avg. Season Rank: 154.56 (152nd)
Pace: 69.57 (180th)
Momentum: 0.02 (179th)
Off. Momentum: -0.91 (278th)
Def. Momentum: 0.93 (84th)
Consistency: -10.30 (311th)
Res. Consistency: -13.20 (269th)
Away From Home: 1.21 (50th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.54 (151st)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 100.75 27.57 73.49 80.21 42.63 34.05 35.55 20.67 36.29 25.49 57.23 10.34 11.09 3.29 42.45 25.77 31.78 2.11
RANK: 140th 87th 102nd 240th 208th 73rd 62nd 239th 201st 283rd 225th 209th 271st 333rd 57th 224th 272nd 299th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 100.89 22.45 -- 84.87 43.64 30.59 36.11 24.76 37.20 29.52 56.83 10.92 11.47 3.52 36.04 29.18 34.78 2.01
RANK: 201st 65th -- 294th 177th 165th 311th 267th 180th 235th 95th 159th 74th 21st 118th 239th 171st 211th

ANALYSIS:
Toledo is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. Ranked 168th overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 17-15. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 12) in the MAC (average ranking 168.3).

If there is a strength for Toledo this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 140th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 100 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Toledo will likely shoot a fair share of three-pointers each contest. The team ranks 57th in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to shoot from long, they have the ability to punish you for it, too. Ranked in the top-75 in three-point shooting percentage, they make approximately 35.6% of their three-point attempts vs. AO. If Toledo does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining and converting second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a second-chance conversion percentage of just 3.3% vs. AO, which ranks 21st-worst in the nation.

Toledo doesn't perform as well defensively as they do offensively. The team is ranked 201st in defensive efficiency, allowing about 101 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Toledo does a very lackluster job preventing opponents from draining threes. They rank 311th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 36.1% of their attempts from afar. If Toledo does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to prevent opponents from converting second-chance opportunities via offensive rebounds. The team has a defensive second-chance conversion percentage of 3.5% vs. AO, which ranks 21st-best in the nation.

Toledo has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 311th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most. On the road, Toledo performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 50th in our away-from-home metric.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Toledo is typically worse vs. teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. Against foes that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.22%, Toledo performs above their norm 32% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 75% of the time.
When facing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, Toledo often performs better than normal. Toledo is more efficient than usual 62% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.09%. In their other contests, Toledo performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
Toledo does better vs. clubs that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.68, Toledo performs above average 78% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 36% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Ward lifts NDSU past Oral Roberts in Summit League tourney
(3/10/2020 12:32:00 AM) SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (AP)Tyson Ward had 21 points as top-seeded North Dakota State topped Oral Roberts 75-69 in the Summit League Conference tournament semifinals on Monday night. NDSU is looking for its fourth league tournament title in seven years and its fifth NCAA Tournament appearance in school history.
Toledo beats W. Michigan 76-73 in MAC tourney
(3/9/2020 10:15:00 PM) Get real-time COLLEGEBASKETBALL basketball coverage and scores as Western Michigan Broncos takes on Toledo Rockets. We bring you the latest game previews, live stats, and recaps on CBSSports.com
Toledo beats W. Michigan 76-73 in MAC tourney: Rockets face BGSU next
(3/9/2020 10:14:00 PM) ... scored 22 points and grabbed 16 rebounds and seventh-seeded Toledo held off No. 10 Western Michigan 76-73 in Monday night's first round of the Mid-American Conference tournament. The Rockets (17-15) face No. 2 Bowling Green in Thursday's quarterfinal.
Jackson scores 26 to carry Toledo over E. Michigan 79-57
(3/6/2020 10:26:00 PM) Get real-time COLLEGEBASKETBALL basketball coverage and scores as Eastern Michigan Eagles takes on Toledo Rockets. We bring you the latest game previews, live stats, and recaps on CBSSports.com
Rockets win at Central Michigan
(2/25/2020 11:17:41 PM) MOUNT PLEASANT, Mich. (AP) - Marreon Jackson made 7 of 9 3-pointers and scored a career-high 37 points and Toledo beat Central Michigan 93-81 on Tuesday night. Spencer Littleson scored 18 points and Luke Knapke added 15 with five assists and three blocks for the Rockets (14-14,
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25234th234th154th164thMAC135th209th164th215th29th187th
2023-24134th134th94th120thMAC55th70th188th88th65th117th
2022-2384th84th18th68thMAC71st176th217th94th298th101st
2021-2299th99th28th71stMAC83rd164th232nd293rd153rd97th
2020-2187th87th50th79thMAC93rd190th191st199th289th79th
2019-20168th168th166th177thMAC180th311th191st151st50th152nd
2018-1971st70th28th43rdMAC161st194th113th223rd241st59th
2017-18127th127th62nd99thMAC177th210th185th281st80th141st
2016-17138th138th179th188thMAC273rd288th148th104th319th155th
2015-16118th118th165th171stMAC143rd319th209th296th305th113th
2014-1581st81st107th95thMAC73rd218th146th115th145th74th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25101st64th50th42nd159th352nd274th18th107th105th202nd259th74th87th354th22nd143rd26th
2023-2489th53rd42nd233rd73rd333rd62nd87th137th123rd114th61st312th313th328th77th108th40th
2022-237th76th21st74th22nd182nd12th87th51st198th46th77th321st241st230th112th236th192nd
2021-2258th248th61st41st47th278th173rd79th13th43rd127th193rd323rd166th303rd111th78th47th
2020-2145th189th28th72nd110th18th36th278th293rd198th70th48th238th230th29th303rd224th308th
2019-20140th87th102nd240th208th73rd62nd239th201st283rd225th209th271st333rd57th224th272nd299th
2018-1982nd320th11th85th113th39th21st131st114th313th98th307th121st67th60th151st321st327th
2017-1867th42nd102nd245th103rd94th11th261st175th210th203rd346th213th157th80th259th189th254th
2016-17120th216th270th176th84th143rd175th320th174th33rd104th344th203rd160th139th318th33rd105th
2015-16107th265th16th100th122nd92nd142nd109th40th283rd134th161st308th240th120th124th298th279th
2014-1549th111th28th142nd48th305th91st80th11th96th156th217th110th128th309th76th100th56th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25347th88th--239th361st130th362nd79th277th343rd314th95th53rd163rd101st64th341st323rd
2023-24224th29th--130th336th127th195th168th295th233rd350th182nd64th303rd133rd174th242nd244th
2022-23265th49th--255th280th226th292nd142nd212th290th227th41st105th141st190th103rd271st228th
2021-22148th23rd--355th96th330th100th139th122nd308th72nd29th150th86th252nd71st223rd158th
2020-21177th59th--319th148th283rd25th76th160th318th238th56th110th16th238th42nd284th214th
2019-20201st65th--294th177th165th311th267th180th235th95th159th74th21st118th239th171st211th
2018-1970th64th--311th57th87th54th321st240th233rd28th264th258th56th37th305th175th260th
2017-18231st53rd--348th191st36th195th321st97th324th179th204th211th233rd8th291st267th327th
2016-17158th15th--320th242nd61st39th282nd173rd314th299th321st7th118th29th240th277th318th
2015-16163rd26th--176th220th226th335th256th203rd89th183rd252nd5th40th225th254th82nd93rd
2014-15151st61st--278th167th239th9th202nd189th208th303rd302nd63rd126th200th166th168th167th