Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Utah26-9 (0.743) | Pac-12
All-Play Percentage: 0.980 (8th)
Schedule Strength: 0.680 (45th)
Record Quality: 0.393 (19th)
Avg. Season Rank: 8.41 (6th)
Pace: 61.72 (338th)
Momentum: -3.56 (316th)
Off. Momentum: -1.61 (305th)
Def. Momentum: -1.95 (255th)
Consistency: -11.14 (333rd)
Res. Consistency: -14.95 (329th)
Away From Home: -2.21 (330th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.87 (175th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
113.74
61.82
33.24
70.80
81.15
39.01
48.08
31.06
12.18
39.22
21.95
8.35
38.06
28.14
18.48
65.66
10.81
15.89
7.51
38.27
27.05
34.68
2.04
RANK:
14th
337th
36th
122nd
206th
28th
17th
65th
24th
15th
285th
215th
62nd
184th
67th
20th
199th
129th
84th
63rd
292nd
174th
249th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
86.10
61.63
25.93
--
83.11
30.40
36.58
26.16
7.68
29.36
29.86
9.86
33.03
27.08
12.85
47.46
8.66
12.30
4.38
31.48
35.93
32.59
1.99
RANK:
4th
14th
72nd
--
217th
7th
3rd
100th
20th
4th
329th
277th
64th
119th
10th
3rd
16th
19th
8th
77th
329th
102nd
186th
ANALYSIS: When you talk about the elite teams in college basketball this year, Utah most definitely is in the conversation. They are ranked #8 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 26-9. Of the 12 schools in the Pac-12 (average ranking 82.7), they're currently ranked as our #2 team in the conference.
The Utah defense will be extremely problematic for most opposing offenses. Allowing about 86 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and demonstrating a preference for a more deliberate, half-court style of play (the 14th-slowest pace in D1), the club is ranked fourth overall in defensive efficiency. Utah will do a number on many an opponent's shooting percentage, as the team ranks in the top-25 in three of our four major defensive field goal categories. They allow AO to convert only 29.4% of their three-pointers (fourth in the nation), 47.5% of their near-proximity attempts (third), and 36.6% of their total shots from the field (third). Utah also does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 4.4% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked eighth in the NCAA), and with a rating of 12.30, they're 19th in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well.
Utah plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 14th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 114 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Utah is a very dangerous team when it comes to shooting the rock, ranking in the top-25 in three of our four major field goal categories. They convert 39.2% of their three-pointers (15th in the nation), 65.7% of their near-proximity attempts (20th), and 48.1% of their total shots from the field (17th) vs. AO. Utah also allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 8.66, which ranks #16 in the country.
Utah has recently performed below their norm from an efficiency standpoint. The team is currently ranked 316th in the country in positive momentum. Utah has also been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 333rd overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict. On the road, Utah performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked 330th in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Utah often performs worse than normal. Utah is more efficient than usual 13% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.88%. In their other contests, Utah performs better than the norm 72% of the time.
Utah does better vs. clubs that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.64, Utah performs above average 80% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 29% of the time.
Utah performs worse against squads that favor a faster tempo. When facing teams that have a pace vs. AO greater than 67.10, Utah is more efficient than normal 15% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 62% of the time.
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