Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 UTSA17-15 (0.531) | Conference USA
All-Play Percentage: 0.588 (146th)
Schedule Strength: 0.543 (122nd)
Record Quality: 0.035 (159th)
Avg. Season Rank: 157.78 (156th)
Pace: 72.81 (16th)
Momentum: -3.02 (296th)
Off. Momentum: -1.32 (284th)
Def. Momentum: -1.69 (246th)
Consistency: -8.19 (39th)
Res. Consistency: -11.07 (107th)
Away From Home: -2.24 (336th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -3.60 (336th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.05
72.79
21.86
72.85
86.29
38.09
44.14
34.21
11.94
34.91
24.26
9.27
38.18
27.82
16.88
60.68
12.21
14.01
6.13
39.64
28.12
32.24
2.07
RANK:
152nd
18th
313th
118th
58th
97th
168th
108th
115th
150th
74th
56th
78th
256th
221st
135th
126th
149th
145th
144th
90th
292nd
263rd
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
102.05
72.82
28.50
--
81.24
35.17
43.29
34.02
11.55
33.96
20.39
8.05
39.47
26.83
15.57
58.04
10.71
13.62
5.68
41.88
25.09
33.03
2.09
RANK:
137th
338th
266th
--
84th
97th
130th
256th
227th
137th
157th
250th
309th
53rd
47th
106th
109th
169th
127th
302nd
188th
61st
46th
ANALYSIS: As an average to slightly above-average foe, UTSA should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. They are ranked #146 (out of 353) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 17-15. They are also ranked by this site as the #5 team (out of 14) in Conference USA (average ranking 186.6).
Based on their performances this year, UTSA will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 102 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and favoring a very up-tempo style of play (the 16th-fastest pace in D1), they currently occupy the #137 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. UTSA has been doing fairly decent work to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 84th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 81.24 vs. AO. If UTSA does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's troubles stopping opponents from converting mid-range jumpers. AO will make good on 39.5% of their mid-range field goal attempts, and the squad ranks 45th-worst in that category because of it.
UTSA plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 152nd nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 104 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UTSA does a pretty decent job in most cases to maximize opportunities to score on offense. The team is ranked 58th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 86.29 vs. AO. As far as making those field goal attempts goes, the team is somewhat middle-of-the-road, converting about 44.1% of them vs. AO. If UTSA does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's inability to get to the free throw line. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of only 21.86 vs. AO, which ranks 41st-worst in the country.
UTSA is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 39th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm. On the road, UTSA performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked 336th in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
UTSA is typically worse vs. teams that tend to get off more shots. Against foes that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 83.60, UTSA performs above their norm 8% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 73% of the time.
When facing teams that allow opponents to shoot well from the field, UTSA often performs better than normal. UTSA is more efficient than usual 60% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 42.10%. In their other contests, UTSA never performs above average.
UTSA does worse vs. clubs that are typically efficient on offense. When playing squads that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 104.46, UTSA performs above average 10% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 61% of the time.
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