Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Tennessee27-9 (0.750) | SEC
All-Play Percentage: 0.989 (5th)
Schedule Strength: 0.738 (6th)
Record Quality: 0.473 (6th)
Avg. Season Rank: 8.72 (5th)
Pace: 69.14 (89th)
Momentum: -1.08 (228th)
Off. Momentum: -0.97 (256th)
Def. Momentum: -0.12 (149th)
Consistency: -10.09 (278th)
Res. Consistency: -11.89 (165th)
Away From Home: -1.67 (318th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -2.44 (300th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
117.13
69.34
29.80
74.74
89.10
40.78
45.77
36.49
13.30
36.44
20.69
8.10
39.17
31.92
19.38
60.71
16.66
15.70
6.05
40.95
23.22
35.83
2.05
RANK:
25th
77th
55th
77th
32nd
50th
93rd
39th
26th
69th
249th
224th
175th
134th
103rd
86th
9th
74th
124th
68th
273rd
190th
265th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
88.90
68.94
25.20
--
82.15
30.57
37.21
32.78
9.74
29.72
22.44
6.87
30.60
26.93
13.96
51.83
8.49
9.95
3.11
39.90
27.32
32.78
2.07
RANK:
4th
262nd
143rd
--
42nd
3rd
3rd
247th
77th
6th
170th
12th
1st
37th
15th
22nd
11th
9th
2nd
302nd
209th
66th
55th
ANALYSIS: There aren't many teams in the country that have been as strong as Tennessee this year. Their record this season is 27-9, and the club is ranked fifth overall (out of 362) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. Of the 14 schools in the SEC (average ranking 60.4), they're currently ranked as our #2 team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.738 (which ranks sixth nationally), Tennessee is one of the more battle-tested teams in the college game.
The Tennessee defense will be extremely problematic for most opposing offenses. Allowing about 89 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the club is ranked fourth overall in defensive efficiency. Tennessee will wreak havoc with many opponents' shooting percentages this year. And it doesn't really matter where the shots originate; the team ranks in the top-25 in each of the four major defensive shooting categories. Though they're most successful defending the mid-range jumper (allowing 30.6% shooting in that category vs. AO, first in the country), the team also hassles AO into converting just 29.7% of their three-pointers (sixth), 51.8% of their near-proximity chances (22nd), and 37.2% of their total shots from the field (third). Tennessee also does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 3.1% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked second in the NCAA), and with a rating of 9.95, they're ninth in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well. Tennessee lastly thrives on scoring fast and easy points off of steals. They're ranked ninth in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 16.66.
Tennessee plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 25th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 117 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Tennessee allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 8.49, which ranks #11 in the country. Tennessee also has one of the better squads in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score. The team is ranked 32nd in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 89.10 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-100 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 45.8% of their total attempts vs. AO.
When playing on the road, Tennessee performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 318th in our site's away-from-home metric.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that allow more chances at the line, Tennessee often performs better than normal. Tennessee is more efficient than usual 63% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 23.29. In their other contests, Tennessee performs better than the norm 17% of the time.
Tennessee does worse vs. clubs that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 7.07%, Tennessee performs above average 25% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 58% of the time.
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