Automated Team Capsule for 2024-25 Tennessee30-8 (0.789) | SEC
All-Play Percentage: 0.989 (5th)
Schedule Strength: 0.759 (17th)
Record Quality: 0.524 (8th)
Avg. Season Rank: 5.54 (4th)
Pace: 63.01 (357th)
Momentum: 1.24 (125th)
Off. Momentum: 2.23 (66th)
Def. Momentum: -0.99 (227th)
Consistency: -11.04 (335th)
Res. Consistency: -13.28 (234th)
Away From Home: -0.51 (207th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.31 (120th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 7, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
123.12
63.27
33.20
74.59
89.81
42.42
47.23
38.63
13.51
34.97
18.33
7.71
42.04
32.85
21.20
64.55
13.20
16.42
7.89
43.01
20.41
36.58
2.06
RANK:
17th
351st
14th
99th
66th
32nd
48th
54th
56th
128th
269th
206th
37th
142nd
67th
33rd
123rd
91st
37th
78th
288th
172nd
257th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
91.16
62.75
22.59
--
89.19
32.32
36.24
36.64
10.13
27.65
23.97
8.15
34.01
28.58
14.04
49.12
8.67
10.46
3.55
41.08
26.88
32.04
2.09
RANK:
3rd
7th
32nd
--
274th
7th
2nd
305th
49th
3rd
290th
212th
59th
51st
10th
2nd
8th
5th
3rd
282nd
271st
35th
54th
ANALYSIS: There aren't many teams in the country that have been as strong as Tennessee this year. Ranked fifth overall (out of 364) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 30-8. Of the 16 schools in the SEC (average ranking 32.0), they're currently ranked as our #3 team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.759 (which ranks 17th nationally), Tennessee is one of the more battle-tested teams in the college game.
The Tennessee defense will be extremely problematic for most opposing offenses. Allowing about 91 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and demonstrating a preference for a style of play that will try to grind things to a crawl (the eighth-slowest pace in D1), the club is ranked third overall in defensive efficiency. Tennessee will do a number on many an opponent's shooting percentage, as the team ranks in the top-25 in three of our four major defensive field goal categories. They allow AO to convert only 27.6% of their three-pointers (third in the nation), 49.1% of their near-proximity attempts (second), and 36.2% of their total shots from the field (second). Tennessee also does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 3.5% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked third in the NCAA), and with a rating of 10.46, they're fifth in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well.
Tennessee plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 17th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 123 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Tennessee allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 8.67, which ranks #8 in the country. Tennessee also does a super job in their efforts to get to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 33.20 vs. AO, they are ranked 14th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. In addition, the team is in the top-100 in free throw shooting, converting a solid 74.6% of their attempts.
Tennessee has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 335th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
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