Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 TCU23-14 (0.622) | Big 12
All-Play Percentage: 0.906 (34th)
Schedule Strength: 0.734 (28th)
Record Quality: 0.298 (42nd)
Avg. Season Rank: 36.75 (33rd)
Pace: 68.96 (151st)
Momentum: 0.21 (167th)
Off. Momentum: -0.63 (245th)
Def. Momentum: 0.85 (102nd)
Consistency: -8.36 (46th)
Res. Consistency: -11.52 (132nd)
Away From Home: 0.27 (139th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -2.20 (281st)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
110.29
69.17
26.57
67.53
85.21
40.52
47.55
31.30
11.31
36.14
17.16
6.23
36.33
36.74
22.97
62.51
13.84
16.22
8.59
36.73
20.14
43.12
1.94
RANK:
53rd
135th
156th
292nd
96th
28th
25th
212th
159th
94th
284th
266th
151st
15th
12th
79th
57th
52nd
9th
230th
296th
21st
41st
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
94.81
68.75
20.93
--
85.03
35.31
41.53
30.80
9.13
29.65
22.61
7.92
35.04
31.62
18.26
57.74
10.73
14.84
6.90
36.22
26.59
37.19
1.99
RANK:
31st
187th
17th
--
241st
104th
62nd
114th
24th
9th
262nd
231st
122nd
228th
179th
101st
110th
273rd
271st
91st
247th
205th
238th
ANALYSIS: TCU is a moderately good team, capable of testing many an opponent that they'll encounter. They have a record of 23-14 and are ranked 34th overall (out of 353) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 10 schools in the Big 12 (average ranking 35.3), they're currently ranked as our #7 team in the conference.
TCU will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 31st in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 95 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. TCU does an outstanding job shutting down the opposition from behind the arc. They rank ninth in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 29.6% of their attempts from afar. TCU is also a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 20.93 vs. AO, they are currently rated 17th in the country in that category.
TCU plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 53rd nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 110 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. TCU does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 8.6% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked ninth nationally). TCU will also routinely look to penetrate, pound the ball inside, and score from as short a distance as possible. The ball-club is 21st in the NCAA in ratio of near-proximity attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to get to the inside, they are undoubtedly capable of making you pay. Presently rated in the top-100 in near-proximity shooting percentage, they make roughly 62.5% of their attempts from short-distance vs. AO. TCU is lastly one of the best field goal shooting teams that opposing defenses will have the displeasure of facing this season. The squad is ranked 25th in the country in field goal percentage, making approximately 47.6% of their attempts vs. AO.
TCU is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 46th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds, TCU often performs better than normal. TCU is more efficient than usual 72% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.66. In their other contests, TCU performs better than the norm 16% of the time.
TCU does worse vs. clubs that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. When playing squads that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 38.22%, TCU performs above average 8% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 63% of the time.
TCU performs better against squads that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass. When facing teams that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.23%, TCU is more efficient than normal 63% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 8% of the time.
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