Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 TCU21-12 (0.636) | Big 12
All-Play Percentage: 0.931 (25th)
Schedule Strength: 0.739 (22nd)
Record Quality: 0.318 (37th)
Avg. Season Rank: 32.87 (30th)
Pace: 70.17 (179th)
Momentum: 0.14 (165th)
Off. Momentum: -1.62 (296th)
Def. Momentum: 1.77 (55th)
Consistency: -8.38 (97th)
Res. Consistency: -7.57 (2nd)
Away From Home: -1.07 (248th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.14 (205th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
115.20
70.33
27.88
70.61
83.27
42.12
50.58
28.54
11.28
39.54
17.84
8.01
44.90
36.90
22.83
61.87
11.89
16.36
8.78
34.27
21.42
44.31
1.90
RANK:
14th
170th
98th
218th
108th
7th
7th
247th
136th
20th
307th
197th
2nd
3rd
2nd
97th
103rd
91st
43rd
258th
314th
3rd
16th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
97.74
70.02
23.16
--
81.66
35.22
43.13
28.15
10.26
36.45
23.38
9.13
39.06
30.14
15.83
52.52
7.79
13.11
6.01
34.47
28.63
36.91
1.98
RANK:
80th
166th
72nd
--
151st
112th
115th
69th
114th
233rd
218th
264th
259th
227th
113th
16th
6th
71st
92nd
74th
230th
238th
271st
ANALYSIS: When listing some of the better squads you will find in NCAA basketball this year, one can definitely make a case for TCU. They are ranked #25 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 21-12. They are also ranked by this site as the #4 team (out of 10) in the Big 12 (average ranking 38.9). Sporting a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.739 (the 22nd-highest in the country), TCU has prepared themselves by challenging some of the best teams in the college game.
TCU will create problems for opponents with their extremely prolific offense. Scoring roughly 115 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the squad is rated #14 in offensive efficiency. TCU is a very dangerous team when it comes to shooting the rock, ranking in the top-25 in three of our four major field goal categories. They can be considered sharpshooters out on the perimeter, converting 39.5% of their three-pointers (20th in the nation), 44.9% of their mid-range chances (second), and 50.6% of their total shots from the field (seventh) vs. AO. TCU will also routinely look to penetrate, pound the ball inside, and score from as short a distance as possible. The ball-club is third in the NCAA in ratio of near-proximity attempts to total field goal attempts. TCU lastly allows very few breakaway opportunities for the opposition, which typically translates to fewer turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 7.79, which ranks #6 in the country.
TCU is also a fairly decent team on the defensive end of the court. The team ranks 80th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 98 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. TCU does tremendous work shutting down the opposition from the inside. They are ranked 16th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 52.5% of their attempts from close-up. TCU also does a fairly satisfactory job to deny opponents chances to score off of the offensive glass. They have a rating of 13.11 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked 71st in the country).
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
TCU is typically better vs. teams that effectively clean the offensive glass. Against foes that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 15.22, TCU performs above their norm 77% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 31% of the time.
When facing teams that are typically efficient on offense, TCU often performs worse than normal. TCU is more efficient than usual 31% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive efficiency rating vs. AO greater than 109.68. In their other contests, TCU performs better than the norm 70% of the time.
TCU does worse vs. clubs that prefer the outside shot. When playing squads that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 2.05, TCU performs above average 30% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 65% of the time.
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