Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 Missouri State18-15 (0.545) | Missouri Valley
All-Play Percentage: 0.631 (130th)
Schedule Strength: 0.540 (124th)
Record Quality: 0.087 (124th)
Avg. Season Rank: 105.09 (101st)
Pace: 68.52 (274th)
Momentum: -3.95 (321st)
Off. Momentum: 1.59 (101st)
Def. Momentum: -5.54 (348th)
Consistency: -9.69 (253rd)
Res. Consistency: -12.68 (241st)
Away From Home: 0.16 (116th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.05 (90th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.60
68.66
23.18
71.49
86.10
38.38
44.58
31.43
11.28
35.88
32.69
12.95
39.62
21.98
14.15
64.38
8.26
15.17
7.12
36.50
37.97
25.53
2.11
RANK:
121st
263rd
281st
182nd
22nd
76th
154th
145th
138th
135th
8th
2nd
70th
342nd
313th
44th
307th
150th
132nd
189th
15th
350th
304th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
102.05
68.39
24.61
--
86.81
36.67
42.24
33.38
11.22
33.60
32.31
12.37
38.27
21.12
13.09
61.96
11.21
15.03
6.90
38.45
37.22
24.33
2.14
RANK:
162nd
70th
108th
--
335th
194th
82nd
295th
219th
82nd
351st
349th
226th
4th
10th
231st
207th
213th
183rd
228th
344th
2nd
12th
ANALYSIS: Per this website's calculations, Missouri State is somewhere between an average to slightly above-average D1 ball-club. They have a record of 18-15 and are ranked 130th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of 10) in the MVC (average ranking 135.4).
Based on the data, Missouri State will likely find more success on offense than on defense. Scoring about 105 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #121 slot in the rankings for offensive efficiency. Missouri State loves taking the mid-range two, far more so than most other teams. The club is ranked 15th in ratio of mid-range attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to take that in-between shot, they can certainly make it, too. Currently rated in the top-75 in mid-range shooting percentage, they make roughly 39.6% of their attempts from that distance vs. AO. Missouri State is also one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked 22nd in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 86.10 vs. AO. As far as making those field goal attempts goes, the team is somewhat middle-of-the-road, converting about 44.6% of them vs. AO.
Missouri State plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 162nd nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 102 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Missouri State has had some success this season preventing opponents from converting many of their overall field goal attempts. The team ranks #82 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO only makes good on about 42.2% of their total attempts from the floor. If Missouri State does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 86.81 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 17th-worst in college basketball.
Missouri State has recently performed below their norm from an efficiency standpoint. The team is currently ranked 321st in the country in positive momentum.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Missouri State does worse vs. clubs that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 15.51, Missouri State performs above average 17% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 65% of the time.
Missouri State performs better against squads that convert well from the charity stripe. When facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 71.48%, Missouri State is more efficient than normal 63% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 23% of the time.
When playing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Missouri State usually performs worse than average. Missouri State is more efficient than normal 36% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.42%. In all other contests, Missouri State performs better than average 70% of the time.
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