Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 Missouri State11-20 (0.355) | Missouri Valley
All-Play Percentage: 0.286 (251st)
Schedule Strength: 0.560 (116th)
Record Quality: -0.167 (260th)
Avg. Season Rank: 213.61 (213th)
Pace: 63.37 (303rd)
Momentum: -5.38 (346th)
Off. Momentum: -3.50 (343rd)
Def. Momentum: -1.87 (248th)
Consistency: -10.32 (294th)
Res. Consistency: -11.67 (187th)
Away From Home: -1.00 (276th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.54 (232nd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
94.51
63.33
26.81
75.19
82.62
33.60
40.67
24.68
7.14
28.93
38.62
15.21
39.38
19.32
11.25
58.25
9.58
15.23
6.53
29.88
46.74
23.38
2.06
RANK:
274th
302nd
251st
20th
141st
249th
273rd
283rd
326th
341st
1st
2nd
27th
351st
349th
178th
283rd
173rd
186th
285th
1st
351st
298th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
103.62
63.42
27.36
--
85.15
36.60
42.98
29.62
10.66
35.98
33.46
11.52
34.42
22.07
14.43
65.37
12.22
13.63
5.29
34.79
39.30
25.92
2.09
RANK:
221st
49th
113th
--
301st
229th
153rd
246th
274th
253rd
347th
342nd
126th
5th
57th
332nd
233rd
61st
39th
203rd
343rd
2nd
27th
ANALYSIS: If you see Missouri State on the schedule, you will likely get one of the average to below-average teams in college hoops. They have a record of 11-20 and are ranked 251st overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #9 team (out of 10) in the MVC (average ranking 147.2).
Missouri State is not one of the most productive teams on offense. Scoring fewer than 95 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are rated at #274 in offensive efficiency. Missouri State is one of the least accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They are ranked 341st in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 28.9% of their attempts from long vs. AO. If Missouri State does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's outstanding shooting at the charity stripe. The squad makes 75.2% of their free throw attempts, which ranks #20 in Division I.
Though they rate better on defense than they do on offense, Missouri State still isn't one of the more capable defensive teams in college hoops. Allowing roughly 104 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #221 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Missouri State fares terribly when attempting to stop opponents from converting from the inside. The team is ranked 332nd in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on 65.4% of their attempts from close-up. On a positive note, AO will take nowhere near as many inside shots as they typically would and, as a result, only 25.9% of AO's field goal attempts will come from short-distance. Missouri State will also allow opponents more chances to shoot than the norm. The team is ranked 301st in the nation in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 85.15 vs. AO. If Missouri State does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their ability to prevent opponents from converting second-chance opportunities via offensive rebounds. The team has a defensive second-chance conversion percentage of 5.3% vs. AO, which ranks 39th-best in the nation.
Missouri State has been playing some of their worst basketball of the season as of late, and they're presently ranked sixth from the bottom in positive momentum because of it.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Missouri State does better vs. clubs that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 43.35%, Missouri State performs above average 75% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 41% of the time.
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