Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 St. Francis (BKN)23-12 (0.657) | Northeast
All-Play Percentage: 0.503 (175th)
Schedule Strength: 0.323 (343rd)
Record Quality: 0.025 (161st)
Avg. Season Rank: 182.61 (180th)
Pace: 66.06 (147th)
Momentum: -0.15 (172nd)
Off. Momentum: -0.16 (234th)
Def. Momentum: 0.01 (122nd)
Consistency: -7.85 (39th)
Res. Consistency: -8.47 (12th)
Away From Home: 0.34 (126th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.43 (70th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
98.62
65.93
31.92
68.20
85.00
34.26
40.30
28.37
8.34
29.38
19.81
6.75
34.05
36.81
19.17
52.08
11.66
22.28
9.29
33.38
23.31
43.31
1.90
RANK:
196th
153rd
62nd
218th
50th
219th
287th
162nd
270th
339th
319th
320th
227th
2nd
41st
319th
145th
3rd
10th
204th
329th
5th
31st
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
100.99
66.19
33.30
--
77.55
34.76
44.83
20.20
7.75
38.36
22.29
8.44
37.86
35.06
18.58
52.98
11.74
14.28
6.42
26.04
28.75
45.21
1.81
RANK:
171st
212th
309th
--
26th
136th
230th
3rd
23rd
336th
56th
100th
259th
344th
274th
35th
196th
100th
144th
5th
96th
350th
350th
ANALYSIS: As an average to slightly above-average foe, St. Francis (BKN) should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Carrying a record of 23-12, they are currently rated #175 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 10 schools in the NEC (average ranking 259.1), they're currently ranked as the best team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.323 (which ranks ninth from the bottom in the nation), St. Francis (BKN) has faced some of the easiest opponents in all of college basketball.
Based on their performances this year, St. Francis (BKN) will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 101 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #171 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. St. Francis (BKN) does a really good job to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 26th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 77.55 vs. AO. St. Francis (BKN) has also done a really good job this year to prevent opponents from making shots from the inside. They are ranked 35th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 53.0% of their attempts from close-up. And to capitalize on that weakness, this team will make AO shoot from the inside more than they usually would. Of AO's total field goals, a big portion of them (45.2%) will be from short-distance. If St. Francis (BKN) does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's inability to stop opponents from sinking threes. AO will convert 38.4% of their three-point attempts, and the team ranks 16th-worst in that category because of it.
St. Francis (BKN) is not quite as good on the offensive end of the floor. The team is ranked 196th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 99 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. St. Francis (BKN) is one of the least accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They are ranked 339th in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 29.4% of their attempts from long vs. AO. St. Francis (BKN) also won't provide opponents much of a scare with their shooting percentage from the inside. The team is ranked 319th in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 52.1% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. If St. Francis (BKN) does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's knack for obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a rating of 22.28 in potential points off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks third in all of college hoops.
St. Francis (BKN) is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 39th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When playing teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities, St. Francis (BKN) usually performs better than average. St. Francis (BKN) is more efficient than normal 81% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 11.25. In all other contests, St. Francis (BKN) performs better than average 22% of the time.
St. Francis (BKN) is typically worse vs. teams that effectively clean the offensive glass. Against foes that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.99, St. Francis (BKN) performs above their norm 35% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 82% of the time.
When facing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, St. Francis (BKN) often performs better than normal. St. Francis (BKN) is more efficient than usual 65% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 25.95. In their other contests, St. Francis (BKN) performs better than the norm 18% of the time.
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