TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 St. Francis (BKN)  23-12 (0.657)  |  Northeast
All-Play Percentage: 0.503 (175th)
Schedule Strength: 0.323 (343rd)
Record Quality: 0.025 (161st)
Avg. Season Rank: 182.61 (180th)
Pace: 66.06 (147th)
Momentum: -0.15 (172nd)
Off. Momentum: -0.16 (234th)
Def. Momentum: 0.01 (122nd)
Consistency: -7.85 (39th)
Res. Consistency: -8.47 (12th)
Away From Home: 0.34 (126th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.43 (70th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 98.62 31.92 68.20 85.00 40.30 28.37 29.38 19.81 34.05 36.81 52.08 11.66 22.28 9.29 33.38 23.31 43.31 1.90
RANK: 196th 62nd 218th 50th 287th 162nd 339th 319th 227th 2nd 319th 145th 3rd 10th 204th 329th 5th 31st

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 100.99 33.30 -- 77.55 44.83 20.20 38.36 22.29 37.86 35.06 52.98 11.74 14.28 6.42 26.04 28.75 45.21 1.81
RANK: 171st 309th -- 26th 230th 3rd 336th 56th 259th 344th 35th 196th 100th 144th 5th 96th 350th 350th

ANALYSIS:
As an average to slightly above-average foe, St. Francis (BKN) should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Carrying a record of 23-12, they are currently rated #175 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. Of the 10 schools in the NEC (average ranking 259.1), they're currently ranked as the best team in the conference. With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.323 (which ranks ninth from the bottom in the nation), St. Francis (BKN) has faced some of the easiest opponents in all of college basketball.

Based on their performances this year, St. Francis (BKN) will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 101 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #171 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. St. Francis (BKN) does a really good job to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 26th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 77.55 vs. AO. St. Francis (BKN) has also done a really good job this year to prevent opponents from making shots from the inside. They are ranked 35th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 53.0% of their attempts from close-up. And to capitalize on that weakness, this team will make AO shoot from the inside more than they usually would. Of AO's total field goals, a big portion of them (45.2%) will be from short-distance. If St. Francis (BKN) does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's inability to stop opponents from sinking threes. AO will convert 38.4% of their three-point attempts, and the team ranks 16th-worst in that category because of it.

St. Francis (BKN) is not quite as good on the offensive end of the floor. The team is ranked 196th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 99 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. St. Francis (BKN) is one of the least accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They are ranked 339th in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 29.4% of their attempts from long vs. AO. St. Francis (BKN) also won't provide opponents much of a scare with their shooting percentage from the inside. The team is ranked 319th in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 52.1% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. If St. Francis (BKN) does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's knack for obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a rating of 22.28 in potential points off of second chances vs. AO, which ranks third in all of college hoops.

St. Francis (BKN) is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 39th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When playing teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities, St. Francis (BKN) usually performs better than average. St. Francis (BKN) is more efficient than normal 81% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 11.25. In all other contests, St. Francis (BKN) performs better than average 22% of the time.
St. Francis (BKN) is typically worse vs. teams that effectively clean the offensive glass. Against foes that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.99, St. Francis (BKN) performs above their norm 35% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 82% of the time.
When facing teams that find ways to get to the free throw line, St. Francis (BKN) often performs better than normal. St. Francis (BKN) is more efficient than usual 65% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 25.95. In their other contests, St. Francis (BKN) performs better than the norm 18% of the time.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox