Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Portland14-19 (0.424) | West Coast
All-Play Percentage: 0.481 (189th)
Schedule Strength: 0.572 (98th)
Record Quality: -0.055 (209th)
Avg. Season Rank: 163.59 (160th)
Pace: 69.03 (105th)
Momentum: -0.39 (201st)
Off. Momentum: 3.68 (28th)
Def. Momentum: -4.07 (345th)
Consistency: -11.08 (349th)
Res. Consistency: -14.79 (324th)
Away From Home: 0.20 (88th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -4.54 (349th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
106.81
68.99
29.40
75.28
80.57
35.59
44.17
37.12
13.50
36.37
19.79
8.35
42.21
23.67
13.73
58.03
9.34
13.11
4.85
46.07
24.56
29.37
2.17
RANK:
107th
108th
29th
59th
340th
255th
158th
24th
16th
57th
305th
242nd
28th
354th
343rd
201st
256th
234th
233rd
7th
287th
340th
359th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
107.81
69.07
23.41
--
87.49
39.35
44.97
36.09
13.23
36.67
22.96
9.36
40.79
28.44
16.75
58.88
11.95
13.42
4.41
41.25
26.24
32.51
2.09
RANK:
279th
255th
100th
--
305th
296th
230th
344th
353rd
312th
163rd
217th
301st
126th
148th
175th
278th
146th
66th
323rd
110th
77th
43rd
ANALYSIS: If you see Portland on the schedule, you will likely get one of the average to below-average teams in college hoops. They have a record of 14-19 and are ranked 189th overall (out of 363) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. Of the 10 schools in the WCC (average ranking 126.0), they're currently ranked as our #7 team in the conference.
If there is a strength for Portland this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 107th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 106 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Portland lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks seventh in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to shoot from long, they have the ability to punish you for it, too. Ranked in the top-75 in three-point shooting percentage, they make approximately 36.4% of their three-point attempts vs. AO. Portland also has a keen ability to drain field goals between the three-point line and the low post. The squad is ranked 28th nationally in mid-range field goal percentage, making about 42.2% of their attempts from those locations vs. AO. If Portland does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties in getting off a sufficient number of shots each possession. The squad has a field goal attempt rate of just 80.57 vs. AO, which ranks 24th-worst in college basketball.
Unfortunately, Portland is not even remotely close to being as good on defense as they are on offense. The team is ranked 279th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 108 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Portland tends to struggle a bit against teams that shoot the three. They rank 312th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 36.7% of their attempts from afar. And to expose that weakness, AO will gladly launch the three all day and all night. Of AO's total field goals, a large chunk of them (41.3%) will be from long-distance.
Portland has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 349th overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Portland does better vs. clubs that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 11.47, Portland performs above average 64% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 11% of the time.
Portland performs better against squads that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. When facing teams that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.38%, Portland is more efficient than normal 65% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 18% of the time.
When playing teams that allow a higher number of conversions off of the offensive glass, Portland usually performs better than average. Portland is more efficient than normal 65% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 4.20%. In all other contests, Portland performs better than average 18% of the time.
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