Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Northern Iowa14-18 (0.438) | Missouri Valley
All-Play Percentage: 0.406 (216th)
Schedule Strength: 0.463 (165th)
Record Quality: -0.073 (219th)
Avg. Season Rank: 189.97 (188th)
Pace: 68.29 (157th)
Momentum: -1.87 (261st)
Off. Momentum: 1.12 (148th)
Def. Momentum: -2.99 (313th)
Consistency: -7.45 (16th)
Res. Consistency: -9.84 (44th)
Away From Home: 1.36 (19th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.93 (37th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
100.54
68.24
24.60
69.56
81.86
36.32
44.37
32.41
10.80
33.31
20.59
8.61
41.83
28.87
16.91
58.59
9.75
10.74
3.77
39.59
25.15
35.26
2.04
RANK:
220th
157th
208th
268th
311th
205th
151st
128th
163rd
211th
288th
220th
38th
204th
207th
186th
237th
325th
327th
98th
272nd
172nd
235th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.60
68.35
23.57
--
83.32
37.39
44.87
34.78
12.62
36.29
20.68
7.51
36.31
27.86
17.26
61.94
10.61
12.26
4.98
41.74
24.82
33.44
2.08
RANK:
210th
207th
104th
--
115th
196th
227th
324th
340th
297th
48th
48th
102nd
112th
174th
286th
172nd
51st
133rd
335th
51st
120th
49th
ANALYSIS: Northern Iowa has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. Carrying a record of 14-18, they are currently rated #216 overall (out of 363) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #7 team (out of 12) in the MVC (average ranking 194.2).
Though their offense is far from the worst in the game, Northern Iowa is not terribly gifted on that end of the court either. Scoring about 101 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked at #220 in offensive efficiency. Northern Iowa is one of the more deficient teams in the nation as it pertains to scoring off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team converts only 3.8% of all second-chance opportunities (327th nationally), and with a rating of 10.74, they're 325th in potential points scored off of the offensive boards as well. If Northern Iowa does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's ability to successfully hit from mid-range locations on the court. The team makes 41.8% of their in-between field goal attempts vs. AO, which ranks 38th in the NCAA.
Northern Iowa doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 105 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #210 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Northern Iowa tends to struggle a bit against teams that shoot the three. They rank 297th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 36.3% of their attempts from afar. And to expose that weakness, AO will gladly launch the three all day and all night. Of AO's total field goals, a large chunk of them (41.7%) will be from long-distance.
Northern Iowa is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked 16th in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict. When playing on the road, Northern Iowa has played their best basketball this season. The team is currently ranked 19th in the country in the away-from-home metric our site tracks.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Northern Iowa does better vs. clubs that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. When playing squads that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.21%, Northern Iowa performs above average 71% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 30% of the time.
Northern Iowa performs better against squads that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When facing teams that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.52, Northern Iowa is more efficient than normal 74% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 33% of the time.
When playing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Northern Iowa usually performs better than average. Northern Iowa is more efficient than normal 68% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 36.00%. In all other contests, Northern Iowa performs better than average 33% of the time.
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