Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 N. Colorado12-20 (0.375) | Big Sky
All-Play Percentage: 0.367 (228th)
Schedule Strength: 0.464 (162nd)
Record Quality: -0.111 (234th)
Avg. Season Rank: 228.26 (228th)
Pace: 69.64 (70th)
Momentum: 0.03 (176th)
Off. Momentum: 2.46 (74th)
Def. Momentum: -2.43 (280th)
Consistency: -7.90 (28th)
Res. Consistency: -11.03 (108th)
Away From Home: -0.87 (210th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -2.76 (311th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.09
69.55
23.46
75.20
84.57
37.44
44.27
33.41
11.56
34.61
20.80
7.95
38.21
30.36
17.93
59.06
7.65
12.63
4.43
39.51
24.60
35.89
2.04
RANK:
148th
80th
264th
60th
182nd
150th
154th
99th
93rd
149th
281st
266th
156th
132nd
142nd
166th
332nd
254th
279th
103rd
284th
137th
222nd
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
109.56
69.73
25.66
--
87.81
40.60
46.24
28.05
9.62
34.29
29.23
12.19
41.70
30.52
18.79
61.57
10.78
14.78
5.51
31.95
33.29
34.76
1.97
RANK:
312th
296th
201st
--
317th
340th
307th
69th
89th
200th
344th
353rd
327th
226th
270th
274th
187th
253rd
215th
37th
332nd
171st
280th
ANALYSIS: N. Colorado has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. They are ranked #228 (out of 363) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 12-20. Of the 10 schools in the Big Sky (average ranking 204.9), they're currently ranked as our #6 team in the conference.
Based on the data, N. Colorado will likely find more success on offense than on defense. Scoring about 104 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #148 slot in the rankings for offensive efficiency. N. Colorado converts a fair amount of its free throws. Making 75.2% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 60th nationally in free throw percentage. Unfortunately, with a free throw attempt rate of just 23.46 vs. AO, they don't provide themselves a whole lot of opportunities at the foul line.
Unfortunately, N. Colorado is not even remotely close to being as good on defense as they are on offense. The team is ranked 312th in defensive efficiency, allowing about 110 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. N. Colorado does a pretty inadequate job to provide chances for themselves to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked #332 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 7.65 vs. AO. N. Colorado has also done a lackluster job this year when defending the mid-range shot. The squad is ranked 327th nationally in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on 41.7% of their attempts from those in-between spots on the floor. Making matters worse, AO will take advantage of that weakness and put up mid-range shots in abundance. Of AO's total field goals, a huge portion of them (33.3%) will be from those in-between locations.
N. Colorado is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 28th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
N. Colorado performs worse against squads that do a nice job converting inside the paint. When facing teams that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 58.43%, N. Colorado is more efficient than normal 21% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 83% of the time.
When playing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, N. Colorado usually performs better than average. N. Colorado is more efficient than normal 67% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.30. In all other contests, N. Colorado performs better than average 15% of the time.
N. Colorado is typically worse vs. teams that convert well from the charity stripe. Against foes that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 0.74%, N. Colorado performs above their norm 17% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 63% of the time.
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