Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Nicholls11-23 (0.324) | Southland
All-Play Percentage: 0.060 (330th)
Schedule Strength: 0.390 (275th)
Record Quality: -0.366 (326th)
Avg. Season Rank: 333.63 (340th)
Pace: 70.90 (109th)
Momentum: 5.30 (11th)
Off. Momentum: 1.81 (94th)
Def. Momentum: 3.49 (7th)
Consistency: -10.25 (320th)
Res. Consistency: -12.52 (246th)
Away From Home: -0.71 (250th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -3.20 (320th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
87.72
70.86
28.08
66.55
76.09
30.44
40.01
27.23
8.14
29.91
20.93
6.40
30.56
27.93
15.90
56.94
9.67
12.65
6.27
35.79
27.50
36.71
1.99
RANK:
340th
113th
188th
298th
344th
344th
310th
231st
307th
336th
272nd
322nd
336th
222nd
239th
228th
239th
283rd
217th
158th
232nd
118th
150th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
107.44
70.93
31.13
--
82.48
37.60
45.59
26.92
10.15
37.69
21.71
7.48
34.46
33.85
19.97
58.99
15.71
18.18
8.31
32.64
26.32
41.04
1.92
RANK:
269th
244th
263rd
--
193rd
255th
252nd
83rd
183rd
305th
81st
55th
104th
321st
312th
155th
350th
323rd
290th
72nd
75th
324th
315th
ANALYSIS: If you're looking for a squad in the bottom quartile of all Division I basketball teams this year, Nicholls likely fits the bill. They have a record of 11-23 and are ranked 330th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #11 team (out of 13) in the Southland (average ranking 283.8).
Offense comes as a real struggle to Nicholls this year. The team is rated 340th in offensive efficiency and scores fewer than 88 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Nicholls tends to be very careless with the ball and allows far too many breakaway opportunities off of their own turnovers. The team's rating for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals vs. AO is 15.71, which ranks second from the bottom in D1. Nicholls also happens to be one of the very worst in the game when it comes to maximizing the number of shot attempts they get off from the floor. The team is nationally ranked eighth from the bottom in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 76.09 vs. AO. Nicholls lastly struggles to drain shots consistently from most spots on the floor, ranking in the bottom-50 in three of the four primary field goal shooting categories. They are at their worst when shooting outside the paint, converting just 29.9% of their three-pointers (336th in the nation), 30.6% of their mid-range chances (336th), and 40.0% of their total shots from the field (310th) vs. AO.
Though they rate better on defense than they do on offense, Nicholls still isn't one of the more capable defensive teams in college hoops. Allowing roughly 107 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #269 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Nicholls can be weak on rebounding, giving the opposition too many chances to score off of the offensive glass. The club has a rating of 18.18 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (323rd nationally). Nicholls also does a very lackluster job preventing opponents from draining threes. They rank 305th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 37.7% of their attempts from afar.
Nicholls has been playing much better basketball as of late and is presently ranked 11th in positive momentum because of it. Nicholls has also been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 320th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Nicholls is typically worse vs. teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 9.49, Nicholls performs above their norm 33% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 77% of the time.
When facing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Nicholls often performs worse than normal. Nicholls is more efficient than usual 25% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.19%. In their other contests, Nicholls performs better than the norm 68% of the time.
Nicholls does worse vs. clubs that tend to get off more shots. When playing squads that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 79.94, Nicholls performs above average 38% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 80% of the time.
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