TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2015-16 Nicholls  11-23 (0.324)  |  Southland
All-Play Percentage: 0.060 (330th)
Schedule Strength: 0.390 (275th)
Record Quality: -0.366 (326th)
Avg. Season Rank: 333.63 (340th)
Pace: 70.90 (109th)
Momentum: 5.30 (11th)
Off. Momentum: 1.81 (94th)
Def. Momentum: 3.49 (7th)
Consistency: -10.25 (320th)
Res. Consistency: -12.52 (246th)
Away From Home: -0.71 (250th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -3.20 (320th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2016. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 87.72 28.08 66.55 76.09 40.01 27.23 29.91 20.93 30.56 27.93 56.94 9.67 12.65 6.27 35.79 27.50 36.71 1.99
RANK: 340th 188th 298th 344th 310th 231st 336th 272nd 336th 222nd 228th 239th 283rd 217th 158th 232nd 118th 150th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 107.44 31.13 -- 82.48 45.59 26.92 37.69 21.71 34.46 33.85 58.99 15.71 18.18 8.31 32.64 26.32 41.04 1.92
RANK: 269th 263rd -- 193rd 252nd 83rd 305th 81st 104th 321st 155th 350th 323rd 290th 72nd 75th 324th 315th

ANALYSIS:
If you're looking for a squad in the bottom quartile of all Division I basketball teams this year, Nicholls likely fits the bill. They have a record of 11-23 and are ranked 330th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #11 team (out of 13) in the Southland (average ranking 283.8).

Offense comes as a real struggle to Nicholls this year. The team is rated 340th in offensive efficiency and scores fewer than 88 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Nicholls tends to be very careless with the ball and allows far too many breakaway opportunities off of their own turnovers. The team's rating for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals vs. AO is 15.71, which ranks second from the bottom in D1. Nicholls also happens to be one of the very worst in the game when it comes to maximizing the number of shot attempts they get off from the floor. The team is nationally ranked eighth from the bottom in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of only 76.09 vs. AO. Nicholls lastly struggles to drain shots consistently from most spots on the floor, ranking in the bottom-50 in three of the four primary field goal shooting categories. They are at their worst when shooting outside the paint, converting just 29.9% of their three-pointers (336th in the nation), 30.6% of their mid-range chances (336th), and 40.0% of their total shots from the field (310th) vs. AO.

Though they rate better on defense than they do on offense, Nicholls still isn't one of the more capable defensive teams in college hoops. Allowing roughly 107 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #269 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Nicholls can be weak on rebounding, giving the opposition too many chances to score off of the offensive glass. The club has a rating of 18.18 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (323rd nationally). Nicholls also does a very lackluster job preventing opponents from draining threes. They rank 305th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 37.7% of their attempts from afar.

Nicholls has been playing much better basketball as of late and is presently ranked 11th in positive momentum because of it. Nicholls has also been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 320th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Nicholls is typically worse vs. teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 9.49, Nicholls performs above their norm 33% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 77% of the time.
When facing teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot, Nicholls often performs worse than normal. Nicholls is more efficient than usual 25% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.19%. In their other contests, Nicholls performs better than the norm 68% of the time.
Nicholls does worse vs. clubs that tend to get off more shots. When playing squads that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 79.94, Nicholls performs above average 38% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 80% of the time.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25168th167th113th158thSouthland84th136th207th180th40th193rd
2023-24247th247th129th174thSouthland237th111th273rd214th123rd275th
2022-23272nd272nd181st261stSouthland31st48th314th26th218th224th
2021-22204th204th97th190thSouthland54th275th312th114th122nd215th
2020-21209th209th35th117thSouthland26th63rd310th249th240th229th
2019-20159th158th54th162ndSouthland127th93rd271st9th169th154th
2018-19304th304th223rd301stSouthland99th119th317th179th209th306th
2017-18186th186th75th154thSouthland11th59th291st328th205th194th
2016-17313th313th230th278thSouthland87th14th275th122nd209th311th
2015-16330th330th288th326thSouthland109th320th275th320th250th340th
2014-15339th339th283rd323rdSouthland87th154th321st350th279th347th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25208th120th280th75th266th259th119th195th313th27th346th48th262nd307th285th212th43rd44th
2023-24221st160th213th288th223rd175th55th286th312th127th287th168th286th323rd136th274th93rd153rd
2022-23287th339th343rd57th258th250th310th134th163rd62nd283rd11th203rd285th284th163rd92nd77th
2021-22200th358th353rd8th173rd139th307th70th152nd126th81st48th256th155th217th115th208th177th
2020-21217th306th294th47th210th159th322nd179th178th58th161st58th193rd214th208th205th97th115th
2019-20193rd349th97th19th191st188th135th40th138th230th195th30th172nd129th239th56th278th196th
2018-19283rd351st17th55th325th20th75th152nd303rd315th336th254th262nd320th36th175th331st341st
2017-18197th128th148th204th194th256th284th156th262nd105th151st3rd148th115th241st153rd97th91st
2016-17262nd222nd73rd271st293rd69th230th273rd252nd280th278th98th158th305th48th264th256th303rd
2015-16340th188th298th344th310th231st336th272nd336th222nd228th239th283rd217th158th232nd118th150th
2014-15346th180th320th349th306th252nd327th333rd196th66th335th329th191st230th183rd317th16th61st
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25140th305th--83rd143rd196th73rd81st309th175th106th54th286th171st250th99th214th164th
2023-24242nd312th--116th241st242nd174th129th95th154th344th126th103rd162nd255th141st169th138th
2022-23232nd361st--5th279th148th314th9th233rd98th215th82nd194th261st292nd37th239th133rd
2021-22201st241st--211th133rd294th201st107th100th175th130th70th236th230th277th90th153rd94th
2020-21193rd231st--141st181st215th247th166th162nd131st182nd78th254th301st240th184th131st126th
2019-20122nd262nd--22nd223rd95th102nd20th304th242nd155th196th295th261st178th48th312th262nd
2018-19307th276th--259th300th133rd67th48th270th345th282nd21st280th347th100th34th343rd324th
2017-18164th346th--7th229th67th151st31st231st206th191st242nd80th168th156th57th289th261st
2016-17325th118th--287th310th305th343rd19th254th330th161st268th322nd348th271st8th299th219th
2015-16269th263rd--193rd252nd83rd305th81st104th321st155th350th323rd290th72nd75th324th315th
2014-15312th348th--39th290th44th317th44th235th286th173rd350th247th201st80th75th321st311th