TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2024-25 Cal Poly  16-19 (0.457)  |  Big West
All-Play Percentage: 0.532 (172nd)
Schedule Strength: 0.472 (148th)
Record Quality: -0.039 (196th)
Avg. Season Rank: 203.60 (202nd)
Pace: 72.59 (3rd)
Momentum: 6.05 (6th)
Off. Momentum: 5.56 (5th)
Def. Momentum: 0.49 (136th)
Consistency: -7.87 (11th)
Res. Consistency: -11.58 (105th)
Away From Home: -0.29 (185th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.79 (163rd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 6, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 111.23 20.70 76.63 85.51 46.72 41.95 36.91 10.13 36.02 33.43 62.26 13.57 12.27 5.75 49.05 11.85 39.10 2.10
RANK: 109th 356th 48th 258th 65th 11th 48th 362nd 232nd 123rd 71st 103rd 294th 203rd 9th 360th 105th 310th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 113.34 26.77 -- 87.37 45.94 36.72 34.74 18.92 37.34 31.72 64.05 15.27 14.45 6.44 42.03 21.66 36.31 2.06
RANK: 283rd 160th -- 196th 276th 309th 219th 70th 177th 170th 340th 347th 168th 233rd 299th 62nd 163rd 94th

ANALYSIS:
Cal Poly is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 172nd overall (out of 364) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 16-19. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 11) in the Big West (average ranking 191.6).

If there is a strength for Cal Poly this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. While favoring one of the game's most blistering paces (the third-fastest in D1), the team is rated 109th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 111 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cal Poly lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks ninth in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to shoot from long, they have the ability to punish you for it, too. Ranked in the top-50 in three-point shooting percentage, they make approximately 36.9% of their three-point attempts vs. AO. Cal Poly also does a really good job converting from the free throw line. Making 76.6% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 48th nationally in free throw percentage. Though they typically convert their shots from the line, the downside is that they hardly ever manage to get there. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of 20.70 vs. AO (ninth-worst in the nation). If Cal Poly does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's penchant for allowing too many easy buckets off of giveaways. The squad has a rating of 15.27 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of steals, which ranks 18th-worst in the college game.

Unfortunately, Cal Poly is not even remotely close to being as good on defense as they are on offense. The team is ranked 283rd in defensive efficiency, allowing about 113 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cal Poly fares terribly when attempting to stop opponents from converting from the inside. The team is ranked 340th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on 64.0% of their attempts from close-up.

Cal Poly has been playing some of its most efficient basketball of the season recently and is presently ranked sixth in positive momentum. Cal Poly is also one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked 11th in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Cal Poly is typically better vs. teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. Against foes that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.07%, Cal Poly performs above their norm 59% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 25% of the time.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25172nd171st230th196thBig West3rd11th148th163rd185th202nd
2023-24327th327th356th346thBig West250th264th205th24th120th330th
2022-23280th280th344th327thBig West324th326th179th101st71st279th
2021-22286th286th330th325thBig West281st151st219th131st239th313th
2020-21313th313th336th326thBig West207th57th128th147th34th342nd
2019-20295th295th333rd327thBig West137th305th156th28th108th310th
2018-19334th334th340th340thBig West216th134th256th271st87th319th
2017-18318th318th315th297thBig West287th336th171st149th234th296th
2016-17281st281st278th312thBig West296th203rd261st53rd47th292nd
2015-16185th184th284th249thBig West250th3rd102nd234th116th158th
2014-15139th138th223rd185thBig West347th198th90th211th222nd139th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25109th356th48th258th65th11th48th362nd232nd123rd71st103rd294th203rd9th360th105th310th
2023-24333rd298th272nd286th311th267th211th50th272nd337th290th314th300th297th254th37th322nd236th
2022-23342nd291st97th300th317th253rd356th120th228th281st225th323rd296th324th231st95th256th200th
2021-22330th85th146th358th276th274th310th198th157th324th230th323rd295th218th191st109th259th220th
2020-21332nd342nd134th259th305th184th251st83rd195th332nd306th277th344th351st161st67th330th282nd
2019-20315th159th282nd327th280th281st155th108th247th260th298th158th216th276th245th80th217th149th
2018-19314th325th333rd53rd327th99th295th169th311th153rd298th269th222nd309th142nd190th192nd207th
2017-18303rd328th7th147th336th95th159th91st217th322nd348th309th270th348th101st91st330th306th
2016-17241st293rd181st32nd312th25th281st151st306th285th226th329th244th296th56th192nd312th321st
2015-16125th132nd195th40th229th112th118th99th224th177th237th154th195th261st155th130th241st227th
2014-15168th233rd242nd3rd286th114th254th50th265th111th253rd186th32nd261st215th102nd230th177th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25283rd160th--196th276th309th219th70th177th170th340th347th168th233rd299th62nd163rd94th
2023-24301st328th--127th282nd28th328th179th121st325th222nd338th206th200th36th183rd331st342nd
2022-23154th353rd--12th166th99th265th192nd202nd44th161st61st16th6th185th265th95th128th
2021-22220th281st--231st107th231st275th280th59th96th93rd288th75th22nd205th281st80th95th
2020-21226th316th--132nd187th129th264th221st50th158th272nd326th163rd74th132nd231st174th190th
2019-20266th319th--72nd254th114th290th215th241st94th222nd300th152nd79th149th246th121st163rd
2018-19336th331st--265th322nd72nd258th291st349th252nd242nd85th231st313th38th280th216th279th
2017-18323rd107th--332nd256th205th340th239th148th275th182nd254th274th309th122nd195th222nd231st
2016-17300th283rd--167th303rd23rd334th318th283rd190th246th149th195th263rd18th326th184th291st
2015-16258th233rd--189th227th108th336th305th266th99th146th29th43rd64th96th306th93rd154th
2014-15129th70th--233rd142nd174th128th147th94th261st152nd25th104th129th147th137th237th228th