Automated Team Capsule for 2024-25 Cal Poly16-19 (0.457) | Big West
All-Play Percentage: 0.532 (172nd)
Schedule Strength: 0.472 (148th)
Record Quality: -0.039 (196th)
Avg. Season Rank: 203.60 (202nd)
Pace: 72.59 (3rd)
Momentum: 6.05 (6th)
Off. Momentum: 5.56 (5th)
Def. Momentum: 0.49 (136th)
Consistency: -7.87 (11th)
Res. Consistency: -11.58 (105th)
Away From Home: -0.29 (185th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.79 (163rd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 6, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
111.23
72.56
20.70
76.63
85.51
39.95
46.72
41.95
15.48
36.91
10.13
3.65
36.02
33.43
20.82
62.26
13.57
12.27
5.75
49.05
11.85
39.10
2.10
RANK:
109th
3rd
356th
48th
258th
101st
65th
11th
8th
48th
362nd
360th
232nd
123rd
82nd
71st
103rd
294th
203rd
9th
360th
105th
310th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
113.34
72.61
26.77
--
87.37
40.14
45.94
36.72
12.76
34.74
18.92
7.07
37.34
31.72
20.32
64.05
15.27
14.45
6.44
42.03
21.66
36.31
2.06
RANK:
283rd
362nd
160th
--
196th
262nd
276th
309th
301st
219th
70th
74th
177th
170th
268th
340th
347th
168th
233rd
299th
62nd
163rd
94th
ANALYSIS: Cal Poly is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 172nd overall (out of 364) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 16-19. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 11) in the Big West (average ranking 191.6).
If there is a strength for Cal Poly this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. While favoring one of the game's most blistering paces (the third-fastest in D1), the team is rated 109th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 111 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cal Poly lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks ninth in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to shoot from long, they have the ability to punish you for it, too. Ranked in the top-50 in three-point shooting percentage, they make approximately 36.9% of their three-point attempts vs. AO. Cal Poly also does a really good job converting from the free throw line. Making 76.6% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked 48th nationally in free throw percentage. Though they typically convert their shots from the line, the downside is that they hardly ever manage to get there. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of 20.70 vs. AO (ninth-worst in the nation). If Cal Poly does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's penchant for allowing too many easy buckets off of giveaways. The squad has a rating of 15.27 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of steals, which ranks 18th-worst in the college game.
Unfortunately, Cal Poly is not even remotely close to being as good on defense as they are on offense. The team is ranked 283rd in defensive efficiency, allowing about 113 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cal Poly fares terribly when attempting to stop opponents from converting from the inside. The team is ranked 340th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on 64.0% of their attempts from close-up.
Cal Poly has been playing some of its most efficient basketball of the season recently and is presently ranked sixth in positive momentum. Cal Poly is also one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked 11th in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Cal Poly is typically better vs. teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. Against foes that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.07%, Cal Poly performs above their norm 59% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 25% of the time.
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