TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2022-23 Cal Poly  8-25 (0.242)  |  Big West
All-Play Percentage: 0.229 (280th)
Schedule Strength: 0.448 (179th)
Record Quality: -0.299 (327th)
Avg. Season Rank: 273.50 (279th)
Pace: 65.25 (324th)
Momentum: 3.94 (30th)
Consistency: -10.64 (326th)
Away From Home: 0.36 (71st)
Includes games through April 3, 2023. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 92.82 22.77 74.24 82.10 40.97 29.28 29.53 25.88 36.94 26.93 57.27 7.91 11.59 3.81 35.67 31.53 32.80 2.03
RANK: 342nd 291st 97th 300th 317th 253rd 356th 120th 228th 281st 225th 323rd 296th 324th 231st 95th 256th 200th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 102.32 31.68 -- 78.73 43.89 28.89 35.48 23.91 38.23 25.93 58.48 9.28 10.89 3.14 36.70 30.37 32.93 2.04
RANK: 154th 353rd -- 12th 166th 99th 265th 192nd 202nd 44th 161st 61st 16th 6th 185th 265th 95th 128th

ANALYSIS:
If you're looking for a squad in the bottom quartile of all Division I basketball teams this year, Cal Poly likely fits the bill. They are ranked #280 (out of 363) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 8-25. They are also ranked by this site as the #9 team (out of 11) in the Big West (average ranking 195.6).

Based on their performances this year, Cal Poly will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 102 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #154 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. Cal Poly does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 3.1% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked sixth in the NCAA), and with a rating of 10.89, they're 16th in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well. Cal Poly also has extremely pesky defenders that ceaselessly attempt to deny opponents ample opportunity to shoot. The club is ranked 12th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 78.73 vs. AO. If Cal Poly does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's tendency to send opponents to the line too much by fouling. The squad has a rating of 31.68 in defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 11th-worst in the country.

Unfortunately, Cal Poly is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 342nd in offensive efficiency, scoring about 93 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cal Poly is one of the least accurate teams when shooting from long-distance. They are ranked eighth from the bottom in three-point field goal percentage nationally and make just 29.5% of their attempts from long vs. AO. Moreover, they find themselves in the bottom-50 in overall offensive field goal percentage, converting just 41.0% of their total attempts vs. AO. Cal Poly is also one of the more deficient teams in the nation as it pertains to scoring off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team converts only 3.8% of all second-chance opportunities (324th nationally).

Cal Poly has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #30 ranking in positive momentum. Cal Poly has also been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 326th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When playing teams that allow opponents to shoot well from the field, Cal Poly usually performs better than average. Cal Poly is more efficient than normal 90% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 45.20%. In all other contests, Cal Poly performs better than average 38% of the time.
Cal Poly is typically better vs. teams that have trouble defending the mid-range shot. Against foes that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 37.61%, Cal Poly performs above their norm 90% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 38% of the time.
When facing teams that do a nice job converting inside the paint, Cal Poly often performs better than normal. Cal Poly is more efficient than usual 74% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 56.64%. In their other contests, Cal Poly performs better than the norm 25% of the time.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Mom Con SOS AFH ASR
2024-25222nd221st199th155thBig West60th--81st27th131st302nd
2023-24327th327th356th346thBig West250th91st264th205th120th330th
2022-23280th280th344th327thBig West324th30th326th179th71st279th
2021-22286th286th330th325thBig West281st37th151st219th239th313th
2020-21313th313th336th326thBig West207th4th37th128th34th342nd
2019-20295th295th333rd327thBig West137th139th305th156th108th310th
2018-19334th334th340th340thBig West216th284th134th256th87th319th
2017-18318th318th315th297thBig West287th290th336th171st234th296th
2016-17281st281st278th312thBig West296th164th203rd261st47th292nd
2015-16185th184th284th249thBig West250th301st3rd102nd116th158th
2014-15139th138th223rd185thBig West347th309th198th90th222nd139th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25231st312th115th309th196th80th179th259th285th291st121st104th327th285th57th236th264th309th
2023-24333rd298th272nd286th311th267th211th50th272nd337th290th314th300th297th254th37th322nd236th
2022-23342nd291st97th300th317th253rd356th120th228th281st225th323rd296th324th231st95th256th200th
2021-22330th85th146th358th276th274th310th198th157th324th230th323rd295th218th191st109th259th220th
2020-21332nd342nd134th259th305th184th251st83rd195th332nd306th277th344th351st161st67th330th282nd
2019-20315th159th282nd327th280th281st155th108th247th260th298th158th216th276th245th80th217th149th
2018-19314th325th333rd53rd327th99th295th169th311th153rd298th269th222nd309th142nd190th192nd207th
2017-18303rd328th7th147th336th95th159th91st217th322nd348th309th270th348th101st91st330th306th
2016-17241st293rd181st32nd312th25th281st151st306th285th226th329th244th296th56th192nd312th321st
2015-16125th132nd195th40th229th112th118th99th224th177th237th154th195th261st155th130th241st227th
2014-15168th233rd242nd3rd286th114th254th50th265th111th253rd186th32nd261st215th102nd230th177th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25237th338th--88th207th60th231st178th170th247th174th356th199th275th73rd205th279th296th
2023-24301st328th--127th282nd28th328th179th121st325th222nd338th206th200th36th183rd331st342nd
2022-23154th353rd--12th166th99th265th192nd202nd44th161st61st16th6th185th265th95th128th
2021-22220th281st--231st107th231st275th280th59th96th93rd288th75th22nd205th281st80th95th
2020-21226th316th--132nd187th129th264th221st50th158th272nd326th163rd74th132nd231st174th190th
2019-20266th319th--72nd254th114th290th215th241st94th222nd300th152nd79th149th246th121st163rd
2018-19336th331st--265th322nd72nd258th291st349th252nd242nd85th231st313th38th280th216th279th
2017-18323rd107th--332nd256th205th340th239th148th275th182nd254th274th309th122nd195th222nd231st
2016-17300th283rd--167th303rd23rd334th318th283rd190th246th149th195th263rd18th326th184th291st
2015-16258th233rd--189th227th108th336th305th266th99th146th29th43rd64th96th306th93rd154th
2014-15129th70th--233rd142nd174th128th147th94th261st152nd25th104th129th147th137th237th228th