Automated Team Capsule for 2017-18 Cal Poly9-22 (0.290) | Big West
All-Play Percentage: 0.094 (318th)
Schedule Strength: 0.493 (171st)
Record Quality: -0.257 (297th)
Avg. Season Rank: 291.09 (296th)
Pace: 68.24 (287th)
Momentum: -2.47 (290th)
Off. Momentum: -0.27 (215th)
Def. Momentum: -2.20 (268th)
Consistency: -11.06 (336th)
Res. Consistency: -13.25 (277th)
Away From Home: -0.96 (234th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.62 (149th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 2, 2018. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
94.05
68.12
21.10
79.35
82.60
32.78
39.69
33.15
11.75
35.44
25.61
9.26
36.16
23.84
11.77
49.39
8.25
12.39
3.63
40.13
31.01
28.86
2.11
RANK:
303rd
293rd
328th
7th
147th
322nd
336th
95th
107th
159th
91st
106th
217th
322nd
348th
348th
309th
270th
348th
101st
91st
330th
306th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
111.20
68.36
24.60
--
86.43
40.10
46.39
31.11
12.32
39.59
23.88
8.76
36.69
31.45
19.02
60.49
11.84
16.15
8.47
35.99
27.62
36.38
2.00
RANK:
323rd
69th
107th
--
332nd
317th
256th
205th
308th
340th
239th
221st
148th
275th
258th
182nd
254th
274th
309th
122nd
195th
222nd
231st
ANALYSIS: Not one of the better ball-clubs in college basketball, Cal Poly should be a fairly easy win for most capable opponents. They are ranked #318 (out of 351) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 9-22. They are also ranked by this site as the #8 team (out of nine) in the Big West (average ranking 208.3).
Cal Poly will certainly not be one of the stingier defenses opponents will encounter. Allowing more than 111 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked down at #323 in defensive efficiency. Cal Poly does an extremely poor job to deny the opposition behind the arc. They rank 340th nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 39.6% of their attempts from afar. Cal Poly also allows the opposition to get off far too many shots from the floor. The team is ranked 332nd in the nation in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 86.43 vs. AO.
Cal Poly doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 94 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #303 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Cal Poly will have a really tough time winning games when taking into consideration their shooting percentage near the basket. The team is ranked fourth from the bottom in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 49.4% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO. Moreover, they find themselves in the bottom-25 in overall offensive field goal percentage, converting just 39.7% of their total attempts vs. AO. Cal Poly also does a terrible job to take advantage of scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team converts only 3.6% of all second-chance opportunities (fourth from the bottom nationally). Cal Poly lastly does an extremely poor job drawing fouls and getting to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of just 21.10 vs. AO, they are 328th in the overall rankings for that category. If Cal Poly does have a strength offensively, it would have to be the team's outstanding shooting at the charity stripe. The squad makes 79.3% of their free throw attempts, which ranks #7 in Division I.
Cal Poly has been one of the most erratic teams in college basketball this year (currently ranked 336th overall in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their future games far more difficult to predict.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that convert well from outside the arc, Cal Poly often performs worse than normal. Cal Poly is more efficient than usual 31% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.66%. In their other contests, Cal Poly performs better than the norm 69% of the time.
Cal Poly does worse vs. clubs that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 7.43%, Cal Poly performs above average 27% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 61% of the time.
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