Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Furman23-12 (0.657) | Southern
All-Play Percentage: 0.700 (106th)
Schedule Strength: 0.487 (176th)
Record Quality: 0.134 (96th)
Avg. Season Rank: 102.72 (102nd)
Pace: 68.69 (263rd)
Momentum: -1.33 (240th)
Off. Momentum: -0.72 (244th)
Def. Momentum: -0.61 (179th)
Consistency: -10.23 (314th)
Res. Consistency: -13.37 (300th)
Away From Home: -0.52 (207th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -1.43 (227th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
103.84
68.74
23.13
70.47
81.58
37.04
45.41
35.02
13.45
38.42
18.91
6.68
35.33
27.66
16.91
61.15
12.93
13.05
6.04
42.92
23.18
33.90
2.09
RANK:
118th
262nd
319th
172nd
183rd
106th
104th
29th
12th
37th
309th
310th
225th
210th
169th
119th
49th
254th
235th
31st
311th
207th
296th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
99.45
68.65
26.85
--
79.88
35.30
44.19
30.26
9.80
32.38
21.89
8.47
38.67
27.73
17.03
61.43
9.52
14.92
7.35
37.88
27.40
34.71
2.03
RANK:
111th
89th
144th
--
107th
128th
164th
216th
109th
51st
106th
160th
271st
144th
175th
213th
75th
210th
238th
252nd
112th
169th
139th
ANALYSIS: Furman is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. They have a record of 23-12 and are ranked 106th overall (out of 351) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #3 team (out of 10) in the Southern (average ranking 177.7).
If there is a strength for Furman this year, it's probably on the defensive end of the court. The team is rated 111th in defensive efficiency, allowing fewer than 100 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Furman does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 49th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 12.93. Furman also owns a pretty good track record against teams that shoot the three. They rank 51st in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 32.4% of their attempts from afar.
Furman plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 118th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 104 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Furman will make a concerted effort to fire off quite a few three-pointers each game. The team ranks 31st in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to shoot from long, they have the ability to punish you for it, too. Ranked in the top-50 in three-point shooting percentage, they make approximately 38.4% of their three-point attempts vs. AO. Furman is also fairly competent protecting the ball on offense, which minimizes opportunities for the opponent to score quickly off of steals. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 9.52, which ranks #75 in the country. If Furman does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's inability to get to the free throw line. The squad has a free throw attempt rate of only 23.13 vs. AO, which ranks 33rd-worst in the country.
Furman has been one of the more erratic teams in NCAA basketball this year (presently ranked 314th in the country in consistency), which makes forecasting the outcomes of their upcoming games tougher than most.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Furman does better vs. clubs that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. When playing squads that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.68%, Furman performs above average 62% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 17% of the time.
Furman performs better against squads that tend to get off more shots. When facing teams that have an offensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 83.33, Furman is more efficient than normal 73% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 32% of the time.
When playing teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities, Furman usually performs better than average. Furman is more efficient than normal 73% of the time when facing clubs that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 12.11. In all other contests, Furman performs better than average 32% of the time.
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