Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Mercer15-17 (0.469) | Southern
All-Play Percentage: 0.617 (135th)
Schedule Strength: 0.529 (129th)
Record Quality: -0.012 (184th)
Avg. Season Rank: 148.37 (144th)
Pace: 65.43 (344th)
Momentum: 2.30 (65th)
Off. Momentum: 3.44 (28th)
Def. Momentum: -1.14 (219th)
Consistency: -8.35 (104th)
Res. Consistency: -8.81 (36th)
Away From Home: -0.11 (161st)
Paper Tiger Factor: -3.83 (333rd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.63
65.48
26.15
78.38
84.72
36.29
42.83
33.79
11.56
34.21
27.31
10.43
38.18
23.62
14.30
60.54
5.98
14.79
6.28
39.88
32.24
27.88
2.12
RANK:
107th
342nd
220th
8th
42nd
145th
224th
56th
96th
209th
73rd
57th
94th
327th
302nd
138th
351st
159th
204th
77th
88th
336th
326th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.91
65.38
29.53
--
82.90
35.50
42.82
33.22
11.71
35.26
23.01
8.28
36.00
26.67
15.50
58.13
9.53
12.71
5.80
40.07
27.76
32.17
2.08
RANK:
223rd
10th
252nd
--
230th
136th
105th
316th
295th
172nd
145th
137th
135th
105th
97th
121st
78th
51st
89th
310th
126th
87th
52nd
ANALYSIS: As an average to slightly above-average foe, Mercer should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Their record this season is 15-17, and the club is ranked 135th overall (out of 351) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 10) in the Southern (average ranking 177.7).
Based on the data, Mercer will likely find more success on offense than on defense. Scoring about 105 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO and utilizing a style of play that will try to grind things to a crawl (the eighth-slowest pace in D1), they currently occupy the #107 slot in the rankings for offensive efficiency. Mercer is deadly accurate at the free throw line. Making 78.4% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked eighth nationally in free throw percentage. Mercer also has one of the better squads in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score. The team is ranked 42nd in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 84.72 vs. AO. As far as making those field goal attempts goes, the team is somewhat middle-of-the-road, converting about 42.8% of them vs. AO.
The defense for Mercer, on the other hand, isn't nearly as efficient as the offense is. The team is ranked 223rd in defensive efficiency, allowing about 105 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Mercer is extremely underskilled to force steals that turn into quick and easy points. They're ranked #351 in potential points off of breakaway steals with a rating of only 5.98 vs. AO.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When playing teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds, Mercer usually performs better than average. Mercer is more efficient than normal 84% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.48. In all other contests, Mercer performs better than average 9% of the time.
Mercer is typically better vs. teams that effectively clean the offensive glass. Against foes that have an offensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.05, Mercer performs above their norm 76% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 11% of the time.
When facing teams that shoot the ball well from the field, Mercer often performs worse than normal. Mercer is more efficient than usual 38% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 43.20%. In their other contests, Mercer performs better than the norm 100% of the time.
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