Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Villanova18-16 (0.529) | Big East
All-Play Percentage: 0.931 (26th)
Schedule Strength: 0.690 (37th)
Record Quality: 0.186 (86th)
Avg. Season Rank: 25.20 (21st)
Pace: 64.10 (349th)
Momentum: -5.33 (347th)
Off. Momentum: -4.17 (357th)
Def. Momentum: -1.16 (220th)
Consistency: -10.07 (276th)
Res. Consistency: -14.31 (311th)
Away From Home: -0.84 (259th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.39 (124th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
112.34
64.11
24.98
81.18
86.02
38.87
45.18
40.46
14.32
35.40
15.19
6.55
43.15
30.37
17.99
59.24
10.19
8.63
2.59
47.04
17.66
35.30
2.12
RANK:
66th
349th
239th
2nd
150th
119th
117th
6th
10th
126th
348th
330th
36th
197th
172nd
116th
245th
358th
361st
8th
349th
209th
344th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
93.03
64.09
19.46
--
87.54
33.28
38.02
38.37
12.02
31.34
24.28
8.44
34.75
24.90
12.82
51.49
9.95
11.55
3.37
43.83
27.73
28.44
2.15
RANK:
10th
15th
5th
--
287th
12th
6th
353rd
289th
33rd
245th
146th
21st
7th
3rd
17th
70th
52nd
6th
351st
229th
4th
3rd
ANALYSIS: Despite their unexceptional win percentage, Villanova should be regarded as one of the better teams in college hoops. They have a record of 18-16 and are ranked 26th overall (out of 362) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #5 team (out of 11) in the Big East (average ranking 73.6).
Favoring a more deliberate, half-court style of play (the 14th-slowest pace in D1), Villanova has been magnificent on the defensive end of the court. The team is rated tenth in defensive efficiency and allows fewer than 94 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Villanova is a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 19.46 vs. AO, they are currently rated fifth in the country in that category. Villanova will also put a good dent in the shooting percentages of several opponents, considering the team ranks in the top-50 in each of the four major defensive shooting categories. They allow AO to make just 31.3% of their three-pointers (33rd in the nation), 34.8% of their mid-range shots (21st), 51.5% of their near-proximity attempts (17th), and 38.0% of their total shots from the field (sixth). Villanova lastly does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 3.4% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked sixth in the NCAA).
Villanova is also a fairly decent team on the offensive end of the court. The team ranks 66th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 112 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Villanova is deadly accurate at the free throw line. Making 81.2% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked second nationally in free throw percentage. Villanova also lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks eighth in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. When it comes to actually making their three-point attempts, the squad shoots a so-so 35.4% from beyond the arc vs. AO. If Villanova does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining and converting second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad has a second-chance conversion percentage of just 2.6% vs. AO, which ranks second-worst in the nation.
Villanova has definitely not been as efficient as of late compared to earlier in the season and, consequently, the team is nationally ranked 347th in positive momentum.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that convert well from outside the arc, Villanova often performs worse than normal. Villanova is more efficient than usual 33% of the time when facing teams that have an offensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.17%. In their other contests, Villanova performs better than the norm 80% of the time.
Villanova does better vs. clubs that prefer the outside shot. When playing squads that have an offensive shooting proximity score vs. AO greater than 1.96, Villanova performs above average 58% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
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