TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 Illinois State  10-21 (0.323)  |  Missouri Valley
All-Play Percentage: 0.361 (226th)
Schedule Strength: 0.559 (113th)
Record Quality: -0.140 (243rd)
Avg. Season Rank: 207.11 (209th)
Pace: 69.92 (156th)
Momentum: 1.31 (111th)
Off. Momentum: -0.68 (268th)
Def. Momentum: 1.99 (41st)
Consistency: -8.47 (97th)
Res. Consistency: -9.64 (40th)
Away From Home: -2.76 (331st)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.31 (86th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 94.75 21.58 69.88 80.04 42.17 34.18 35.62 22.82 36.78 23.04 57.21 10.38 10.59 4.17 42.70 28.51 28.78 2.14
RANK: 247th 308th 217th 251st 234th 71st 59th 169th 180th 333rd 226th 203rd 289th 253rd 53rd 149th 327th 333rd

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 101.15 25.04 -- 82.00 43.92 32.66 33.82 20.46 37.61 28.88 59.81 11.48 13.12 5.58 39.83 24.95 35.22 2.05
RANK: 208th 158th -- 181st 198th 264th 201st 93rd 194th 201st 195th 207th 183rd 252nd 258th 84th 195th 135th

ANALYSIS:
Illinois State has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. Ranked 226th overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 10-21. They are also ranked by this site as the #9 team (out of 10) in the MVC (average ranking 154.2).

Offensively, Illinois State finds itself in the lower half of the rankings. The team is rated 247th in offensive efficiency and scores fewer than 95 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Illinois State struggles to draw fouls and earn opportunities at the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of just 21.58 vs. AO, they are 308th in the overall rankings for that category.

Illinois State doesn't rate much better on defense than they do on offense. Allowing roughly 101 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #208 in the nation in defensive efficiency. Although their defense isn't the greatest, Illinois State doesn't stand out as being especially horrible in any one particular area on that end of the court, and they fall outside the bottom-100 in every one of the defensive categories we take into consideration for this analysis.

On the road, Illinois State performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked 331st in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Illinois State performs better against squads that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. When facing teams that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 5.60%, Illinois State is more efficient than normal 82% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 37% of the time.
When playing teams that allow opponents to shoot well from the field, Illinois State usually performs worse than average. Illinois State is more efficient than normal 40% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 42.35%. In all other contests, Illinois State performs better than average 80% of the time.
Illinois State is typically worse vs. teams that find ways to get to the free throw line. Against foes that have an offensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 25.08, Illinois State performs above their norm 31% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 71% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Drake wins MVC Opener to set up UNI rematch
(3/5/2020 11:36:00 PM) Liam Robbins scored 18 points as Drake defeated Illinois State 75-65 in the first round of the Missouri Valley Conference Tourney. Anthony Murphy and Garrett Sturtz added 17 points apiece for the Bulldogs,
Arch Madness basketball: Drake topples Illinois State to set up another Northern Iowa matchup
(3/5/2020 10:35:55 PM) ST. LOUIS — The opening act of Arch Madness 2020 featured one squad that earned its way to Thursday night — and another that more so fell there. The three-game gap between No. 8 seed Drake and No. 9 seed Illinois State was the second-widest between teams that finished next to each other in the Valley standings.
Drake too much for Illinois State
(3/5/2020 10:31:00 PM) ST. LOUIS — Liam Robbins had 18 points as Drake defeated Illinois State 75-65 in the Missouri Valley Conference Tourney first round on Thursday night. "I thought it was a great effort by our guys tonight," Drake coach Darian DeVries told the Drake athletics website. "It was great to see them playing a little loose and free. I was really proud ...
Robbins scores 18 to lift Drake past Illinois State 75-65 in Arch Madness opener
(3/5/2020 10:09:00 PM) ST. LOUIS — Liam Robbins had 18 points as Drake defeated Illinois State 75-65 in the first game of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament on Thursday night.
Robbins carries Drake past Illinois St. 75-65 in MVC tourney
(3/5/2020 10:00:00 PM) Liam Robbins had 18 points as Drake defeated Illinois State 75-65 in the Missouri Valley Conference Tourney first round on Thursday night.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25103rd103rd111th94thMVC258th153rd114th92nd167th120th
2023-24188th188th226th190thMVC342nd348th130th69th66th199th
2022-23287th287th295th292ndMVC302nd205th258th161st248th248th
2021-22160th158th263rd229thMVC122nd240th120th134th350th182nd
2020-21239th238th303rd279thMVC157th141st123rd306th153rd256th
2019-20226th226th299th243rdMVC156th97th113th86th331st209th
2018-19196th196th170th162ndMVC203rd76th139th14th157th199th
2017-18165th165th155th102ndMVC101st53rd74th88th232nd171st
2016-1763rd62nd17th39thMVC309th300th114th287th35th54th
2015-16123rd123rd130th117thMVC230th286th137th105th288th172nd
2014-1567th67th92nd75thMVC161st120th87th116th188th81st
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2573rd187th97th269th62nd43rd57th252nd23rd340th38th326th305th193rd25th248th324th349th
2023-24240th85th200th247th256th194th345th150th162nd248th133rd300th197th274th172nd141st231st210th
2022-23261st236th10th334th240th126th218th154th119th358th141st231st277th256th80th124th344th336th
2021-22121st135th97th278th106th159th53rd174th118th286th118th83rd286th208th131st157th266th259th
2020-21257th340th316th187th184th120th211th125th69th303rd172nd100th270th227th108th119th310th292nd
2019-20247th308th217th251st234th71st59th169th180th333rd226th203rd289th253rd53rd149th327th333rd
2018-19212th224th158th186th201st170th251st37th96th340th76th346th96th102nd166th33rd335th295th
2017-18209th234th302nd203rd216th43rd163rd223rd186th302nd154th196th172nd109th41st227th298th320th
2016-17104th312th285th28th125th46th80th84th92nd308th89th135th147th147th75th117th326th315th
2015-16168th321st276th33rd219th45th204th90th60th318th180th26th168th193rd72nd115th333rd326th
2014-1579th135th115th41st139th219th175th62nd57th164th179th35th36th111th243rd81st215th143rd
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25209th182nd--190th188th173rd148th318th288th54th244th141st44th68th174th320th52nd96th
2023-24152nd53rd--298th143rd307th51st104th75th265th273rd69th161st226th277th63rd213th149th
2022-23297th300th--185th296th159th236th182nd276th235th279th286th306th339th156th169th246th230th
2021-22234th267th--230th175th116th186th233rd195th257th122nd268th238th173rd104th214th239th268th
2020-21222nd87th--336th172nd286th31st191st193rd257th293rd272nd232nd254th222nd135th199th167th
2019-20208th158th--181st198th264th201st93rd194th201st195th207th183rd252nd258th84th195th135th
2018-19169th169th--196th152nd233rd117th261st213th85th232nd103rd180th198th219th259th80th100th
2017-18138th291st--239th58th294th12th145th105th161st145th314th329th217th281st126th136th103rd
2016-1730th79th--273rd10th306th71st306th41st34th14th191st244th45th276th294th23rd28th
2015-1689th122nd--104th122nd234th79th196th53rd65th280th146th154th123rd261st216th84th72nd
2014-1558th188th--98th60th153rd58th283rd40th33rd206th108th66th17th186th316th45th79th