TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Illinois State  17-16 (0.515)  |  Missouri Valley
All-Play Percentage: 0.446 (196th)
Schedule Strength: 0.525 (139th)
Record Quality: 0.027 (162nd)
Avg. Season Rank: 197.09 (199th)
Pace: 68.14 (203rd)
Momentum: -2.25 (270th)
Off. Momentum: -3.84 (341st)
Def. Momentum: 1.59 (63rd)
Consistency: -8.73 (76th)
Res. Consistency: -11.31 (120th)
Away From Home: 0.07 (157th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 1.85 (14th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 100.34 24.98 71.65 83.04 43.20 32.34 33.07 26.09 37.48 24.61 62.57 7.51 15.04 6.55 38.95 31.41 29.63 2.09
RANK: 212th 224th 158th 186th 201st 170th 251st 37th 96th 340th 76th 346th 96th 102nd 166th 33rd 335th 295th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 103.84 25.95 -- 84.18 44.01 33.36 33.60 22.59 36.93 28.23 61.98 10.64 13.71 6.25 39.62 26.84 33.54 2.06
RANK: 169th 169th -- 196th 152nd 233rd 117th 261st 213th 85th 232nd 103rd 180th 198th 219th 259th 80th 100th

ANALYSIS:
They're far from the worst of the worst, but Illinois State should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. They have a record of 17-16 and are ranked 196th overall (out of 353) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #7 team (out of 10) in the MVC (average ranking 177.2).

Based on their performances this year, Illinois State will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 104 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #169 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. Although they have a capable defense, Illinois State doesn't stand out in any one particular area on that end of the court, and they fall outside the top-100 in every one of the defensive categories we take into consideration for this analysis. If Illinois State does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's unwillingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of the opposition's turnovers. The squad only has a rating of 7.51 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks eighth-worst in the college game.

Illinois State is not quite as good on the offensive end of the floor. The team is ranked 212th in offensive efficiency, scoring about 100 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Despite their struggles on offense, Illinois State doesn't really stand out as being terrible in any one particular area on that end of the floor. In fact, they aren't even in the bottom-100 in any of the offensive categories we consider for this analysis.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, Illinois State often performs better than normal. Illinois State is more efficient than usual 91% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 35.09%. In their other contests, Illinois State performs better than the norm 38% of the time.
Illinois State does better vs. clubs that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 42.76%, Illinois State performs above average 73% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 20% of the time.
Illinois State performs worse against squads that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 84.41, Illinois State is more efficient than normal 31% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 81% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Fayne lifts Illinois St. past Evansville 65-60
(3/8/2019 9:19:00 AM) ST. LOUIS (AP) Phil Fayne had 17 points and 10 rebounds to lead Illinois State to a 65-60 win over Evansville in the first round of the Missouri Valley Conference Tourney on Thursday night. Milik Yarbrough had 18 points for Illinois State (17-15).
Yarbrough scores 21 in Illinois State’s win over Drake
(2/25/2019 11:01:00 AM) NORMAL, Ill. (AP) — Milik Yarbrough had 21 points as Illinois State defeated Drake 67-60 on Sunday. Phil Fayne had 14 points and nine rebounds for Illinois State (15-14, 8-8 Missouri Valley Conference), which snapped its five-game losing streak.
UNI basketball busts out with double-digit win over Illinois State
(2/13/2019 11:30:00 PM) Cole Bair, correspondent CEDAR FALLS — An improved defensive effort and a continuation of recent offensive efficiency led Northern Iowa past Illinois State 77-64 Wednesday night at McLeod Center. A quick 6-0 run by the Redbirds (14-12, 7-6) late in the ...
College men's basketball: Avalanche of 3's gives UNI halftime lead over Illinois St., 43-31
(2/13/2019 9:10:00 PM) CEDAR FALLS – The University of Northern Iowa men’s basketball ... the first half. Illinois State is 10 of 28 shooting with center Phil Fayne’s 13 points leading the Redbirds.
College basketball: Missouri State wins on half-court shot at buzzer
(2/11/2019 3:44:00 AM) ... he got off just before the final horn sounded to give Missouri State a 66-65 victory at home over Illinois State on Sunday afternoon. The Redbirds led 65-63 with 7.8 seconds left before turning the ball over on an inbounds play. The ball changed hands ...
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25103rd103rd111th95thMVC257th154th114th92nd167th120th
2023-24188th188th226th190thMVC342nd348th130th69th66th199th
2022-23287th287th295th292ndMVC302nd205th258th161st248th248th
2021-22160th158th263rd229thMVC122nd240th120th134th350th182nd
2020-21239th238th303rd279thMVC157th141st123rd306th153rd256th
2019-20226th226th299th243rdMVC156th97th113th86th331st209th
2018-19196th196th170th162ndMVC203rd76th139th14th157th199th
2017-18165th165th155th102ndMVC101st53rd74th88th232nd171st
2016-1763rd62nd17th39thMVC309th300th114th287th35th54th
2015-16123rd123rd130th117thMVC230th286th137th105th288th172nd
2014-1567th67th92nd75thMVC161st120th87th116th188th81st
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2573rd188th97th268th63rd42nd57th253rd25th340th38th326th305th191st25th248th325th348th
2023-24240th85th200th247th256th194th345th150th162nd248th133rd300th197th274th172nd141st231st210th
2022-23261st236th10th334th240th126th218th154th119th358th141st231st277th256th80th124th344th336th
2021-22121st135th97th278th106th159th53rd174th118th286th118th83rd286th208th131st157th266th259th
2020-21257th340th316th187th184th120th211th125th69th303rd172nd100th270th227th108th119th310th292nd
2019-20247th308th217th251st234th71st59th169th180th333rd226th203rd289th253rd53rd149th327th333rd
2018-19212th224th158th186th201st170th251st37th96th340th76th346th96th102nd166th33rd335th295th
2017-18209th234th302nd203rd216th43rd163rd223rd186th302nd154th196th172nd109th41st227th298th320th
2016-17104th312th285th28th125th46th80th84th92nd308th89th135th147th147th75th117th326th315th
2015-16168th321st276th33rd219th45th204th90th60th318th180th26th168th193rd72nd115th333rd326th
2014-1579th135th115th41st139th219th175th62nd57th164th179th35th36th111th243rd81st215th143rd
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25209th183rd--190th188th174th147th317th288th54th242nd141st44th67th176th320th50th94th
2023-24152nd53rd--298th143rd307th51st104th75th265th273rd69th161st226th277th63rd213th149th
2022-23297th300th--185th296th159th236th182nd276th235th279th286th306th339th156th169th246th230th
2021-22234th267th--230th175th116th186th233rd195th257th122nd268th238th173rd104th214th239th268th
2020-21222nd87th--336th172nd286th31st191st193rd257th293rd272nd232nd254th222nd135th199th167th
2019-20208th158th--181st198th264th201st93rd194th201st195th207th183rd252nd258th84th195th135th
2018-19169th169th--196th152nd233rd117th261st213th85th232nd103rd180th198th219th259th80th100th
2017-18138th291st--239th58th294th12th145th105th161st145th314th329th217th281st126th136th103rd
2016-1730th79th--273rd10th306th71st306th41st34th14th191st244th45th276th294th23rd28th
2015-1689th122nd--104th122nd234th79th196th53rd65th280th146th154th123rd261st216th84th72nd
2014-1558th188th--98th60th153rd58th283rd40th33rd206th108th66th17th186th316th45th79th