Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Georgia State20-13 (0.606) | Sun Belt
All-Play Percentage: 0.583 (146th)
Schedule Strength: 0.497 (159th)
Record Quality: 0.085 (123rd)
Avg. Season Rank: 130.47 (129th)
Pace: 70.47 (165th)
Momentum: -1.89 (263rd)
Off. Momentum: -2.71 (317th)
Def. Momentum: 0.82 (74th)
Consistency: -9.17 (197th)
Res. Consistency: -13.13 (285th)
Away From Home: -0.13 (165th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 1.05 (32nd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
100.17
70.53
24.90
64.36
81.79
37.10
45.36
29.10
9.94
34.16
21.35
8.12
38.06
31.34
19.04
60.75
10.67
14.72
7.43
35.58
26.10
38.32
1.97
RANK:
183rd
157th
263rd
327th
175th
101st
107th
192nd
205th
212th
245th
207th
104th
53rd
60th
132nd
173rd
165th
94th
196th
262nd
54th
96th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
99.97
70.40
30.27
--
78.98
33.38
42.26
34.82
11.87
34.08
18.44
6.45
35.00
25.72
15.06
58.55
10.88
14.62
6.44
44.09
23.35
32.57
2.12
RANK:
119th
183rd
274th
--
67th
50th
84th
330th
306th
95th
16th
12th
92nd
63rd
79th
131st
183rd
188th
142nd
345th
19th
102nd
21st
ANALYSIS: As an average to slightly above-average foe, Georgia State should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 146th overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 20-13. Of the 12 schools in the Sun Belt (average ranking 187.5), they're currently ranked as our #4 team in the conference.
Based on their performances this year, Georgia State will likely find more success on defense than they will on offense. Allowing about 100 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they currently occupy the #119 slot in the ratings for defensive efficiency. Georgia State has been doing fairly decent work to prevent opponents from getting off shots from the field. The club is ranked 67th in Division I in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 78.98 vs. AO.
Georgia State doesn't perform as well offensively as they do defensively. The team is ranked 183rd in offensive efficiency, scoring about 100 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Georgia State has had serious struggles making their free throws this year. Converting just 64.4% of their attempts, the squad is ranked #327 overall in free throw percentage.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Georgia State is typically worse vs. teams that tend to capitalize off breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate off steals vs. AO greater than 11.85, Georgia State performs above their norm 10% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 57% of the time.
When facing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, Georgia State often performs better than normal. Georgia State is more efficient than usual 69% of the time when facing teams that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 69.61%. In their other contests, Georgia State performs better than the norm 22% of the time.
Georgia State does worse vs. clubs that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 13.51, Georgia State performs above average 25% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 60% of the time.
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