TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 Penn State  21-10 (0.677)  |  Big Ten
All-Play Percentage: 0.932 (25th)
Schedule Strength: 0.730 (27th)
Record Quality: 0.380 (23rd)
Avg. Season Rank: 17.53 (14th)
Pace: 71.45 (70th)
Momentum: -6.70 (352nd)
Off. Momentum: -2.47 (328th)
Def. Momentum: -4.23 (343rd)
Consistency: -10.11 (294th)
Res. Consistency: -13.72 (294th)
Away From Home: -1.20 (260th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -2.44 (295th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 108.29 27.89 69.74 86.15 45.11 33.17 33.47 23.81 38.91 29.17 63.42 14.79 13.18 5.22 38.51 27.64 33.85 2.05
RANK: 33rd 79th 220th 16th 79th 92nd 164th 128th 95th 136th 42nd 21st 152nd 136th 147th 182nd 204th 215th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 89.46 23.23 -- 81.73 39.70 27.05 31.19 25.22 35.02 29.46 51.53 9.28 13.34 5.04 33.10 30.86 36.04 1.97
RANK: 20th 95th -- 168th 29th 39th 64th 286th 86th 233rd 16th 43rd 200th 180th 43rd 286th 220th 290th

ANALYSIS:
Penn State is one of the teams in the upper echelon of college basketball this year. Ranked 25th overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 21-10. They are also ranked by this site as the #9 team (out of 14) in the Big Ten (average ranking 36.9).

Penn State will suffocate most opponents with its stifling defense. Allowing roughly 89 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, this squad is rated #20 in defensive efficiency. Penn State does tremendous work shutting down the opposition from the inside. They are ranked 16th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 51.5% of their attempts from close-up. Penn State also thrives on scoring fast and easy points off of steals. They're ranked 21st in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 14.79.

Penn State plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 33rd nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 108 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Penn State is one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked 16th in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 86.15 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-100 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 45.1% of their total attempts vs. AO. Penn State also has the potential to make you pay if you let them get close to the rim. The team is ranked 42nd in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 63.4% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO.

Penn State has definitely not been as efficient as of late compared to earlier in the season and, consequently, the team is nationally ranked second from the bottom in positive momentum.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Penn State is typically better vs. teams that do not defend well on the perimeter. Against foes that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.08%, Penn State performs above their norm 78% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 41% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
PIAA state basketball day 2: Saturday March 7th
(3/8/2020 12:24:00 AM) The second half was another woeful one for Penn State. They were outscored against in the second half for the fourth straight game. The Northwestern Wildcats dominated the Nittany Lions over the last ten minutes of the game and pick a rare victory, 80-69. LORETTO, Pa. (WTAJ) -- For the third time in the last four seasons, the Saint Francis Red ...
How Michigan State dampened Penn State men's basketball's Senior Night celebration
(3/4/2020 9:46:31 AM) UNIVERSITY PARK -- Tuesday night was supposed to be a celebration. Penn State basketball was supposed to send off seniors Curtis Jones Jr., Lamar Stevens and Mike Watkins with a big victory in their final game at the Bryce Jordan Center.
Giger: Tough to have confidence in PSU right now
(3/4/2020 8:42:00 AM) There was no magic 3-pointer Tuesday night. No coming back after a huge collapse and still pulling out a victory. Penn State led by 19 points in the first half and by 15 at the break against Michigan State. And still lost, 79-71. Everyone knew the Spartans would fight back, but the speed with which it happened in the second half was stunning.
'Battle-tested' MSU rallies to beat Penn State, third straight Big Ten title back in play
(3/4/2020 12:16:00 AM) Battle-tested' MSU rallies to beat Penn State, third straight Big Ten title back in play Spartans (21-9. 13-6) rally from 15-point halftime deficit to takedown Nittany Lions, 79-71, Tuesday. Check out this story on detroitnews.com: https://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/college/michigan-state-university/2020/03/03/no-16-michigan-state-roars ...
Overheard in the MSU locker room: Cassius Winston, Tom Izzo explain an animated huddle
(3/4/2020 12:02:00 AM) STATE COLLEGE, Pa. – Overheard in the Michigan State locker room and in the Bryce Jordan Center media room following Michigan State’s 79-71 win over Penn State on Tuesday night: “I was mad at Cassius. And he was mad at me. And I was mad at Draymond. I was mad at Mateen and I was mad at a lot of people. You know, being mad is sometimes ...
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-2550th50th181st102ndBig Ten54th199th66th330th295th42nd
2023-2461st60th208th113thBig Ten70th213th49th193rd291st77th
2022-2326th26th101st36thBig Ten340th148th23rd86th239th33rd
2021-2280th80th224th120thBig Ten355th46th19th75th280th75th
2020-2139th39th220th90thBig Ten168th268th1st136th57th24th
2019-2025th25th54th23rdBig Ten70th294th27th295th260th14th
2018-1932nd32nd230th104thBig Ten157th5th3rd46th270th44th
2017-1822nd22nd66th34thBig Ten236th187th50th206th55th42nd
2016-1797th97th223rd102ndBig Ten95th219th32nd171st181st88th
2015-16151st151st186th126thBig Ten272nd167th68th168th249th146th
2014-1568th68th161st99thBig Ten108th79th60th4th264th88th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2548th16th44th348th15th308th49th330th43rd15th77th78th292nd171st258th322nd3rd16th
2023-2471st26th61st245th85th177th75th226th227th164th81st51st284th217th154th215th145th171st
2022-236th292nd108th48th10th9th3rd210th2nd329th44th309th350th329th17th244th346th356th
2021-22106th322nd127th61st113th56th121st175th124th253rd68th307th108th55th81st207th283rd303rd
2020-2130th75th53rd42nd104th46th85th229th100th131st154th26th137th178th82nd261st188th250th
2019-2033rd79th220th16th79th92nd164th128th95th136th42nd21st152nd136th147th182nd204th215th
2018-1968th50th239th59th123rd192nd168th100th210th131st60th2nd54th34th221st125th171st145th
2017-1832nd81st249th65th43rd213th8th119th51st83rd131st164th101st114th248th137th117th102nd
2016-17142nd146th64th147th190th182nd160th98th253rd242nd117th104th113th162nd186th103rd250th202nd
2015-16176th198th126th126th240th74th270th217th168th211th169th228th187th138th84th227th230th265th
2014-15122nd164th168th183rd116th137th138th125th63rd299th97th163rd243rd218th127th115th301st272nd
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2560th36th--142nd92nd157th179th114th42nd238th65th320th126th77th169th115th258th226th
2023-2471st222nd--31st110th40th10th89th188th280th124th160th60th128th74th126th325th324th
2022-2389th11th--360th55th285th50th358th259th40th67th70th68th79th194th351st8th46th
2021-2250th46th--318th18th259th144th350th42nd12th33rd220th82nd26th197th347th3rd35th
2020-2155th98th--59th103rd118th162nd154th55th157th140th55th56th66th151st193rd200th194th
2019-2020th95th--168th29th39th64th286th86th233rd16th43rd200th180th43rd286th220th290th
2018-1919th109th--17th69th3rd146th277th242nd137th14th133rd3rd25th14th312th219th305th
2017-1818th97th--134th34th59th46th257th48th176th32nd25th215th132nd66th267th187th251st
2016-1776th51st--225th76th157th219th244th106th177th45th199th122nd110th128th232nd156th199th
2015-16139th334th--83rd74th85th232nd172nd64th193rd26th190th133rd110th107th201st229th243rd
2014-1543rd289th--121st18th94th26th137th8th245th12th116th294th56th107th153rd267th270th