Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Penn State14-18 (0.438) | Big Ten
All-Play Percentage: 0.912 (32nd)
Schedule Strength: 0.806 (3rd)
Record Quality: 0.142 (104th)
Avg. Season Rank: 45.57 (44th)
Pace: 68.88 (157th)
Momentum: 4.13 (25th)
Off. Momentum: 1.60 (99th)
Def. Momentum: 2.53 (29th)
Consistency: -7.22 (5th)
Res. Consistency: -9.56 (30th)
Away From Home: -0.96 (270th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.83 (46th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
109.04
69.01
29.38
69.23
86.28
38.85
45.03
31.83
11.00
34.55
23.28
8.14
34.96
31.17
19.71
63.25
18.24
16.13
7.59
36.89
26.98
36.13
2.01
RANK:
68th
146th
50th
239th
59th
73rd
123rd
192nd
185th
168th
100th
123rd
210th
131st
86th
60th
2nd
54th
34th
221st
125th
171st
145th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
92.29
68.75
24.57
--
78.62
32.89
41.83
26.01
8.88
34.15
22.91
8.60
37.55
29.70
15.40
51.86
11.13
9.92
4.35
33.09
29.14
37.78
1.95
RANK:
19th
188th
109th
--
17th
24th
69th
3rd
10th
146th
277th
299th
242nd
137th
45th
14th
133rd
3rd
25th
14th
312th
219th
305th
ANALYSIS: Despite what their win percentage might indicate, Penn State is a good team that can cause more than enough trouble for most opponents. They have a record of 14-18 and are ranked 32nd overall (out of 353) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 14) in the Big Ten (average ranking 37.8). Sporting a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.806 (the third-highest in the country), Penn State has prepared themselves by challenging some of the best teams in the college game.
Penn State has been a force on the defensive end of the court. The team is rated 19th in defensive efficiency and allows fewer than 93 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Penn State thrives on scoring fast and easy points off of steals. They're ranked second in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 18.24. Penn State also does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 9.92 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked third in the country), and they allow AO to convert just 4.3% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 25th) as well. Penn State lastly does tremendous work shutting down the opposition from the inside. They are ranked 14th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 51.9% of their attempts from close-up.
Penn State plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 68th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 109 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Penn State is one of the better teams in the country when it comes to converting scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 7.6% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 34th nationally). Penn State also does a really good job to acquire opportunities from the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 29.38 vs. AO, they are ranked 50th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe, where the team shoots a rather mediocre 69.2%.
Penn State has been playing some of its most efficient basketball of the season recently and is presently ranked 25th in positive momentum. Penn State is also one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked fifth in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Penn State performs worse against squads that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. When facing teams that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 6.15%, Penn State is more efficient than normal 39% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 79% of the time.
When playing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, Penn State usually performs better than average. Penn State is more efficient than normal 79% of the time when facing clubs that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 72.73%. In all other contests, Penn State performs better than average 39% of the time.
Penn State is typically worse vs. teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. Against foes that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 11.69, Penn State performs above their norm 43% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 82% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Coffey rallies Minnesota to OT win over Penn State (3/14/2019 10:51:00 PM) Penn State shot 42.3 percent from the field, including 4 of 15 from 3-point range. The Nittany Lions were 8 of 12 from the line. Stevens drove through the lane for a layup as Penn State led 59-51 with 4:57 remaining. Back-to-back baskets by Coffey pulled ...
Updates from the Big Ten Tournament: Minnesota outlasts Penn State in overtime (3/14/2019 10:19:00 PM) After using a 10-2 run late in regulation to tie the score at 61, the Gophers outscored the Nittany Lions 16-11 in the extra period. A skirmish broke out with 33.3 seconds left in overtime as Minnesota’s Amir Coffey and Penn State’s Jamari Wheeler ...
Gophers Face Penn State in Big Ten Tournament Opener (3/13/2019 4:12:00 PM) The seventh-seeded Minnesota men's basketball team opens play in the 2019 Big Ten ... needing 33 points to tie Andre Hollins for fourth place (1,765). SCOUTING THE NITTANY LIONS • Penn State has been one of the hottest teams in the Big Ten to wrap ...
3 takeaways from No. 17 Maryland's 78-61 loss at Penn State (2/28/2019 11:07:00 AM) Over the course of a college basketball season, even good teams suffer inexplicable defeats. That’s why no team has gone through a season unbeaten since Indiana in 1975-76. But in the world that many Maryland fans live in — where memories go back to ...
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