TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2018-19 Penn State  14-18 (0.438)  |  Big Ten
All-Play Percentage: 0.912 (32nd)
Schedule Strength: 0.806 (3rd)
Record Quality: 0.142 (104th)
Avg. Season Rank: 45.57 (44th)
Pace: 68.88 (157th)
Momentum: 4.13 (25th)
Off. Momentum: 1.60 (99th)
Def. Momentum: 2.53 (29th)
Consistency: -7.22 (5th)
Res. Consistency: -9.56 (30th)
Away From Home: -0.96 (270th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.83 (46th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 8, 2019. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 109.04 29.38 69.23 86.28 45.03 31.83 34.55 23.28 34.96 31.17 63.25 18.24 16.13 7.59 36.89 26.98 36.13 2.01
RANK: 68th 50th 239th 59th 123rd 192nd 168th 100th 210th 131st 60th 2nd 54th 34th 221st 125th 171st 145th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 92.29 24.57 -- 78.62 41.83 26.01 34.15 22.91 37.55 29.70 51.86 11.13 9.92 4.35 33.09 29.14 37.78 1.95
RANK: 19th 109th -- 17th 69th 3rd 146th 277th 242nd 137th 14th 133rd 3rd 25th 14th 312th 219th 305th

ANALYSIS:
Despite what their win percentage might indicate, Penn State is a good team that can cause more than enough trouble for most opponents. They have a record of 14-18 and are ranked 32nd overall (out of 353) in the latest Haslametrics ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the #6 team (out of 14) in the Big Ten (average ranking 37.8). Sporting a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.806 (the third-highest in the country), Penn State has prepared themselves by challenging some of the best teams in the college game.

Penn State has been a force on the defensive end of the court. The team is rated 19th in defensive efficiency and allows fewer than 93 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Penn State thrives on scoring fast and easy points off of steals. They're ranked second in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 18.24. Penn State also does a super job to deny opponents offensive rebounds and second chances. They have a rating of 9.92 vs. AO in potential points allowed off of second chances (ranked third in the country), and they allow AO to convert just 4.3% of their second-chance opportunities (ranked 25th) as well. Penn State lastly does tremendous work shutting down the opposition from the inside. They are ranked 14th in the country in defensive near-proximity percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 51.9% of their attempts from close-up.

Penn State plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 68th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 109 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Penn State is one of the better teams in the country when it comes to converting scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 7.6% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 34th nationally). Penn State also does a really good job to acquire opportunities from the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 29.38 vs. AO, they are ranked 50th in the nation at getting to the charity stripe, where the team shoots a rather mediocre 69.2%.

Penn State has been playing some of its most efficient basketball of the season recently and is presently ranked 25th in positive momentum. Penn State is also one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked fifth in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Penn State performs worse against squads that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds. When facing teams that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 6.15%, Penn State is more efficient than normal 39% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 79% of the time.
When playing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, Penn State usually performs better than average. Penn State is more efficient than normal 79% of the time when facing clubs that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 72.73%. In all other contests, Penn State performs better than average 39% of the time.
Penn State is typically worse vs. teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. Against foes that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 11.69, Penn State performs above their norm 43% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 82% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Coffey rallies Minnesota to OT win over Penn State
(3/14/2019 10:51:00 PM) Penn State shot 42.3 percent from the field, including 4 of 15 from 3-point range. The Nittany Lions were 8 of 12 from the line. Stevens drove through the lane for a layup as Penn State led 59-51 with 4:57 remaining. Back-to-back baskets by Coffey pulled ...
Updates from the Big Ten Tournament: Minnesota outlasts Penn State in overtime
(3/14/2019 10:19:00 PM) After using a 10-2 run late in regulation to tie the score at 61, the Gophers outscored the Nittany Lions 16-11 in the extra period. A skirmish broke out with 33.3 seconds left in overtime as Minnesota’s Amir Coffey and Penn State’s Jamari Wheeler ...
Gophers shake off slow start to force overtime, beat Penn State in Big Ten basketball tournament
(3/14/2019 9:44:00 PM) CHICAGO - Amir Coffey was isolated at the top of the key for what was supposed to be the last shot of the first half Thursday, but the ball was stolen away and dunked by Penn State’s Josh ... 77-72 win against the Nittany Lions. Coffey, who had just ...
Gophers Face Penn State in Big Ten Tournament Opener
(3/13/2019 4:12:00 PM) The seventh-seeded Minnesota men's basketball team opens play in the 2019 Big Ten ... needing 33 points to tie Andre Hollins for fourth place (1,765). SCOUTING THE NITTANY LIONS • Penn State has been one of the hottest teams in the Big Ten to wrap ...
3 takeaways from No. 17 Maryland's 78-61 loss at Penn State
(2/28/2019 11:07:00 AM) Over the course of a college basketball season, even good teams suffer inexplicable defeats. That’s why no team has gone through a season unbeaten since Indiana in 1975-76. But in the world that many Maryland fans live in — where memories go back to ...
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-2550th50th181st102ndBig Ten54th199th65th330th295th42nd
2023-2461st60th208th113thBig Ten70th213th49th193rd291st77th
2022-2326th26th101st36thBig Ten340th148th23rd86th239th33rd
2021-2280th80th224th120thBig Ten355th46th19th75th280th75th
2020-2139th39th220th90thBig Ten168th268th1st136th57th24th
2019-2025th25th54th23rdBig Ten70th294th27th295th260th14th
2018-1932nd32nd230th104thBig Ten157th5th3rd46th270th44th
2017-1822nd22nd66th34thBig Ten236th187th50th206th55th42nd
2016-1797th97th223rd102ndBig Ten95th219th32nd171st181st88th
2015-16151st151st186th126thBig Ten272nd167th68th168th249th146th
2014-1568th68th161st99thBig Ten108th79th60th4th264th88th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2548th16th44th348th16th309th45th330th45th14th78th78th292nd171st260th322nd3rd15th
2023-2471st26th61st245th85th177th75th226th227th164th81st51st284th217th154th215th145th171st
2022-236th292nd108th48th10th9th3rd210th2nd329th44th309th350th329th17th244th346th356th
2021-22106th322nd127th61st113th56th121st175th124th253rd68th307th108th55th81st207th283rd303rd
2020-2130th75th53rd42nd104th46th85th229th100th131st154th26th137th178th82nd261st188th250th
2019-2033rd79th220th16th79th92nd164th128th95th136th42nd21st152nd136th147th182nd204th215th
2018-1968th50th239th59th123rd192nd168th100th210th131st60th2nd54th34th221st125th171st145th
2017-1832nd81st249th65th43rd213th8th119th51st83rd131st164th101st114th248th137th117th102nd
2016-17142nd146th64th147th190th182nd160th98th253rd242nd117th104th113th162nd186th103rd250th202nd
2015-16176th198th126th126th240th74th270th217th168th211th169th228th187th138th84th227th230th265th
2014-15122nd164th168th183rd116th137th138th125th63rd299th97th163rd243rd218th127th115th301st272nd
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2559th36th--141st91st159th173rd115th45th238th66th320th125th76th169th116th258th226th
2023-2471st222nd--31st110th40th10th89th188th280th124th160th60th128th74th126th325th324th
2022-2389th11th--360th55th285th50th358th259th40th67th70th68th79th194th351st8th46th
2021-2250th46th--318th18th259th144th350th42nd12th33rd220th82nd26th197th347th3rd35th
2020-2155th98th--59th103rd118th162nd154th55th157th140th55th56th66th151st193rd200th194th
2019-2020th95th--168th29th39th64th286th86th233rd16th43rd200th180th43rd286th220th290th
2018-1919th109th--17th69th3rd146th277th242nd137th14th133rd3rd25th14th312th219th305th
2017-1818th97th--134th34th59th46th257th48th176th32nd25th215th132nd66th267th187th251st
2016-1776th51st--225th76th157th219th244th106th177th45th199th122nd110th128th232nd156th199th
2015-16139th334th--83rd74th85th232nd172nd64th193rd26th190th133rd110th107th201st229th243rd
2014-1543rd289th--121st18th94th26th137th8th245th12th116th294th56th107th153rd267th270th