Automated Team Capsule for 2014-15 ETSU16-14 (0.533) | Southern
All-Play Percentage: 0.400 (212th)
Schedule Strength: 0.429 (238th)
Record Quality: -0.068 (210th)
Avg. Season Rank: 180.31 (176th)
Pace: 68.34 (34th)
Momentum: -1.24 (241st)
Off. Momentum: -3.28 (340th)
Def. Momentum: 2.04 (25th)
Consistency: -7.60 (22nd)
Res. Consistency: -6.34 (1st)
Away From Home: 0.79 (81st)
Paper Tiger Factor: 1.05 (32nd)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 6, 2015. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
98.51
68.38
26.86
72.78
82.36
32.88
39.92
36.91
13.20
35.76
22.51
7.50
33.31
22.94
12.18
53.10
16.86
15.48
5.11
44.81
27.33
27.85
2.17
RANK:
198th
35th
247th
66th
156th
277th
299th
9th
15th
109th
273rd
285th
264th
338th
342nd
307th
2nd
160th
308th
8th
283rd
342nd
349th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
103.68
68.30
33.79
--
78.21
34.64
44.29
30.66
10.97
35.79
21.85
7.63
34.92
25.71
16.03
62.38
13.21
16.60
7.97
39.20
27.93
32.87
2.06
RANK:
222nd
317th
315th
--
40th
128th
210th
286th
294th
241st
41st
39th
149th
77th
136th
277th
307th
274th
281st
325th
69th
109th
50th
ANALYSIS: ETSU has a squad that most likely falls somewhere in the bottom half of NCAA Division I teams this year. Carrying a record of 16-14, they are currently rated #212 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #4 team (out of 10) in the Southern (average ranking 238.8).
Though their defense is far from abysmal, ETSU is not really proficient on that end of the court either. Allowing about 104 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, they are ranked #222 in defensive efficiency. ETSU commits too many fouls, which leads to plentiful free throw attempts for the opposition. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 33.79 vs. AO, the squad is ranked #315 in the country in that category. If ETSU does have a bright spot on defense, it would have to be their willingness to take risks in order to score fast points off of steals. The team has a solid rating of 16.86 in potential points scored off of steals vs. AO, which ranks second-best in college basketball.
ETSU doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 99 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #198 in the nation in offensive efficiency. ETSU is one of the more deficient teams in the nation as it pertains to scoring off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team converts only 5.1% of all second-chance opportunities (308th nationally). ETSU also won't provide opponents much of a scare with their shooting percentage from the inside. The team is ranked 307th in near-proximity field goal percentage, making only 53.1% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO.
ETSU is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked 22nd in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When playing teams that do a nice job converting inside the paint, ETSU usually performs better than average. ETSU is more efficient than normal 69% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 55.15%. In all other contests, ETSU performs better than average 8% of the time.
ETSU is typically better vs. teams that shoot the ball well from the field. Against foes that have an offensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 42.55%, ETSU performs above their norm 78% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 26% of the time.
When facing teams that do not defend well on the perimeter, ETSU often performs worse than normal. ETSU is more efficient than usual 15% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 34.55%. In their other contests, ETSU performs better than the norm 67% of the time.
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