Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 Dayton29-2 (0.935) | Atlantic 10
All-Play Percentage: 0.977 (9th)
Schedule Strength: 0.562 (111th)
Record Quality: 0.525 (6th)
Avg. Season Rank: 11.62 (8th)
Pace: 69.06 (209th)
Momentum: 1.10 (127th)
Off. Momentum: 0.12 (217th)
Def. Momentum: 0.98 (81st)
Consistency: -7.20 (11th)
Res. Consistency: -9.54 (34th)
Away From Home: 0.64 (101st)
Paper Tiger Factor: 1.42 (18th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
113.87
69.25
26.76
71.92
80.11
41.45
51.75
31.69
11.72
36.99
18.38
7.83
42.60
30.03
21.90
72.91
10.93
9.34
5.67
39.56
22.95
37.49
2.02
RANK:
7th
205th
120th
152nd
247th
5th
1st
147th
61st
25th
294th
211th
10th
107th
3rd
1st
172nd
335th
87th
116th
290th
88th
162nd
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
90.71
68.88
23.94
--
81.87
33.37
40.76
27.43
8.67
31.61
29.41
9.60
32.63
25.02
15.10
60.35
9.08
12.26
4.24
33.51
35.93
30.56
2.03
RANK:
34th
131st
115th
--
173rd
73rd
56th
52nd
39th
84th
344th
285th
26th
42nd
82nd
218th
32nd
122nd
80th
52nd
347th
47th
169th
ANALYSIS: Dayton is among the very best of the best in NCAA hoops this year. Ranked ninth overall (out of 353) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 29-2. Of the 14 schools in the A-10 (average ranking 136.6), they're currently ranked as the best team in the conference.
Dayton will create problems for opponents with their extremely prolific offense. Scoring roughly 114 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the squad is rated #7 in offensive efficiency. Dayton is one of the most lethal teams in the country when it comes to shooting the basketball, ranking in the top-25 in each of our four major field goal categories. They make 37.0% of their three-pointers (25th in the nation), 42.6% of their mid-range jumpers (tenth), 72.9% of their near-proximity chances (first), and 51.7% of their total shots from the field (first) vs. AO. Dayton also does a pretty good job of protecting the ball when they have possession and not allowing quick and easy baskets off of their own turnovers. The team's rating vs. AO for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals is 9.08, which ranks #32 in the country. If Dayton does have a glaring weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties obtaining second-chance opportunities from offensive rebounds. The squad only has a rating of 9.34 vs. AO in potential points off of second chances, which ranks 19th-worst in college hoops.
Dayton plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 34th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 91 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Dayton has been able to successfully prevent opponents from making shots between the three-point stripe and the low post. They're ranked 26th in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 32.6% of their attempts from that distance. To capitalize on that weakness, this team will make AO shoot from mid-range locations more than they usually would. Of AO's total field goals, a large portion of them (35.9%) will be from mid-range. Dayton has also had some success this season preventing opponents from converting many of their overall field goal attempts. The team ranks #56 nationally in field goal percentage allowed, as AO only makes good on about 40.8% of their total attempts from the floor.
Dayton is one of the most consistent teams in NCAA basketball (currently ranked 11th in consistency), which makes the outcomes of their upcoming games far easier to predict.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Dayton performs worse against squads that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. When facing teams that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.11, Dayton is more efficient than normal 27% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 89% of the time.
When playing teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds, Dayton usually performs worse than average. Dayton is more efficient than normal 26% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 11.93. In all other contests, Dayton performs better than average 75% of the time.
Dayton is typically worse vs. teams that allow more chances at the line. Against foes that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 25.07, Dayton performs above their norm 24% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 71% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Dayton Flyers hand out co-MVP awards at team banquet (3/8/2020 12:54:00 PM) The Dayton Flyers held their team banquet Sunday morning, one day after ending the regular season with a 76-51 victory against George Washington at UD Arena. Here are the awards they handed out: White-Allen Most Valuable Player: Jalen Crutcher and Obi Toppin Dayton’s two leading scorers share the top honor. Toppin averages 20.0 points.
No. 3 Dayton completes perfect run through A-10 (3/7/2020 10:15:00 PM) Obi Toppin and Jalen Crutcher scored every point in a game-breaking 16-0 second-half outburst Saturday night as No. 3 Dayton polished off an 18-0 run through the Atlantic 10 Conference with a 76-51 win over George Washington at UD Arena in Dayton ...
No. 3 Dayton buries GW in season finale, looks to postseason (3/7/2020 9:56:00 PM) Get real-time COLLEGEBASKETBALL basketball coverage and scores as George Washington Colonials takes on Dayton Flyers. We bring you the latest game previews, live stats, and recaps on CBSSports.com
Obi Toppin Had a One-Man Slam Dunk Contest Against George Washington (3/7/2020 9:37:00 PM) The Dayton Flyers beat George Washington on Saturday, 76-51, to finish the A-10 regular season 18-0. The third ranked Flyers are 29-2 on the season. Obi Toppin finished with 27 points on 11-of-15 shooting, including some very impressive dunks. During the second half he had one of the more dominant series of plays you will ever see. It's not ...
Dayton Flyers called ‘well-oiled machine’ by Rhode Island’s David Cox (3/5/2020 4:02:00 AM) He made all six of his attempts, including two after a technical foul in the first half, in an 84-57 victory against Rhode Island at the Ryan Center. Crutcher's accuracy at the free-throw line is a relatively minor footnote in a season of superlatives. Dayton's long list of feats keeps growing. Here's a breakdown of what the third-ranked Flyers ...
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