Automated Team Capsule for 2019-20 Cincinnati20-10 (0.667) | American
All-Play Percentage: 0.841 (57th)
Schedule Strength: 0.677 (59th)
Record Quality: 0.320 (38th)
Avg. Season Rank: 66.87 (64th)
Pace: 68.74 (231st)
Momentum: -3.66 (320th)
Off. Momentum: -0.46 (250th)
Def. Momentum: -3.20 (317th)
Consistency: -8.93 (150th)
Res. Consistency: -10.01 (61st)
Away From Home: -1.94 (304th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.90 (51st)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through March 11, 2020. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.25
68.89
29.10
67.05
81.23
37.64
46.34
28.52
9.46
33.16
19.95
7.32
36.68
32.75
20.86
63.69
12.03
16.38
7.23
35.11
24.56
40.32
1.95
RANK:
76th
218th
38th
296th
192nd
61st
37th
249th
241st
192nd
259th
254th
187th
33rd
14th
38th
109th
33rd
21st
244th
259th
32nd
53rd
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
93.62
68.60
21.99
--
82.77
33.32
40.26
29.81
10.59
35.53
23.38
7.66
32.78
29.58
15.06
50.93
10.98
13.25
5.53
36.02
28.25
35.74
2.00
RANK:
64th
120th
52nd
--
211th
68th
41st
135th
213th
286th
213th
112th
30th
237th
79th
7th
164th
195th
247th
116th
208th
213th
234th
ANALYSIS: Cincinnati has a fairly solid squad that likely falls within the top quartile of all teams in college basketball this year. Haslametrics has them ranked 57th overall (out of 353) in All-Play Percentage, and the team holds a record of 20-10. Of the 12 schools in the AAC (average ranking 94.4), they're currently ranked as our #4 team in the conference.
Cincinnati will mainly try to find success through their defense. They are ranked 64th in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 94 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cincinnati will take a bite out of many opponents' shooting percentages, based on the fact that the team ranks in the top-50 in three of our four primary defensive field goal categories. They're most likely to shut you down inside the three-point arc, considering the team limits AO to converting just 32.8% of their mid-range jumpers (30th in the nation), 50.9% of their near-proximity chances (seventh), and 40.3% of their total shots from the field (41st). Cincinnati also makes a point to avoid fouls and prevent opponents from getting to the free throw line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 21.99 vs. AO, they are currently rated 52nd in the country in that category.
Cincinnati plays at about the same level on offense as they do on defense. The team ranks 76th nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 104 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Cincinnati does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 7.2% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 21st nationally), and with a rating of 16.38, they're 33rd in potential points scored off of the offensive glass as well. Cincinnati will also make a strong effort to get off as many field goals close to the basket as they can. The ball-club is 32nd in the NCAA in ratio of near-proximity attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to get to the inside, they are undoubtedly capable of making you pay. Presently rated in the top-50 in near-proximity shooting percentage, they make roughly 63.7% of their attempts from short-distance vs. AO.
Cincinnati has recently performed below their norm from an efficiency standpoint. The team is currently ranked 320th in the country in positive momentum. When playing on the road, Cincinnati performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 304th in our site's away-from-home metric.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Cincinnati performs worse against squads that favor a faster tempo. When facing teams that have a pace vs. AO greater than 70.27, Cincinnati is more efficient than normal 20% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 65% of the time.
When playing teams that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities, Cincinnati usually performs worse than average. Cincinnati is more efficient than normal 31% of the time when facing clubs that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 80.88. In all other contests, Cincinnati performs better than average 71% of the time.
Cincinnati is typically worse vs. teams that fail to defend efficiently inside the paint. Against foes that have a defensive near-proximity field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 55.04%, Cincinnati performs above their norm 35% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 69% of the time.
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