TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 Cent. Michigan  16-16 (0.500)  |  Mid-American
All-Play Percentage: 0.303 (244th)
Schedule Strength: 0.473 (194th)
Record Quality: -0.049 (201st)
Avg. Season Rank: 216.49 (218th)
Pace: 75.64 (8th)
Momentum: -7.46 (350th)
Off. Momentum: -4.38 (347th)
Def. Momentum: -3.08 (311th)
Consistency: -8.84 (160th)
Res. Consistency: -12.45 (248th)
Away From Home: 0.49 (97th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.69 (147th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 106.44 26.17 78.59 85.24 41.38 42.81 35.84 20.05 38.72 22.38 54.35 9.91 16.01 6.48 50.22 23.52 26.25 2.24
RANK: 83rd 219th 7th 30th 289th 2nd 147th 291st 73rd 339th 308th 227th 93rd 175th 3rd 306th 345th 351st

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 115.38 26.91 -- 87.84 47.94 32.30 37.00 25.02 40.91 30.52 65.30 11.03 16.09 8.96 36.77 28.49 34.74 2.02
RANK: 343rd 146th -- 349th 317th 293rd 258th 235th 329th 261st 310th 197th 277th 333rd 200th 164th 171st 168th

ANALYSIS:
They're far from the worst of the worst, but Cent. Michigan should not be a terribly frightening opponent for most clubs. Carrying a record of 16-16, they are currently rated #244 overall (out of 351) in All-Play Percentage this season. They are also ranked by this site as the #10 team (out of 12) in the MAC (average ranking 176.6).

Utilizing a feverish pace (the eighth-fastest in D1), Cent. Michigan succeeds primarily through their offense. They are ranked 83rd in offensive efficiency and score in excess of 106 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cent. Michigan lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks third in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. When it comes to actually making their three-point attempts, the squad shoots a so-so 35.8% from beyond the arc vs. AO. Cent. Michigan is also deadly accurate at the free throw line. Making 78.6% of their attempts from the stripe, they are ranked seventh nationally in free throw percentage. If Cent. Michigan does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's troubles converting from the inside. The squad makes just 54.3% of their near-proximity field goal attempts vs. AO, which ranks 44th-worst in Division I.

Sadly for Cent. Michigan, the drop-off from offensive efficiency to defensive efficiency is massive. The team is ranked ninth from the bottom in defensive efficiency, allowing about 115 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cent. Michigan allows the opposition to get off far too many shots from the floor. The team is ranked third from the bottom in the nation in defensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 87.84 vs. AO. Cent. Michigan is also one of the very worst teams in the game when it comes to preventing opponents from scoring off of offensive rebounds. The team allows AO to convert 9.0% of all second-chance opportunities (333rd nationally). Cent. Michigan lastly allows opposing teams far too many easy chances from the floor, ranking in the bottom-50 in three of the four main defensive field goal shooting categories. They are exceptionally deficient defending inside the three-point line, allowing AO to make good on 40.9% of their mid-range jumpers (329th in the nation), 65.3% of their near-proximity chances (310th), and 47.9% of their total shots from the field (317th).

Cent. Michigan has been playing some of their worst basketball of the season as of late, and they're presently ranked second from the bottom in positive momentum because of it.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Cent. Michigan does better vs. clubs that allow opponents to shoot well from the field. When playing squads that have a defensive field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 43.90%, Cent. Michigan performs above average 71% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 22% of the time.
Cent. Michigan performs worse against squads that allow more chances at the line. When facing teams that have a defensive free throw attempt rate vs. AO greater than 27.13, Cent. Michigan is more efficient than normal 39% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 83% of the time.
When playing teams that convert well from the charity stripe, Cent. Michigan usually performs worse than average. Cent. Michigan is more efficient than normal 42% of the time when facing clubs that have an adjusted free throw percentage vs. AO greater than 68.73%. In all other contests, Cent. Michigan performs better than average 82% of the time.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-25203rd203rd236th270thMAC168th169th186th35th169th219th
2023-24272nd272nd150th199thMAC330th216th255th269th218th293rd
2022-23350th350th313th321stMAC150th218th247th162nd63rd326th
2021-22324th323rd333rd315thMAC150th260th190th87th47th340th
2020-21317th317th299th323rdMAC11th293rd224th37th17th301st
2019-20215th215th242nd224thMAC9th67th131st267th246th197th
2018-19144th144th69th103rdMAC36th26th155th81st36th149th
2017-18170th170th126th181stMAC213th70th245th66th210th158th
2016-17244th244th179th201stMAC8th160th194th147th97th218th
2015-16152nd151st181st186thMAC266th318th189th43rd208th179th
2014-1594th94th43rd74thMAC209th350th176th91st298th85th
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25206th127th154th152nd191st315th319th159th299th43rd140th98th51st54th322nd163rd52nd30th
2023-24322nd318th347th53rd336th143rd346th130th215th163rd319th264th161st253rd181st151st202nd194th
2022-23358th170th217th354th351st225th354th128th187th360th338th267th191st299th128th70th342nd316th
2021-22316th190th200th300th324th158th250th130th204th329th325th262nd186th300th118th107th323rd304th
2020-21278th91st240th322nd249th303rd255th72nd113th299th283rd124th200th216th271st54th260th160th
2019-20183rd132nd47th161st241st162nd272nd81st13th302nd294th5th129th194th159th79th300th269th
2018-1983rd24th293rd107th152nd158th46th242nd297th63rd216th52nd86th147th180th256th78th114th
2017-1886th149th3rd42nd249th8th213th336th222nd157th254th104th59th214th13th340th202nd319th
2016-1783rd219th7th30th289th2nd147th291st73rd339th308th227th93rd175th3rd306th345th351st
2015-1678th280th22nd10th203rd6th224th234th120th295th89th256th160th198th14th265th328th341st
2014-1525th157th47th34th115th6th100th312th36th245th133rd85th172nd264th10th324th293rd344th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-25203rd109th--128th240th312th316th64th120th106th271st55th144th242nd321st71st118th68th
2023-24166th170th--348th45th335th92nd136th108th271st31st229th346th333rd289th75th183rd112th
2022-23270th358th--52nd264th218th337th54th324th135th112th362nd302nd358th273rd81st194th129th
2021-22310th321st--204th238th299th297th39th34th233rd318th142nd209th92nd285th29th220th115th
2020-21350th161st--238th337th230th335th282nd343rd99th325th117th130th289th211th269th77th97th
2019-20258th111th--64th326th84th352nd206th326th131st180th127th223rd291st112th238th177th216th
2018-19182nd100th--285th230th119th18th97th211th343rd259th100th327th296th84th71st335th319th
2017-18274th73rd--286th278th306th171st78th264th246th305th75th320th307th279th53rd208th134th
2016-17343rd146th--349th317th293rd258th235th329th261st310th197th277th333rd200th164th171st168th
2015-16264th181st--297th219th212th175th186th174th271st238th20th272nd221st157th149th242nd231st
2014-15235th187th--85th301st185th278th63rd117th194th327th39th199th295th236th79th228th180th