Automated Team Capsule for 2021-22 UCF18-12 (0.600) | American
All-Play Percentage: 0.706 (107th)
Schedule Strength: 0.556 (106th)
Record Quality: 0.184 (85th)
Avg. Season Rank: 77.70 (74th)
Pace: 67.96 (174th)
Momentum: -3.97 (322nd)
Off. Momentum: -1.31 (274th)
Def. Momentum: -2.66 (299th)
Consistency: -8.22 (62nd)
Res. Consistency: -11.09 (118th)
Away From Home: -1.82 (336th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.41 (71st)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 4, 2022. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.82
68.07
23.47
70.73
87.67
38.09
43.45
33.88
12.03
35.52
23.91
8.71
36.41
29.88
17.35
58.07
13.83
14.77
5.49
38.64
27.27
34.09
2.05
RANK:
100th
165th
238th
209th
43rd
102nd
174th
85th
53rd
67th
207th
221st
239th
147th
149th
193rd
40th
92nd
114th
111th
239th
183rd
229th
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
99.25
67.84
23.03
--
83.88
35.29
42.07
35.13
11.45
32.60
19.25
6.84
35.52
29.51
17.00
57.62
10.36
14.20
5.26
41.88
22.95
35.17
2.07
RANK:
132nd
179th
101st
--
156th
114th
119th
332nd
296th
143rd
9th
9th
81st
211th
182nd
131st
149th
239th
220th
341st
5th
212th
73rd
ANALYSIS: As an average to slightly above-average foe, UCF should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Ranked 107th overall (out of 358) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 18-12. They are also ranked by this site as the #7 team (out of 11) in the AAC (average ranking 106.2).
The primary strength for UCF this year is offense. The team is ranked 100th in efficiency on that end of the floor, and they'll rack up more than 104 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. UCF has one of the better squads in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score. The team is ranked 43rd in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 87.67 vs. AO. As far as making those field goal attempts goes, the team is somewhat middle-of-the-road, converting about 43.4% of them vs. AO. UCF has also been generally quite good when shooting the three-pointer. They're ranked 67th nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 35.5% of their attempts from there vs. AO.
UCF plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 132nd nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 99 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UCF does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 40th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 13.83.
UCF has recently performed below their norm from an efficiency standpoint. The team is currently ranked 322nd in the country in positive momentum. On the road, UCF performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked 336th in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
UCF is typically better vs. teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. Against foes that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 39.41%, UCF performs above their norm 80% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 30% of the time.
When facing teams that favor a faster tempo, UCF often performs worse than normal. UCF is more efficient than usual 23% of the time when facing teams that have a pace vs. AO greater than 67.68. In their other contests, UCF performs better than the norm 65% of the time.
UCF does worse vs. clubs that do not defend well on the perimeter. When playing squads that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.38%, UCF performs above average 25% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 61% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Horne lifts Tulsa over UCF 73-72 at buzzer (3/6/2022 4:49:15 PM) TULSA, Okla. (AP) — Jeriah Horne made a shot from beyond halfcourt as time expired to lift Tulsa to a 73-72 win over Central Florida on Sunday.
Mahan leads UCF over Tulsa 76-67 (2/14/2022 9:50:20 PM) ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) — Brandon Mahan had 17 points and Darius Perry posted 12 points, six rebounds and five steals as Central Florida defeated Tulsa 76-...
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