TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2021-22 UCF  18-12 (0.600)  |  American
All-Play Percentage: 0.706 (107th)
Schedule Strength: 0.556 (106th)
Record Quality: 0.184 (85th)
Avg. Season Rank: 77.70 (74th)
Pace: 67.96 (174th)
Momentum: -3.97 (322nd)
Off. Momentum: -1.31 (274th)
Def. Momentum: -2.66 (299th)
Consistency: -8.22 (62nd)
Res. Consistency: -11.09 (118th)
Away From Home: -1.82 (336th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.41 (71st)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 4, 2022. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 104.82 23.47 70.73 87.67 43.45 33.88 35.52 23.91 36.41 29.88 58.07 13.83 14.77 5.49 38.64 27.27 34.09 2.05
RANK: 100th 238th 209th 43rd 174th 85th 67th 207th 239th 147th 193rd 40th 92nd 114th 111th 239th 183rd 229th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 99.25 23.03 -- 83.88 42.07 35.13 32.60 19.25 35.52 29.51 57.62 10.36 14.20 5.26 41.88 22.95 35.17 2.07
RANK: 132nd 101st -- 156th 119th 332nd 143rd 9th 81st 211th 131st 149th 239th 220th 341st 5th 212th 73rd

ANALYSIS:
As an average to slightly above-average foe, UCF should probably not be discounted by opponents this year. Ranked 107th overall (out of 358) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 18-12. They are also ranked by this site as the #7 team (out of 11) in the AAC (average ranking 106.2).

The primary strength for UCF this year is offense. The team is ranked 100th in efficiency on that end of the floor, and they'll rack up more than 104 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. UCF has one of the better squads in the college game when it comes to maximizing opportunities to score. The team is ranked 43rd in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 87.67 vs. AO. As far as making those field goal attempts goes, the team is somewhat middle-of-the-road, converting about 43.4% of them vs. AO. UCF has also been generally quite good when shooting the three-pointer. They're ranked 67th nationally in three-point field goal percentage and make about 35.5% of their attempts from there vs. AO.

UCF plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 132nd nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 99 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UCF does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 40th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 13.83.

UCF has recently performed below their norm from an efficiency standpoint. The team is currently ranked 322nd in the country in positive momentum. On the road, UCF performs noticeably worse than they do at home. The team is currently ranked 336th in the country in the away-from-home metric we track.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
UCF is typically better vs. teams that are more proficient at draining the mid-range shot. Against foes that have an offensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 39.41%, UCF performs above their norm 80% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 30% of the time.
When facing teams that favor a faster tempo, UCF often performs worse than normal. UCF is more efficient than usual 23% of the time when facing teams that have a pace vs. AO greater than 67.68. In their other contests, UCF performs better than the norm 65% of the time.
UCF does worse vs. clubs that do not defend well on the perimeter. When playing squads that have a defensive three-point field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 33.38%, UCF performs above average 25% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 61% of the time.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Horne lifts Tulsa over UCF 73-72 at buzzer
(3/6/2022 4:49:15 PM) TULSA, Okla. (AP) — Jeriah Horne made a shot from beyond halfcourt as time expired to lift Tulsa to a 73-72 win over Central Florida on Sunday.
Walker scores 13 to carry UCF over Cincinnati 75-61
(2/23/2022 11:25:46 PM) ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) — C.J. Walker had 13 points as UCF defeated Cincinnati 75-61 on Wednesday night.
Mahan leads UCF over Tulsa 76-67
(2/14/2022 9:50:20 PM) ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) — Brandon Mahan had 17 points and Darius Perry posted 12 points, six rebounds and five steals as Central Florida defeated Tulsa 76-...
Perry scores 15 to lift UCF past North Alabama 75-64
(12/22/2021 9:28:02 PM) Darius Perry posted 15 points, nine assists and six rebounds as Central Florida defeated North Alabama 75-64 on Wednesday night.
Mahan scores 18 to lift UCF past Temple 65-48
(12/15/2021 9:52:14 PM) PHILADELPHIA (AP) — Brandon Mahan posted 18 points as Central Florida beat Temple 65-48 on Wednesday night.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-2562nd62nd175th77thBig 129th65th29th28th145th67th
2023-2467th66th184th106thBig 12108th323rd79th317th345th67th
2022-2349th49th147th87thAAC304th283rd86th288th174th54th
2021-22107th105th126th85thAAC174th62nd106th71st336th74th
2020-21113th113th200th126thAAC252nd46th71st159th184th99th
2019-20101st101st158th126thAAC201st65th95th178th7th106th
2018-1928th28th39th29thAAC323rd21st62nd150th57th40th
2017-18112th112th119th98thAAC338th266th100th208th332nd95th
2016-1770th70th61st58thAAC292nd287th90th120th316th70th
2015-16184th184th247th196thAAC183rd288th108th338th90th162nd
2014-15285th285th258th245thAAC163rd151st180th27th270th282nd
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2554th66th25th92nd108th132nd104th251st101st70th170th25th39th40th162nd269th92nd134th
2023-24151st27th286th142nd198th247th196th167th243rd87th215th13th46th43rd257th166th98th90th
2022-2379th207th31st110th122nd58th86th267th158th157th132nd10th81st60th74th277th195th258th
2021-22100th238th209th43rd174th85th67th207th239th147th193rd40th92nd114th111th239th183rd229th
2020-21108th200th146th122nd102nd171st69th151st262nd172nd68th133rd105th31st187th165th185th177th
2019-20134th188th171st168th95th197th188th176th103rd131st114th104th88th76th202nd184th131st132nd
2018-1934th7th330th268th15th310th15th137th232nd116th18th187th184th40th297th121st93rd61st
2017-18235th9th340th318th190th325th178th276th331st15th258th244th194th119th313th258th7th8th
2016-17153rd63rd306th314th96th210th88th212th237th226th69th343rd148th17th172nd177th176th190th
2015-16232nd178th201st310th186th127th284th310th295th167th87th289th221st122nd82nd293rd119th211th
2014-15199th220th324th203rd133rd185th148th294th282nd46th151st221st90th64th174th299th45th98th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2596th116th--227th99th162nd34th210th233rd221st97th82nd316th322nd153rd204th203rd208th
2023-2419th313th--5th27th108th124th68th52nd69th13th41st2nd5th244th155th167th139th
2022-2336th152nd--63rd52nd217th32nd62nd53rd153rd92nd93rd338th274th266th84th204th139th
2021-22132nd101st--156th119th332nd143rd9th81st211th131st149th239th220th341st5th212th73rd
2020-21113th196th--96th120th255th100th36th52nd195th208th249th164th150th290th40th231st143rd
2019-20103rd87th--146th113th205th104th169th58th142nd205th152nd87th37th213th172nd148th143rd
2018-1925th86th--279th14th282nd37th286th96th80th13th7th295th91st249th269th48th62nd
2017-1824th21st--257th31st161st56th275th76th160th26th110th136th96th131st261st129th162nd
2016-1724th3rd--351st3rd337th62nd329th19th42nd10th201st15th2nd312th291st12th14th
2015-16131st34th--345th73rd290th66th155th145th318th36th345th161st78th193rd82nd259th229th
2014-15309th48th--348th292nd166th291st161st127th348th254th263rd313th245th69th81st326th316th