TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2020-21 UCF  11-12 (0.478)  |  American
All-Play Percentage: 0.685 (113th)
Schedule Strength: 0.693 (71st)
Record Quality: 0.103 (126th)
Avg. Season Rank: 100.71 (99th)
Pace: 68.36 (252nd)
Momentum: 2.07 (81st)
Off. Momentum: 2.24 (56th)
Def. Momentum: -0.17 (155th)
Consistency: -7.69 (46th)
Res. Consistency: -7.79 (10th)
Away From Home: 0.04 (184th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.56 (159th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 5, 2021. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 103.31 23.99 72.09 83.06 45.03 30.97 36.21 23.90 35.60 28.19 62.72 11.79 14.10 7.07 37.29 28.77 33.94 2.03
RANK: 108th 200th 146th 122nd 102nd 171st 69th 151st 262nd 172nd 68th 133rd 105th 31st 187th 165th 185th 177th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 97.09 25.00 -- 80.53 42.77 32.30 32.63 19.48 34.38 28.75 59.86 12.13 12.44 4.71 40.11 24.19 35.70 2.04
RANK: 113th 196th -- 96th 120th 255th 100th 36th 52nd 195th 208th 249th 164th 150th 290th 40th 231st 143rd

ANALYSIS:
UCF is a fairly decent basketball team that, while likely better than average, isn't quite good enough to crack any top-25 rankings this year. They are ranked #113 (out of 357) in the most recent Haslametrics ratings and have a record of 11-12. Of the 11 schools in the AAC (average ranking 120.0), they're currently ranked as our #5 team in the conference.

If there is a strength for UCF this year, it's probably on the offensive end of the court. The team is rated 108th in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 103 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. UCF is one of the better teams in the country when it comes to converting scoring chances off of offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 7.1% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 31st nationally). UCF also fares better than most teams when it comes to converting from locations close to the basket. The team is ranked 68th in the country in near-proximity field goal percentage, making approximately 62.7% of their attempts from up-close vs. AO.

UCF plays at roughly the same level defensively as they do offensively. The team ranks 113th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 97 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UCF has been fairly decent in preventing teams from draining shots from between the three-point stripe and the low post. They're ranked 52nd in Division I in defensive mid-range field goal percentage, allowing AO to make good on only 34.4% of their attempts from that distance. Due to this fact, AO will take nowhere near as many mid-range shots as they typically would and, as a result, only 24.2% of AO's field goal attempts will come from those in-between locations.

UCF is one of the more consistent teams in Division I (presently ranked 46th in consistency), so forecasting the outcomes of their future contests tends to be easier than the norm.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
LATEST NEWS ITEMS:
Perry scores 15 to lift UCF past East Carolina 72-62
(3/11/2021 9:33:33 PM) FORT WORTH, Texas (AP) — Darius Perry registered 15 points as sixth-seeded Central Florida got past 11th-seeded East Carolina 72-62 in the first round of the American Athletic Conference Tournament on Thursday night.
Walker scores 18 to carry UCF past South Florida 81-65
(2/17/2021 9:34:10 PM) ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) — C.J. Walker had 18 points, nine rebounds and four blocks as Central Florida beat South Florida 81-65 on Wednesday night.
Gilbert scores 17; Wade's dunk helps Wichita State beat UCF
(2/10/2021 10:08:59 PM) ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) — Alterique Gilbert scored 17 points including Wichita State's last five points, leading the Shockers to a 61-60 win over Central Florida on Wednesday night.
Perry, Mahan lift Central Florida past Tulsa 65-58
(2/6/2021 9:18:48 PM) TULSA, Okla. (AP) — Darius Perry scored 18 points with five 3-pointers and Brandon Mahan posted 15 points, all from behind the arc, as Central Florida topped Tulsa 65-58 on Saturday.
Nolley II scores 20 to carry Memphis over UCF 96-69
(2/1/2021 10:55:13 PM) MEMPHIS, Tenn. (AP) — Landers Nolley II had 20 points as Memphis easily beat Central Florida 96-69 on Monday night.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-2560th60th160th72ndBig 127th73rd28th25th106th67th
2023-2467th66th184th106thBig 12108th323rd79th317th345th67th
2022-2349th49th147th87thAAC304th283rd86th288th174th54th
2021-22107th105th126th85thAAC174th62nd106th71st336th74th
2020-21113th113th200th126thAAC252nd46th71st159th184th99th
2019-20101st101st158th126thAAC201st65th95th178th7th106th
2018-1928th28th39th29thAAC323rd21st62nd150th57th40th
2017-18112th112th119th98thAAC338th266th100th208th332nd95th
2016-1770th70th61st58thAAC292nd287th90th120th316th70th
2015-16184th184th247th196thAAC183rd288th108th338th90th162nd
2014-15285th285th258th245thAAC163rd151st180th27th270th282nd
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2546th62nd23rd83rd100th123rd105th254th102nd75th149th26th49th43rd148th275th103rd152nd
2023-24151st27th286th142nd198th247th196th167th243rd87th215th13th46th43rd257th166th98th90th
2022-2379th207th31st110th122nd58th86th267th158th157th132nd10th81st60th74th277th195th258th
2021-22100th238th209th43rd174th85th67th207th239th147th193rd40th92nd114th111th239th183rd229th
2020-21108th200th146th122nd102nd171st69th151st262nd172nd68th133rd105th31st187th165th185th177th
2019-20134th188th171st168th95th197th188th176th103rd131st114th104th88th76th202nd184th131st132nd
2018-1934th7th330th268th15th310th15th137th232nd116th18th187th184th40th297th121st93rd61st
2017-18235th9th340th318th190th325th178th276th331st15th258th244th194th119th313th258th7th8th
2016-17153rd63rd306th314th96th210th88th212th237th226th69th343rd148th17th172nd177th176th190th
2015-16232nd178th201st310th186th127th284th310th295th167th87th289th221st122nd82nd293rd119th211th
2014-15199th220th324th203rd133rd185th148th294th282nd46th151st221st90th64th174th299th45th98th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2598th116th--233rd94th198th41st217th227th186th90th85th299th308th172nd207th172nd173rd
2023-2419th313th--5th27th108th124th68th52nd69th13th41st2nd5th244th155th167th139th
2022-2336th152nd--63rd52nd217th32nd62nd53rd153rd92nd93rd338th274th266th84th204th139th
2021-22132nd101st--156th119th332nd143rd9th81st211th131st149th239th220th341st5th212th73rd
2020-21113th196th--96th120th255th100th36th52nd195th208th249th164th150th290th40th231st143rd
2019-20103rd87th--146th113th205th104th169th58th142nd205th152nd87th37th213th172nd148th143rd
2018-1925th86th--279th14th282nd37th286th96th80th13th7th295th91st249th269th48th62nd
2017-1824th21st--257th31st161st56th275th76th160th26th110th136th96th131st261st129th162nd
2016-1724th3rd--351st3rd337th62nd329th19th42nd10th201st15th2nd312th291st12th14th
2015-16131st34th--345th73rd290th66th155th145th318th36th345th161st78th193rd82nd259th229th
2014-15309th48th--348th292nd166th291st161st127th348th254th263rd313th245th69th81st326th316th