TIME-DEPENDENT RATINGS
TIME-INDEPENDENT RATINGS
   Automated Team Capsule for 2016-17 UCF  24-12 (0.667)  |  American
All-Play Percentage: 0.803 (70th)
Schedule Strength: 0.593 (90th)
Record Quality: 0.246 (58th)
Avg. Season Rank: 73.54 (70th)
Pace: 67.95 (292nd)
Momentum: 1.24 (111th)
Off. Momentum: 2.58 (66th)
Def. Momentum: -1.34 (230th)
Consistency: -9.86 (287th)
Res. Consistency: -13.21 (293rd)
Away From Home: -1.88 (316th)
Paper Tiger Factor: -0.22 (120th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category.
Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement.
Includes games through April 3, 2017. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 102.29 30.69 65.79 78.32 45.67 28.51 37.01 22.50 35.11 27.31 63.42 7.19 14.94 9.14 36.40 28.72 34.87 2.02
RANK: 153rd 63rd 306th 314th 96th 210th 88th 212th 237th 226th 69th 343rd 148th 17th 172nd 177th 176th 190th

DEFENSE Eff Upc FTAR FT% FGAR FGMR FG% 3PAR 3PMR 3P% MRAR MRMR MR% NPAR NPMR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
RATING: 92.37 19.40 -- 88.88 37.58 35.66 32.93 28.67 31.86 24.55 51.01 11.10 11.67 3.67 40.12 32.26 27.62 2.13
RANK: 24th 3rd -- 351st 3rd 337th 62nd 329th 19th 42nd 10th 201st 15th 2nd 312th 291st 12th 14th

ANALYSIS:
UCF is a moderately good team, capable of testing many an opponent that they'll encounter. Ranked 70th overall (out of 351) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 24-12. They are also ranked by this site as the #4 team (out of 11) in the AAC (average ranking 119.7).

UCF is one of the most menacing defensive teams in the country. Ranked 24th in defensive efficiency, they will allow fewer than 93 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. UCF does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 3.7% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked second in the NCAA), and with a rating of 11.67, they're 15th in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well. UCF is also a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 19.40 vs. AO, they are currently rated third in the country in that category. UCF will lastly do a number on many an opponent's shooting percentage, as the team ranks in the top-25 in three of our four major defensive field goal categories. They're most likely to shut you down inside the three-point arc, considering the team limits AO to converting just 31.9% of their mid-range jumpers (19th in the nation), 51.0% of their near-proximity chances (tenth), and 37.6% of their total shots from the field (third). If UCF does exhibit a noticeable weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 88.88 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks worst in college basketball.

Though they're not quite as efficient offensively as they are defensively, UCF still does OK when they have possession of the ball. The team ranks 153rd nationally in offensive efficiency, scoring about 102 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. UCF does an outstanding job finishing any scoring chances they obtain from offensive rebounds. Against AO, the team successfully converts 9.1% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 17th nationally). UCF also acquires a fair amount of chances from the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of 30.69 vs. AO, they are ranked 63rd in the nation at getting to the charity stripe. Unfortunately, they don't convert a ton of their free throws and make just 65.8% of their attempts. If UCF does have a weakness offensively, it would have to be the team's difficulties in getting off a sufficient number of shots each possession. The squad has a field goal attempt rate of just 78.32 vs. AO, which ranks 38th-worst in college basketball.

When playing on the road, UCF performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 316th in our site's away-from-home metric.
SORTABLE SCHEDULE / RESULTS:
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location.
Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
UCF is typically worse vs. teams that typically allow more than a fair share of breakaway opportunities. Against foes that have a potential point rate allowed off steals vs. AO greater than 10.98, UCF performs above their norm 17% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 67% of the time.
When facing teams that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities, UCF often performs worse than normal. UCF is more efficient than usual 25% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 84.08. In their other contests, UCF performs better than the norm 63% of the time.
UCF does worse vs. clubs that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. When playing squads that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 15.60, UCF performs above average 29% of the time. Against all other opponents, the team performs better than the norm 64% of the time.
HASLAMETRICS ALL-PLAY PERCENTAGE RANKING BY DAY: Select data to plot:

HASLAMETRICS TEAM HISTORY: Select data to view:
SUMMARY Rk AP% Rec (WinPct) RQ Conference Pace Con SOS PTF AFH ASR
2024-2562nd62nd175th77thBig 129th65th29th28th145th67th
2023-2467th66th184th106thBig 12108th323rd79th317th345th67th
2022-2349th49th147th87thAAC304th283rd86th288th174th54th
2021-22107th105th126th85thAAC174th62nd106th71st336th74th
2020-21113th113th200th126thAAC252nd46th71st159th184th99th
2019-20101st101st158th126thAAC201st65th95th178th7th106th
2018-1928th28th39th29thAAC323rd21st62nd150th57th40th
2017-18112th112th119th98thAAC338th266th100th208th332nd95th
2016-1770th70th61st58thAAC292nd287th90th120th316th70th
2015-16184th184th247th196thAAC183rd288th108th338th90th162nd
2014-15285th285th258th245thAAC163rd151st180th27th270th282nd
OFFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2554th66th25th92nd108th132nd104th251st101st70th170th25th39th40th162nd269th92nd134th
2023-24151st27th286th142nd198th247th196th167th243rd87th215th13th46th43rd257th166th98th90th
2022-2379th207th31st110th122nd58th86th267th158th157th132nd10th81st60th74th277th195th258th
2021-22100th238th209th43rd174th85th67th207th239th147th193rd40th92nd114th111th239th183rd229th
2020-21108th200th146th122nd102nd171st69th151st262nd172nd68th133rd105th31st187th165th185th177th
2019-20134th188th171st168th95th197th188th176th103rd131st114th104th88th76th202nd184th131st132nd
2018-1934th7th330th268th15th310th15th137th232nd116th18th187th184th40th297th121st93rd61st
2017-18235th9th340th318th190th325th178th276th331st15th258th244th194th119th313th258th7th8th
2016-17153rd63rd306th314th96th210th88th212th237th226th69th343rd148th17th172nd177th176th190th
2015-16232nd178th201st310th186th127th284th310th295th167th87th289th221st122nd82nd293rd119th211th
2014-15199th220th324th203rd133rd185th148th294th282nd46th151st221st90th64th174th299th45th98th
DEFENSE Eff FTAR FT% FGAR FG% 3PAR 3P% MRAR MR% NPAR NP% PPSt PPSC SCC% %3PA %MRA %NPA Prox
2024-2596th116th--227th99th162nd34th210th233rd221st97th82nd316th322nd153rd204th203rd208th
2023-2419th313th--5th27th108th124th68th52nd69th13th41st2nd5th244th155th167th139th
2022-2336th152nd--63rd52nd217th32nd62nd53rd153rd92nd93rd338th274th266th84th204th139th
2021-22132nd101st--156th119th332nd143rd9th81st211th131st149th239th220th341st5th212th73rd
2020-21113th196th--96th120th255th100th36th52nd195th208th249th164th150th290th40th231st143rd
2019-20103rd87th--146th113th205th104th169th58th142nd205th152nd87th37th213th172nd148th143rd
2018-1925th86th--279th14th282nd37th286th96th80th13th7th295th91st249th269th48th62nd
2017-1824th21st--257th31st161st56th275th76th160th26th110th136th96th131st261st129th162nd
2016-1724th3rd--351st3rd337th62nd329th19th42nd10th201st15th2nd312th291st12th14th
2015-16131st34th--345th73rd290th66th155th145th318th36th345th161st78th193rd82nd259th229th
2014-15309th48th--348th292nd166th291st161st127th348th254th263rd313th245th69th81st326th316th