Automated Team Capsule for 2024-25 Cent. Conn. St.25-7 (0.781) | Northeast
All-Play Percentage: 0.452 (199th)
Schedule Strength: 0.177 (364th)
Record Quality: 0.101 (123rd)
Avg. Season Rank: 212.56 (214th)
Pace: 65.65 (255th)
Momentum: -2.15 (275th)
Off. Momentum: -1.69 (293rd)
Def. Momentum: -0.46 (191st)
Consistency: -8.69 (73rd)
Res. Consistency: -12.00 (141st)
Away From Home: 1.40 (21st)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.21 (70th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 6, 2025. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
101.68
65.39
20.13
73.20
87.46
38.28
43.77
31.51
10.39
32.97
24.18
9.58
39.62
31.77
18.31
57.63
13.74
11.21
4.84
36.03
27.65
36.32
2.00
RANK:
273rd
272nd
359th
143rd
168th
173rd
178th
251st
266th
235th
106th
72nd
89th
184th
201st
212th
92nd
328th
292nd
252nd
108th
182nd
131st
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
104.13
65.91
20.59
--
91.26
39.38
43.15
36.35
11.18
30.74
20.27
8.38
41.32
34.64
19.83
57.25
11.23
15.40
6.33
39.83
22.22
37.95
2.02
RANK:
94th
132nd
7th
--
336th
226th
124th
294th
144th
26th
135th
231st
316th
297th
242nd
115th
115th
244th
222nd
245th
81st
231st
175th
ANALYSIS: Regardless of what the win percentage says, Cent. Conn. St. isn't a very good team this year. Their record this season is 25-7, and the club is ranked 199th overall (out of 364) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of nine) in the NEC (average ranking 309.2). With a strength-of-schedule rating of 0.177 (which ranks last in the nation), Cent. Conn. St. has faced some of the easiest opponents in all of college basketball.
Cent. Conn. St. has a fairly effective defensive attack. Occupying the #94 slot in our defensive efficiency ratings, they will allow about 104 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cent. Conn. St. is a superior unit when it comes to preventing opponents from getting to the foul line. With a defensive free throw attempt rate of 20.59 vs. AO, they are currently rated seventh in the country in that category. Cent. Conn. St. has also done a very good job to prevent opponents from draining threes this year. They rank 26th in the NCAA in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make just 30.7% of their attempts from afar. If Cent. Conn. St. does exhibit a weakness on the defensive end of the floor, it'd likely be the team's propensity to allow too many shot attempts per trip. The squad has a rating of 91.26 in defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO, which ranks 29th-worst in college basketball.
Unfortunately, Cent. Conn. St. is not even remotely close to being as good on offense as they are on defense. The team is ranked 273rd in offensive efficiency, scoring about 102 points every 100 possessions vs. AO. Cent. Conn. St. does an extremely poor job drawing fouls and getting to the free throw line. With a free throw attempt rate of just 20.13 vs. AO, they are sixth from the bottom in the overall rankings for that category. Cent. Conn. St. also does a fairly poor job cleaning the offensive glass. Against AO, the ball-club has a rating of 11.21 in potential points scored off of second chances (328th nationally).
When playing on the road, Cent. Conn. St. has played their best basketball this season. The team is currently ranked 21st in the country in the away-from-home metric our site tracks.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
When facing teams that have trouble defending the mid-range shot, Cent. Conn. St. often performs better than normal. Cent. Conn. St. is more efficient than usual 65% of the time when facing teams that have a defensive mid-range field goal percentage vs. AO greater than 38.68%. In their other contests, Cent. Conn. St. performs better than the norm 30% of the time.
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