Automated Team Capsule for 2023-24 Cent. Arkansas9-23 (0.281) | Atlantic Sun
All-Play Percentage: 0.094 (328th)
Schedule Strength: 0.315 (304th)
Record Quality: -0.403 (339th)
Avg. Season Rank: 333.07 (338th)
Pace: 70.29 (45th)
Momentum: 0.62 (140th)
Off. Momentum: 0.21 (185th)
Def. Momentum: 0.42 (125th)
Consistency: -9.58 (227th)
Res. Consistency: -12.27 (192nd)
Away From Home: 1.48 (39th)
Paper Tiger Factor: 0.28 (75th)
NOTE: All data below reflects predicted performance against the "AO" (average opponent), a fictitious opponent who represents the average in every stat category. Hover over column headers or visit "ABOUT" page for an explanation of each measurement. Includes games through April 8, 2024. Data shown on this page is based on time-dependent ratings.
OFFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
97.15
69.90
22.97
75.05
85.08
34.47
40.52
32.09
10.97
34.19
26.74
8.90
33.31
26.26
14.60
55.60
10.84
11.90
5.45
37.71
31.42
30.86
2.07
RANK:
308th
60th
309th
66th
205th
318th
327th
159th
165th
183rd
75th
173rd
347th
328th
322nd
243rd
213th
247th
179th
148th
71st
325th
291st
DEFENSE
Eff
Upc
FTAR
FT%
FGAR
FGMR
FG%
3PAR
3PMR
3P%
MRAR
MRMR
MR%
NPAR
NPMR
NP%
PPSt
PPSC
SCC%
%3PA
%MRA
%NPA
Prox
RATING:
113.05
70.67
28.86
--
85.06
39.26
46.15
35.06
13.49
38.48
19.91
7.74
38.89
30.09
18.02
59.90
14.10
13.31
4.89
41.22
23.41
35.37
2.06
RANK:
329th
327th
282nd
--
154th
258th
284th
318th
352nd
354th
53rd
64th
177th
145th
197th
262nd
337th
178th
94th
331st
48th
150th
69th
ANALYSIS: If you're looking for a squad in the bottom quartile of all Division I basketball teams this year, Cent. Arkansas likely fits the bill. Their record this season is 9-23, and the club is ranked 328th overall (out of 362) in Haslametrics' most recent ratings. They are also ranked by this site as the worst team (out of 12) in the Atlantic Sun (average ranking 253.2).
Cent. Arkansas will certainly not be one of the stingier defenses opponents will encounter. Allowing more than 113 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked down at #329 in defensive efficiency. Cent. Arkansas does an extremely poor job to deny the opposition behind the arc. They rank ninth from the bottom nationally in defensive three-point percentage, allowing AO to make 38.5% of their attempts from afar. And to expose that weakness, AO will gladly launch the three all day and all night. Of AO's total field goals, a large chunk of them (41.2%) will be from long-distance.
Cent. Arkansas doesn't rate much better on offense than they do on defense. Scoring roughly 97 points for every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO, they are ranked #308 in the nation in offensive efficiency. Cent. Arkansas is downright rotten when shooting the mid-range jumper. The team is ranked 347th in field goal percentage from that distance, making only 33.3% of their mid-range attempts vs. AO. Exacerbating the situation, they find themselves in the bottom-50 in overall offensive field goal percentage, converting only 40.5% of all their attempts from the floor vs. AO. Cent. Arkansas also has some difficulty protecting the ball efficiently when in possession, which leads to some quick and easy baskets for the opposition. The team's rating for potential breakaway points allowed off of steals vs. AO is 14.10, which ranks 337th in D1.
On the road, Cent. Arkansas performs somewhat better than their norm, as the squad is nationally ranked 39th in our away-from-home metric.
Projections are based on present-day ratings. Stars indicate games played at a neutral location. Game efficiencies only account for data before a contest has gone analytically final and are adjusted to extract home-court advantage.
CURIOUS TRENDS:
Cent. Arkansas performs worse against squads that allow a greater number of field goal opportunities. When facing teams that have a defensive field goal attempt rate vs. AO greater than 84.98, Cent. Arkansas is more efficient than normal 33% of the time. In their other contests, the team is more efficient 89% of the time.
When playing teams that convert more frequently off of offensive rebounds, Cent. Arkansas usually performs worse than average. Cent. Arkansas is more efficient than normal 29% of the time when facing clubs that have an offensive second-chance conversion percentage vs. AO greater than 4.74%. In all other contests, Cent. Arkansas performs better than average 77% of the time.
Cent. Arkansas is typically worse vs. teams that are likely to allow more second chances off of offensive rebounds. Against foes that have a defensive second-chance potential point rate vs. AO greater than 14.20, Cent. Arkansas performs above their norm 27% of the time. Against the remaining opposition, the team performs above average 73% of the time.
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